Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 46% [46%] (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 40% [40%] (39%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 4%
• Undecided 4% [6%] (8%)

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 51% [50%] (50%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 36% [39%] (36%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 3% 
• Undecided 3% [4%] (7%)

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% [42%] (43%)
• Dean Heller (R) 40% [42%] (37%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 6%
• None of these 5% 
• Undecided 4% [8%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 48% [53%] (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 28% [28%] (35%)
  
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 12%
• None of these 4% 
• Undecided 7% [8%] (9%)

Among Moderates

• Shelley Berkley (D) 45% [41%] (49%)
• Dean Heller (R) 39% [44%] (35%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (AIP) 7%
• None of these 4% 
• Undecided 5% [8%] (9%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 37% [37%] (32%) / 38% [37%] (35%) {-1%}
• Shelley Berkley 30% [33%] (29%) / 49% [45%] (43%) {-19%}

Who will do more for the middle class?

• Dean Heller 43% [46%]
• Shelley Berkley 39% [37%]

Who has a better plan for Medicare?

• Dean Heller 38% [42%]
• Shelley Berkley 38% [37%]

Who is stronger on immigration?

• Dean Heller 43% [46%]
• Shelley Berkley 29% [27%]

Who has run a more truthful campaign?

• Dean Heller 40% [42%]
• Shelley Berkley 30% [30%]

Who is more ethical?

• Dean Heller 43% [45%]
• Shelley Berkley 29% [27%]

Survey of 1,212 likely and actual voters was conducted October 23-29, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow. The margin of error is +/- 2.9  percentage points.  Party ID: 43% [40%] (39%) Democrat; 33% [31%] (36%) Republican; 23% [27%] (23%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 11-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 46% (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 40% (39%)
• Other 8% (9%)
• Undecided 6% (8%)

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 50% (50%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 39% (36%)
  
• Other 7% (6%)
• Undecided 4% (7%)

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 42% (43%)
• Dean Heller (R) 42% (37%)
  
• Other 8% (11%)
• Undecided 8% (9%)

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 53% (44%)
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 28% (35%)
  
• Other 11% (11%)
• Undecided 8% (9%)

Among Moderates

• Dean Heller (R) 44% (35%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 41% (49%)
  
• Other 7% (7%)
• Undecided 8% (9%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 37% (32%) / 37% (35%) {0%}
• Shelley Berkley 33% (29%) / 45% (43%) {-12%}

Did you watch the October 11 debate between Dean Heller and Shelley Berkley?

• Yes 35%
• No 63%

(Among debate watchers) Who won the debate? Heller? Berkley? Or, was there no clear winner?

• Dean Heller 46%
• Shelley Berkley 21%
• No clear winner 29%
• Not sure 4%

Who will do more for the middle class?

• Dean Heller 46%
• Shelley Berkley 37%

Who has a better plan for Medicare?

• Dean Heller 42%
• Shelley Berkley 37%

Who is stronger on immigration?

• Dean Heller 46%
• Shelley Berkley 27%

Who has run a more truthful campaign?

• Dean Heller 42%
• Shelley Berkley 30%

Who is more ethical?

• Dean Heller 45%
• Shelley Berkley 27%

Survey of 806 likely voters was conducted October 11-15, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and 8NewsNow. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% (39%) Democrat; 31% (36%) Republican; 27% (23%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 44%
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 39%
• Other 9%
• Undecided 8%

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 50%
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 36%
  
• Other 6%
• Undecided 7%

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 43%
• Dean Heller (R) 37%
  
• Other 11%
• Undecided 9%

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 44%
  
• Shelley Berkley (D) 35%
  
• Other 11%
• Undecided 9%

Among Moderates

• Shelley Berkley (D) 49%
  
• Dean Heller (R) 35%
  
• Other 7%
• Undecided 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 32% / 35% {-3%}
• Shelley Berkley 29% / 43% {-14%}

Are you following news stories about a House Ethics Committee investigation of Shelley Berkley?

• Yes 59%
• No 34%

(Among voters following news stories about investigation of Berkley) Does the House Ethics Committee investigation make more likely to vote for Shelley Berkley? More likely to vote for Dean Heller? Or does it not influence your vote one way or the other?

• More likely to vote for Heller 42%
• More likely to vote for Berkley 14%
• Does not influence vote 40%

Survey of 869 likely voters was conducted August 16-21, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and KLAS-TV. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 23% Independent.  Ideology: 39% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 16% Liberal.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
  
• Mitt Romney 45%
• Other 5%
• Undecided 4%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 42%
• Other 5%
• Undecided 4%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
  
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Other 4%
• Undecided 4%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 39%
• Other 9%
• Undecided 7%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57%
  
• Mitt Romney 34%
• Other 4%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Paul Ryan 35% / 35% {0%}
• Barack Obama 41% / 46% {-5%}
• Mitt Romney 39% / 46% {-7%}

Does Mitt Romney's selection of Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate make you more likely to vote for Romney? More likely to vote for Obama? Or does it not influence your vote one way or the other?

• More likely to vote for Romney 28%
• More likely to vote for Obama 29%
• Does not influence vote 42%

Are you familiar with Paul Ryan's thinking on Medicare?

• Yes 70%
• No 21%

(Among voters familiar with Ryan's thinking on Medicare) Do you support the Ryan Medicare plan? Or do you oppose it?

• Support 48%
• Oppose 47%

Survey of 869 likely voters was conducted August 16-21, 2012 for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and KLAS-TV. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 23% Independent.  Ideology: 39% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 16% Liberal.