Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 44% {47%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% {44%} [48%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (38%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% {4%}

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 78% {76%} [85%] (81%) {73%} [70%] (82%) {75%} [76%] (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 9% {16%} [11%] (11%) {18%} [16%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (20%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% {3%} 

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 84% {85%} [84%] (86%) {71%} [76%] (83%) {86%} [86%] (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 11% {7%} [10%] (11%) {16%} [13%] (8%) {6%} [8%] (12%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 2% {3%} 

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 46% {47%} [40%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (39%) {44%} [56%] (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 33% {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [39%] (37%) {41%} [29%] (28%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 15% {10%} 

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 48% {44%} [49%] (53%) {48%} [45%] (52%) {48%} [52%] (53%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 43% {49%} [44%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (38%) {40%} [39%] (36%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 6% {3%} 

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 45% {39%} [51%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (52%) {45%} [46%] (40%)
• Dean Heller (R) 41% {49%} [41%] (43%) {40%} [47%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 7% {5%}

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 34%
• No 66%

Already Voted

• Shelley Berkley (D) 55%
• Dean Heller (R) 41%
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 3%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Dean Heller (R) 46%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 38%
• David Lory VanderBeek (IAP) 8%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dean Heller’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {44%} [42%] (42%) {36%} [43%] (39%) {38%}
• Disapprove 47% {42%} [42%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (35%) {35%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley?

• Favorable 41% {40%} [41%] (42%) {38%} [33%] (38%) {33%} [34%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 53% {51%} [46%] (45%) {37%} [40%] (35%) {33%} [31%] (29%)

Survey of 636 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 22-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 34% {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 23% {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 14% {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.