Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% {51%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [43%] (47%) {42%} [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 53% {45%} [37%] (51%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {49%} [58%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 44% {52%} [52%] (41%) {37%} [54%] (47%) {44%} [27%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 63% {57%} (53%) {57%} [67%] (64%) {55%} [53%] (61%)
• Mitt Romney 34% {41%} (40%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {36%} [34%] (35%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% {45%} [46%] (52%) {46%} [41%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 48% {53%} [48%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% {49%} [55%] (54%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {48%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (45%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 57%
• Barack Obama 42%

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 69%
• Mitt Romney 28%

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 34%
• No 66%

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 61%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 46%

If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 49% {48%} [49%]
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [46%]
• Gary Johnson 3% {3%} [2%]
• Undecided 2% {2%} [2%]

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 38%
• Gary Johnson 4%
• Undecided 2%

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 45%
• Gary Johnson 3%
• Undecided 2%

Who do you think won the final Presidential debate: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 38%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 49% {48%}
• Mitt Romney 47% {49%}

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 51% {48%}
• Mitt Romney 46% {49%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 48% {50%} [46%] {41%} [38%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 49% {46%} [49%] {53%} [51%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {-1%}
• Gary Johnson 12% {10%} [8%] / 13% {17%} [24%] {-1%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51% {46%} [49%] {32%} [36%] (40%) {40%} [48%] (58%) / 43% {49%} [46%] {54%} [54%] (47%) {43%} [38%] (28%) {+8%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 38% {40%} [42%] {29%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [44%] (42%) / 59% {56%} [54%] {64%} [56%] (57%) {50%} [38%] (42%) {-21%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% {46%} [50%] {41%} [36%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) / 48% {50%} [44%] {54%} [56%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {0%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 49% {54%} [43%] {40%} [40%] (45%) {34%} [44%] (49%) / 49% {43%} [53%] {52%} [47%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (30%) {0%}

Already Voted

• Mitt Romney 40% / 57% {-17%}
  

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 53% / 44% {+9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 52% {49%} [48%] {49%} [50%] (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
• Disapprove 46% {48%} [49%] {47%} [46%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)

Survey of 636 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 22-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 42% {44%} [42%] (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [38%] (34%) {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {21%} [20%] (28%) {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 34% {33%} (35%) {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 23% {24%} (21%) {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} (15%) {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 14% {18%} (16%) {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {9%} (13%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Race: 66% White; 19% Hispanic; 8% Black; 7% Other.  Gender: 49% Male; 51% Female.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.