Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Mitchell Research Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%) {49%} [44%] (47%) 
• Mitt Romney 46% (47%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
• Someone else 2% (3%) {3%}
• Undecided 1% (3%) {4%}
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% (53%) {48%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 47% (39%) {45%} [43%] (41%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (54%) {54%} [44%] (52%)
  
• Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {41%} [42%] (41%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Mitt Romney 53% / 47% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 52% / 48% {+4%}

Survey of 1,305 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.71 percentage points.  Party ID: 46% (44.3%) {42%} Democrat; 39% (38.0%) {38%} Republican.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted August 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Obama leads by a large margin with younger voters. Among 18-29 year olds the lead is 67-23 and among 30-39 year olds it is 54-45. Obama leads 51-47 with 50-59 year olds. Obama and Romney are tied with 60-69 year old voters (49-49). Romney leads with just two age groups, 40-49 year olds (53-44) and 70 and over voters (50-48).

Both candidates have solidified their leads with their own party. Obama leads among Democrats 93-6 while Romney leads with Republicans 93-7. Among Independents, Romney leads by 4 percent (48-44).

By race, Obama leads by 92-7 with African-Americans while Romney leads with white voters by 7 (52-45). Among all other races, they are tied at 43 percent

Obama currently leads in labor households by 22 percent (60-38) while Romney leads in non-labor households by 4 (50-46). About one-third of the voters live in labor households and two-thirds in non-labor households.

Obama leads by an 88-6 margin in the City of Detroit. In the Tri-County area outside of Detroit, Obama leads by just 1 percent (49-48) while the areas outside the Tri-County area Romney leads by 1 percent (49-48).

Voters were given a choice between four issues and asked which one was the most important on in the choice they made for president. The top issue was jobs and the economy (66 percent) followed by national security (14), women's issues (12), and the auto bailout (8). Although Romney leads by 14 with those who say the economy (56-42), Obama leads among those who say national security (52-44), those who say women's issues (82-12) and those who say the auto bailout (77-15).