Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [43%] (46%)   
• Barack Obama 48% (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {51%} [49%] (45%) 
• Some other candidate 1% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% (1%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 58% (49%) {49%} [46%]  
• Barack Obama 37% (45%) {45%} [44%]

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 40% (39%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (28%) {24%} (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 10% (13%) {16%} [13%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (25%) {24%} (30%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 11% (15%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [15%] (14%) {22%} (22%)
• Very unfavorable 36% (31%) {33%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} (28%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?

• Very favorable 37% (39%)
• Somewhat favorable 13% (12%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 6% (7%)
• Very unfavorable 43% (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% (52%) {52%} [50%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {48%} [53%] (47%) / 47% (46%) {48%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {50%} [46%] (50%) {+3%} 
• Barack Obama 50% (51%) / 49% (47%) {+1%} 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 38% (40%) {31%} [31%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (36%) {31%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [31%]
• Somewhat approve 13% (10%) {16%} [19%] (15%) {11%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [20%]
• Somewhat disapprove 6% (7%) {9%} [4%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [8%]
• Strongly disapprove 43% (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (43%) {40%} [38%]

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 51% (50%) {47%} [50%] (53%) {51%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {53%} [51%]
  
• Disapprove 49% (49%) {53%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%]
  

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-three percent (93%) of the state’s voters say they have made up their minds how they will vote, and the race is 50%-50% among these voters.

Romney has the support of 90% of Virginia Republicans. The president has 93% backing from the state’s Democrats.

Virginia voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy by a 51% to 45% margin. The challenger leads the president by two points – 49% to 47% - in terms of voter trust when it comes to national security and energy policy.

Forty-six percent (46%) think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take over Congress, but only slightly fewer (40%) say the same is true if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. Thirty-eight percent (38%) expect the economy to get worse if Romney wins, compared to 43% who predict a worsening economy if the president wins.