Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {47%} [46%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% {49%} [50%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (41%)
• Other 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 2% {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [6%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 89% {87%} [92%] (92%) {90%} [82%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 9% {9%} [6%] (4%) {7%} [12%]
• Other 1% {1%}
• Undecided 1% {3%} [2%] (4%) {3%} [6%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 94% {93%} [94%] (95%) {93%} [81%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 4% {4%} [3%] (2%) {4%} [14%]
• Other 0%
• Undecided 2% {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [5%]

Among Independents

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% {48%} [45%] (51%) {47%} [62%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {48%} [48%] (42%) {43%} [31%]
• Other 1% {2%} [3%] (2%) {4%}
• Undecided 2% {2%} [4%] (5%) {6%} [7%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% {53%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [52%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% {44%} [42%] (45%) {43%} [44%]
• Other 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 1% {2%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [4%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% {51%} [49%] (55%) {52%} [58%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% {45%} [48%] (38%) {42%} [34%]
• Other 0% {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
• Undecided 2% {2%} [2%] (6%) {5%} [8%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all registered voters. Party ID: 35% {35%} [35%] (30%) {30%} [34%] Republican; 30% {29%} [29%] (30%) {28%} [30%] Democrat; 35% {36%} [36%] (40%) {42%} [36%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2012 are in parentheses.