Poll Watch: American Research Group Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [48%] (44%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (51%)
• Other 1% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 2% [3%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 90% [96%] (92%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 8% [2%] (5%)
• Other 0% [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (3%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 91% [95%] (87%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 7% [3%] (8%)
• Other 0% [0%] (1%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (4%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [48%] (47%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [44%] (47%)
• Other 2% [3%] (2%)
• Undecided 3% [5%] (4%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 54% [56%] (51%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 43% [41%] (45%)
• Other 1% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (3%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% [54%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [41%] (39%)
• Other 0% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% [4%] (4%)

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [51%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% [43%] (46%)
• Other 1% [2%] (1%)
• Undecided 2% [4%] (3%)

Age 50+

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53% [54%] (43%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [45%] (52%)
• Other 0% [0%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% [1%] (4%)

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted November 2-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% [35%] (36%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (32%) Republican; 29% [31%] (32%) Independent. Gender: 47% [46%] (47%) Men; 53% [54%] (53%) Women.  Age: 18-49: 54% [54%] (55%); 50 and older: 46% [46%] (45%).  Results from the poll conducted October 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.