Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• Tim Kaine (D) 49% (49%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%)
• George Allen (R) 47% (48%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Some other candidate 1% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {5%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 4% (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (7%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tim Kaine 

• Very favorable 32% (27%) {26%} [26%] (25%) {30%}
• Somewhat favorable 15% (23%) {23%} [27%] (27%) {20%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% (18%) [17%] (17%) {18%}
• Very unfavorable 33% (27%) [24%] (26%) {25%}

George Allen

• Very favorable 29% (28%) {24%} [26%] (27%) {24%}
• Somewhat favorable 20% (21%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {22%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 13% (19%) [15%] (18%) {17%}
• Very unfavorable 30% (25%) [27%] (26%) {29%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• George Allen 49% (49%) {47%} [49%] (50%) {46%} / 43% (44%) {46%} [42%] (44%) {46%} {+6%}
• Tim Kaine 47% (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%) {50%} / 46% (45%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {43%} {+1%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted November 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-three percent (93%) of likely Virginia voters say they are certain they will vote in tomorrow’s election. Among these voters, it's Kaine 49%, Allen 48%.

Allen has the support of 60% of white voters in the state, while 92% of blacks favor Kaine. Among voters of other races, the Democrat leads 47% to 41%.