Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• Tim Kaine (D) 49% {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%)
• George Allen (R) 48% {48%} [47%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (45%)
• Undecided 3% {3%} [4%] (3%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (7%)

Among Independents

• Tim Kaine (D) 48% {45%} [43%] (44%) {36%} 
• George Allen (R) 47% {46%} [45%] (46%) {47%} 

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tim Kaine 

• Very favorable 27% {26%} [26%] (25%) {30%}
• Somewhat favorable 23% {23%} [27%] (27%) {20%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 18% [17%] (17%) {18%}
• Very unfavorable 27% [24%] (26%) {25%}

George Allen

• Very favorable 28% {24%} [26%] (27%) {24%}
• Somewhat favorable 21% {23%} [23%] (23%) {22%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 19% [15%] (18%) {17%}
• Very unfavorable 25% [27%] (26%) {29%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Tim Kaine 50% {49%} [53%] (52%) {50%} / 45% {43%} [41%] (43%) {43%} {+5%}
• George Allen 49% {47%} [49%] (50%) {46%} / 44% {46%} [42%] (44%) {46%} {+5%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-three percent (93%) of the state’s voters say they are certain to vote this year. Allen leads 50% to 48% among these voters.

Allen has the backing of 88% of Virginia Republicans. Kaine has the support of 91% of the state’s Democrats.