Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% [49%] (48%) {48%} [48.56%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [48%] (48%) {49%} [48.49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%) 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (46%) {51%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%] 
• Barack Obama 46% [46%] (46%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% [53%] (54%) {53%} [54%] (58%) {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
• Mitt Romney 40% [42%] (41%) {43%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [50%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (53%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
• Barack Obama 45% [44%] (44%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% [52%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]

(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 69% [69%] (69%) {66%} [64%] (64%) {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 27% [26%] (27%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
• Not so enthusiastic 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?

• Very enthusiastic 61% [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
• Somewhat enthusiastic 32% [32%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
• Not so enthusiastic 4% [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
• Not enthusiastic at all 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 

• Approve 51% [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% [49%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
  

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?

• Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 47% [46%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)

Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?

• Barack Obama 51% [50%] (50%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (44%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)

Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year?

• Barack Obama 55% (52%)
• Mitt Romney 35% (40%)

Survey of 2,345 likely voters was conducted November 1-4, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% [33%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 29% [29%] (29%) {29%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 32% [34%] (34%) {35%} [36%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.