Sunday, November 04, 2012

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Tracking Survey

  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% {48%} [48.56%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [48.44%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {49%} [48.49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48.51%] (48%) 
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46% {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (40%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {42%} [43%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% {51%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [53%] (55%) {56%} [58%] (57%) {54%} [52%]
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 54% {53%} [54%] (58%) {57%} [57%] (57%) {56%} [56%] (56%) {57%} [57%]
  • Mitt Romney 41% {43%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [40%]
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 51% {51%} [51%] (53%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {55%} [58%] (57%) {57%} [53%]
  • Barack Obama 44% {45%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% {50%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [52%] (52%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {56%} [53%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% {48%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [44%]
(Among Obama Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 69% {66%} [64%] (64%) {65%} [66%] (64%) {61%} [59%] (60%) {60%} [62%] (64%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 27% {30%} [31%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 2% {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
(Among Romney Voters) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Mitt Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all?
  • Very enthusiastic 63% {62%} [62%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (59%) {59%} [58%] (60%) {62%} [62%] (58%)
  • Somewhat enthusiastic 31% {33%} [32%] (35%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (35%)
  • Not so enthusiastic 3% {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (5%)
  • Not enthusiastic at all 2% {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? 
  • Approve 50% {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 48% {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%)
Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you trust to do a better job handling the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 49% {50%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {51%} [51%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in this country are having?
  • Barack Obama 50% {50%} [50%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {45%} [45%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 54% (52%) / 45% (46%) {+9%}
  • Mitt Romney 53% (50%) / 45% (47%) {+8%}
Survey of 1,809 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2012The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {32%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 29% {29%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [29%] (29%) Republican; 34% {35%} [36%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 25-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

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