Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [50%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (41%)
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% [46%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
• Other 1% [1%] (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 3% [3%] (4%) {4%} [6%] (11%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 87% [92%] (92%) {90%} [82%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 9% [6%] (4%) {7%} [12%]
• Other 1%
• Undecided 3% [2%] (4%) {3%} [6%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 93% [94%] (95%) {93%} [81%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 4% [3%] (2%) {4%} [14%]
• Undecided 3% [3%] (3%) {3%} [5%]

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% [48%] (42%) {43%} [31%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [45%] (51%) {47%} [62%]
• Other 2% [3%] (2%) {4%}
• Undecided 2% [4%] (5%) {6%} [7%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53% [53%] (52%) {51%} [52%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [42%] (45%) {43%} [44%]
• Other 1% [1%] (1%) {2%}
• Undecided 2% [4%] (3%) {4%} [4%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% [49%] (55%) {52%} [58%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% [48%] (38%) {42%} [34%]
• Other 2% [1%] (1%) {1%}
• Undecided 2% [2%] (6%) {5%} [8%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all registered voters. Party ID: 35% [35%] (30%) {30%} [34%] Republican; 29% [29%] (30%) {28%} [30%] Democrat; 36% [36%] (40%) {42%} [36%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2012 are in parentheses.