Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 46%
• Some other candidate 1%
• Undecided 1%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 37%

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 29%
• Somewhat favorable 19%
• Somewhat unfavorable 15%
• Very unfavorable 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 48% / 49% {-1%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 32%
• Somewhat approve 21%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 35%

President Obama Job Approval 

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 45%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

Ninety percent (90%) of likely voters in the state are certain they will vote this election. Among those who are certain, the president receives 51% of the vote, while Romney picks up 47%. Eighty-six percent (86%) of Minnesota voters say they have already decided whom they will vote for. The president is ahead 52% to 48% among these voters.

Obama edges Romney 48% to 47% when it comes to which candidate voters in Minnesota trust more to handle the economy. When it comes to national security, the gap is a bit wider: 51% trust Obama more, while 44% place more faith in Romney.

Forty-three percent (43%) of voters in Minnesota believe that if the president is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, the U.S. economy will get better. The same number (44%), however, feel it will get worse. Similarly, 42% think economic conditions in the country will get better if Romney wins the presidency and the GOP gains control of Congress, but 43% say the economy will get worse.

Romney is ahead among men, while the president leads among women.