POLITICO/GWU 2012 Battleground Brushfire Tracking Poll
- Barack Obama 48% [49%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {53%} [49%]
- Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {43%} [43%]
Among Men
The Economy
- Mitt Romney 52% [55%]
- Barack Obama 44% [43%]
- Barack Obama 53% [54%]
- Mitt Romney 45% [43%]
- Barack Obama 51% [51%] (52%) [52%] (50%) {53%} [50%] / 45% [47%] (44%) [45%] (47%) {46%} [47%] {+6%}
- Mitt Romney 50% [52%] (50%) [47%] (46%) {46%} [46%] / 44% [43%] (45%) [47%] (48%) {49%} [46%] {+6%}
- Approve 49% [50%] (49%) [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%]
- Disapprove 49% [49%] (49%) [48%] (49%) {47%} [50%]
The Economy
- Approve 47% [45%] (45%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [44%]
- Disapprove 52% [54%] (53%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [54%]
- Approve 38% [40%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (42%) {40%} [37%]
- Disapprove 60% [58%] (57%) {56%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [61%]
I would like to read you a list of issues that some people have
said are important to them. Please tell me, for each one, who will
better handle this issue -- Mitt Romney or Barack Obama.
The Economy
The Economy
- Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%)
- Barack Obama 46% [46%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [44%] (45%)
Jobs
- Mitt Romney 50% [51%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [50%]
- Barack Obama 46% [46%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [44%]
- Barack Obama 55% [54%] (55%) {54%} [56%] (54%) {57%} [54%] (58%)
- Mitt Romney 41% [41%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (35%)
- Barack Obama 49% [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [47%] (51%)
- Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (47%) {47%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%)
- Barack Obama 51% [51%] (51%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
- Mitt Romney 43% [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%)
- Barack Obama 52% [52%] (51%) {49%} [50%] (52%) {52%} [54%] (51%)
- Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (42%) {45%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)
- Mitt Romney 52% [54%] (55%) {54%} [50%] (50%) {50%}
- Barack Obama 43% [42%] (40%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {45%}
- Barack Obama 49% [49%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (48%)
- Mitt Romney 44% [46%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
- Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
- Mitt Romney 46% [46%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
- Mitt Romney 49% [49%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (47%)
- Barack Obama 43% [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (45%)
Regardless of who you intend to vote for – which candidate for President do you think is going to win the election?
- Barack Obama 53% [54%] (51%) {53%} [61%] (61%) {60%} [56%]
- Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (37%) {37%} [31%] (29%) {30%} [33%]
Independents are now split evenly, with Obama up 44 to 43 percent. A week ago, Romney had a 10-point advantage among this key demographic. The ranks of independents shrunk partly because more right-leaning voters now supporting Romney identified with the Republican Party.
A full 27 percent of those surveyed said they’ve already cast their ballot. Of them, Obama leads 50 to 48 percent.
Another 58 percent who have not voted yet described themselves as “extremely likely” to vote. Of them, Romney leads 49 to 46 percent.
A week ago, 17 percent of Democrats said they had already voted and 13 percent of Republicans did. Now 27 percent of both Democrats and Republicans say they’ve already cast their ballots.
Celinda Lake, the Democratic pollster who helped conduct the bipartisan poll, notes that the intensity gap narrowed: 57 percent of Democrats who have not yet voted say they are certain to vote, compared to 59 percent for Republicans.
Among mothers — single and divorced — the race is tied at 48 percent apiece supporting Obama and Romney.
Obama appears to have gained politically from Hurricane Sandy — which battered the Northeast this past week — at least so far.
Across the Northeastern states, the poll finds Obama up by 20 points, 58 to 38 percent. A week ago, he was only up 8 percent in the region.
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