Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Montana 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 53% {53%} [55%] (51%) {51%} [49%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 43% {45%} [38%] (42%) {44%} [40%] (41%)
• Some other candidate 1% {1%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [9%] (7%)
• Undecided 4% {1%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (4%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 38% {35%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [13%]
• Somewhat favorable 13% {19%} [32%] (32%) {35%} [36%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% {12%} [16%] (24%) {15%} [23%]
• Very unfavorable 30% {33%} [28%] (26%) {24%} [25%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 51% {54%} [53%] (49%) {57%} [49%] / 45% {45%} [44%] (50%) {39%} [48%] {+6%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 35% {29%} [22%] (23%) {28%} [24%] (26%)
• Somewhat approve 16% {18%} [20%] (20%) {15%} [18%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {11%} [7%] (10%) {7%} [7%] (7%)
• Strongly disapprove 43% {42%} [49%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (48%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 51% {47%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (44%)
• Disapprove 49% {53%} [56%] (56%0 {56%} [57%] (55%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Montana voters have already voted at this point. Among those who have already cast their ballots, it’s Obama 49%, Romney 46%.

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of likely Montana voters are certain they will vote in this year’s presidential election. Romney leads 54% to 42% in this group.

Romney is ahead 48% to 41% among Montana voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Montana voters trust Romney more than Obama to handle the economy by a 52% to 42% margin. Romney has a 48% to 44% edge in voter trust when it comes to national security.