Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Rick Perry 51% [45%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [47%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [50%] (49%)
  • Barack Obama 41% [42%] (42%)
  • Ron Paul 43% [45%]
  • Barack Obama 42% [40%]
  • Barack Obama 46% (43%)
  • Newt Gingrich 45% (48%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [44%]
  • Michele Bachmann 43% [47%]
Note: In 2008, John McCain received 55% of the vote in Texas. In 2004, George W. Bush received 61% of the vote in TX.

Among Independents
  • Ron Paul 45% [38%]
  • Barack Obama 44% [45%]
    • Barack Obama 43% [47%] (43%)
    • Mitt Romney 42% [33%] (41%)
    • Barack Obama 52% [59%] (50%)
    • Rick Perry 41% [27%] (31%)
    • Barack Obama 49% [54%]
    • Michele Bachmann 36% [28%]
    • Barack Obama 52% (48%)
    • Newt Gingrich 37% (34%)
    Note: In 2008, John McCain received 62% of the Independent vote in Texas (33% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 67% of the Independent vote in TX (24% of the electorate). 
        Among Men
        • Rick Perry 52% [53%] (47%)
        • Barack Obama 43% [40%] (45%)
        • Mitt Romney 48% [54%] (50%)
        • Barack Obama 41% [37%] (42%)
        • Ron Paul  47% [51%]
        • Barack Obama 41% [33%]
        • Newt Gingrich 47% (48%)
        • Barack Obama 45% (44%)
        • Michele Bachmann 45% [53%]
        • Barack Obama 44% [40%]
        Note: In 2008, John McCain received 59% of the Male vote in Texas (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 60% of the Male vote in TX (45% of the electorate).

        Among Women
        • Rick Perry 51% [39%] (43%)
        • Barack Obama 44% [52%] (45%)
        • Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (48%)
        • Barack Obama 40% [45%] (43%)
        • Barack Obama 46% (43%)
        • Newt Gingrich 44% (48%)
        • Barack Obama 45% [47%]
        • Michele Bachmann 41% [42%]
        • Barack Obama 43% [47%]
        • Ron Paul 39% [39%]
        Note: In 2008, John McCain received 52% of the Female vote in Texas (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 63% of the Female vote in TX (55% of the electorate).


        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Mitt Romney 32% [37%] (40%) / 49% [43%] (37%) {-17%}
        • Ron Paul 29% [30%] / 54% [46%] {-25%}
        • Newt Gingrich 29% (38%) / 56% (44%) {-27%}
        • Michele Bachmann 27% [39%] / 55% [36%] {-28%}
          Among Republicans
          • Newt Gingrich 48% (63%) / 36% (20%) {+12%}
          • Mitt Romney 38% [53%] (53%) / 43% [29%] (24%) {-5%}
          • Michele Bachmann 35% [51%] / 46% [23%] {-11%}
          • Ron Paul 30% [33%] / 54% [43%] {-24%}
          Among Independents
          • Mitt Romney 39% [29%] (35%) / 43% [51%] (37%) {-4%}
          • Ron Paul 40% [39%] / 47% [41%] {-7%}
          • Michele Bachmann 28% [32%] / 55% [41%] {-27%}
          • Newt Gingrich 26% (26%) / 58% (58%) {-32%}
            Among Moderates
            • Mitt Romney 32% [24%] (32%) / 44% [54%] (38%) {-12%}
            • Ron Paul 30% [29%] / 52% [43%] {-22%}
            • Michele Bachmann 17% [25%] / 64% [55%] {-47%}
            • Newt Gingrich 18% (24%) / 67% (55%) {-49%}
              Among Men
              • Ron Paul 34% [36%] / 53% [46%] {-19%}
              • Newt Gingrich 35% (42%) / 56% (48%) {-21%}
              • Michele Bachmann 32% [43%] / 53% [41%] {-21%}
              • Mitt Romney 29% [41%] (46%) / 58% [45%] (40%) {-29%}
              Among Women
              • Mitt Romney 35% [34%] (34%) / 41% [42%] (34%) {-6%}
              • Michele Bachmann 23% [36%] / 58% [32%] {-35%}
              • Newt Gingrich 24% (35%) / 56% (40%) {-32%}
              • Ron Paul 23% [24%] / 55% [46%] {-32%}
                Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
                • Approve 40% [42%] (42%)
                • Disapprove 55% [55%] (55%)
                    Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?
                    • Approve 45% [43%]
                    • Disapprove 48% [52%]
                    Among Republicans
                    • Approve 78%
                    • Disapprove 14%
                    Among Independents
                    • Approve 32%
                    • Disapprove 61%
                    Among Moderates
                    • Approve 22%
                    • Disapprove 73%
                    Among Men
                    • Approve 48%
                    • Disapprove 47%
                    Among Women
                    • Approve 44%
                    • Disapprove 49%
                      Survey of 569 Texas voters was conducted September 15-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% [44%] (42%) Republican; 36% [35%] (31%) Democrat; 20% [21%] (27%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% [29%] Moderate; 26% [26%] Somewhat conservative; 23% [26%] Very conservative; 14% [13%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [6%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in parentheses.

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