Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 44% {41%} [43%] (39%) {38%} [43%] {40%} [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 42% {44%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [42%] {45%} [42%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 28-29, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the polls conducted August 17-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted between July 14-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-4, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Both Obama and Romney draw support from roughly three-quarters of the voters in their respective parties. Romney holds a narrow 42% to 37% lead among voters not affiliated with either the Republicans or the Democrats. 

Male voters prefer Romney by 12 points, while female voters give the edge to Obama by eight. Voters under 40 like the president, but older voters favor Romney. 

Seventy-two percent (72%) of those who say they are part of the Tea Party movement support Romney. Most non-members (53%) opt for the incumbent.