Thursday, July 11, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 71% [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 12% [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% [0%]
  • Mark Warner 2% [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
  • Cory Booker 1% (3%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 1% [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 5% [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Joe Biden 51% [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 9% [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
  • Cory Booker 6%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% [6%]
  • Martin O'Malley 2% [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%] 
  • Mark Warner 1% [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]
If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
  • Elizabeth Warren 20% [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 18% [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
  • Cory Booker 12%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 7% [5%]
  • Martin O'Malley 4% [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%] 
  • Brian Schweitzer 3% [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
  • Mark Warner 2% [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 33% [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 87% [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 7% [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+80%}
  • Joe Biden 80% [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 8% [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+72%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 41% [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+33%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 34% [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 15% [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+19%}
  • Cory Booker 27% / 9% {+18%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 22% [14%] / 11% [6%] {+11%}
  • Martin O'Malley 12% [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 6% [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+6%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 10% [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 5% [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {+5%}
  • Mark Warner 14% [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 10% [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+4%}
Survey of 260 Iowa Democrats was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 35% [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 18% [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 7% [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

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