Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 27%
• Ted Cruz 23%
• Marco Rubio 10%
• Ben Carson 7%
• Jeb Bush 4% 
• Chris Christie 4%
• Carly Fiorina 2%
• Mike Huckabee 2%
• John Kasich 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 18-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA/Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

SurveyUSA/Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Scott Walker 29%
• Jeb Bush 16% 
• Mike Huckabee 14%
• Ben Carson 13%
• Rand Paul 8%
• Chris Christie 7%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Other/Undecided 10%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 20-23, 2015.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, Kay Hagan, the Democrat, or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian?

• Thom Tillis (R) 42% (41%) {41%} [37%] (41%)
• Kay Hagan (D) 41% (46%) {42%} [44%] (37%)
• Sean Haugh (L) 6% (4%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
• Undecided 9% (7%) {7%} [9%] (10%)

And now suppose only two candidates were running for U.S. Senate. For whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, or Kay Hagan, the Democrat?

• Thom Tillis (R) 44% (43%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Kay Hagan (D) 44% (50%) {46%} [48%] (43%)
• Undecided 10% (6%) {5%} [5%] (9%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted October 15-18, 2014 by National Research Inc.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25 and 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 50% {43%} [47%] (41%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 43% {45%} [43%] (46%)
• Undecided 6% {10%} [9%] (12%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014 by National Research Inc.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, who would you vote for?

• Kay Hagan (D) 46%
• Thom Tillis (R) 43%
• Sean Haugh (L) 5%

What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan?

• Kay Hagan (D) 47% (45%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 46% (46%)

Survey of 490 likely voters was conducted September 9-10, 2014 for the Civitas Institute (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (42%) Democrat; 32% (33%) Republican; 27% (20%) Independent. Ideology: 41% (38%) Conservative; 39% (39%) Moderate; 16% (17%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 27-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 40%
• Elizabeth Warren 12%
• Joe Biden 9%
• Andrew Cuomo 3%
• Bernie Sanders 2%
• Howard Dean 1%
• Jim Webb 1%
• Amy Klobuchar 0%
• Martin O'Malley 0%
  

Survey of 336 Democratic and Democratic-leaning Independent primary voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. Party ID: 68% Democrat; 32% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 16%
• Chris Christie 9%
• Rand Paul 9%
• Marco Rubio 8%
• Rick Perry 7%
• Ted Cruz 7%
• Scott Walker 3%
• Bobby Jindal 3%
• Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of 336 Republican and GOP-leaning Independent primary voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. Party ID: 62% Republican; 38% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%

• Jeb Bush (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Rand Paul (R) 47%

• Chris Christie (R) 49%
• Joe Biden (D) 42%

• Jeb Bush (R) 50%
• Joe Biden (D) 44%

• Rand Paul (R) 49%
• Joe Biden (D) 44%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for US Senate were being held today for whom would you vote between Thom Tillis, the Republican, Kay Hagan, the Democrat, or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian?

• Kay Hagan (D) 41% [42%] (36%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 39% [36%] (39%)
• Sean Haugh (L) 7% [9%] (8%) 
• Undecided 12% [12%] (15%)

And now suppose only two candidates were running for U.S. Senate. For whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican or Kay Hagan, the Democrat?

• Thom Tillis (R) 45% [43%] (46%)
• Kay Hagan (D) 43% [47%] (41%)
• Undecided 10% [9%] (12%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 47% (41%)
• Thom Tillis (R) 43% (46%)
• Undecided 9% (12%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Thom Tillis (R) 46%
• Kay Hagan (D) 41%
• Undecided 12%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted May 20-22, 2014.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Thom Tillis 39% {23%} [27%] (28%)
• Greg Brannon 20% {15%} [13%] (15%)
• Mark Harris 15% {11%} [9%] (6%)
• Edward Kryn 2% {2%} [0%] (3%)
• Heather Grant 2% {6%} [5%] (11%)
• Jim Snyder 2% {3%} [5%] (4%) 
• Ted Alexander 1% {6%} [1%] (7%)
• Alex Lee Bradshaw 1% {1%} [2%] (4%)
• Undecided 19% {34%} [38%] (23%)

Survey of 392 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 16-22, 2014 for the Civitas Institute (R). The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 27-31, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Thom Tillis 27% (28%)
• Greg Brannon 13% (15%)
• Mark Harris 9% (6%)
• Jim Snyder 5% (4%)
• Heather Grant 5% (11%)
• Alex Lee Bradshaw 2% (4%)
• Ted Alexander 1% (7%)
• Edward Kryn 0% (3%)
• Undecided 38% (23%)

Survey of 405 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 19-23, 2014 on behalf of the Civitas Institute. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 48% {45%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47% {49%} [48%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (39%) {39%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2012 by National Research, Inc. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [48%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (39%) {39%}
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% [49%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {50%}

Now suppose the Libertarian candidates were running. For whom would you vote between the following:  Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, Republicans; or Barack Obama and Joe Biden, Democrats; or Gary Johnson and James P. Gray, Libertarians?

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 47%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43%
• Gary Johnson-James P. Gray 4% 

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 18-19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49% (50%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 48% (45%) {45%} [48%] (39%) {39%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 50% {47%} / 44% {42%} {+6%}
• Barack Obama 47% {50%} [49%] / 50% {48%} [48%] {-3%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 16-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted June 29 - July 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas (R)/SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Civitas (R)/SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% {47%} [46%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [48%] (39%) {39%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 54% 
• Barack Obama 36%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59%
  
• Mitt Romney 38% 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% 
• Barack Obama 43% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 48%
  
• Mitt Romney 46%

Survey of 558 registered voters was conducted June 29 - July 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Democrat; 30% Republican; 31% Independent.  Ideology: 39% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 17% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27-28, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Civitas (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 47% [46%] (48%) {50%}
• Barack Obama 45% [48%] (39%) {39%}

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted May 19-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.