Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)
• Donald Trump (R) 31% (33%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 16% (14%)
• Jill Stein (G) 4%

Survey of 1,103 New Mexico voters was conducted August 19-21, 2016 for NM Political Report. Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
• Donald Trump (R) 33%
• Gary Johnson (L) 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 35% / 54% {-19%}
• Donald Trump 32% / 60% {-28%}

Survey of 802 likely New Mexico voters was conducted May 13-15, 2016 for NM Political Report.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Democrat; 41% Republican; 13% Independent.

Poll Watch: Vox Populi Polling (R) New Mexico 2014 Senatorial Survey

Vox Populi Polling (R) New Mexico 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Udall (D) 47%
• Allen Weh (R) 43%

Survey of 614 active voters was conducted October 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.95 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Albuquerque Journal New Mexico 2014 Senatorial Survey

Albuquerque Journal New Mexico 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Udall (D) 50% [51%] (53%)
• Allen Weh (R) 43% [38%] (35%) 

Among Men

• Allen Weh (R) 49%
• Tom Udall (D) 46%

Among Women

• Tom Udall (D) 53%
• Allen Weh (R) 37%

Survey of 614 likely voters was conducted October 21-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Udall (D) 52% {53%} [54%] (52%)
• Allen Weh (R) 36% {35%} [36%] (44%)
• Other 1% {2%} [2%]
• Not sure 11% {10%} [8%]

Survey of 962 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Udall (D) 53% [54%] (52%)
• Allen Weh (R) 35% [36%] (44%)
• Other 2% [2%]
• Not sure 10% [8%]

Survey of 1,093 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Mexico 2014 Senate Poll

• Tom Udall (D) 54% (52%)
• Allen Weh (R) 36% (44%)
• Other 2%
• Not sure 8%

Survey of 1,096 likely voters was conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Gary King (D) 43%
• Susana Martinez (R) 43%
• Some other candidate 7%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 860 likely New Mexico voters was conducted July 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Susana Martinez (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Rand Paul (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Jeb Bush (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Ted Cruz (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Chris Christie (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 34%

Do you think Susana Martinez should run for President in 2016, or not?

• Think she should 17%
• Think she should not 69%

Survey of 674 registered voters was conducted March 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Democrat; 28% Republican; 22% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 20% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 16% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Albuquerque Journal New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

Albuquerque Journal New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (40%)
• Gary Johnson 5% (7%)
• Undecided/Don't know 5% (8%)

Survey of likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 23-25, 2012.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 52% (51%) {50%} [48%] (48%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 44% (41%) {41%} [43%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Heather Wilson (R) 45% (50%) {48%} [40%] (37%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 45% (38%) {37%} [45%] (40%)

Among Men

• Heather Wilson (R) 49% (41%) {46%} [47%] (49%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 48% (51%) {45%} [45%] (43%) 

Among Women

• Martin Heinrich (D) 56% (51%) {53%} [50%] (51%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 40% (41%) {37%} [39%] (39%)

Among Whites

• Heather Wilson (R) 55% (45%) {46%} [53%] (50%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 42% (47%) {46%} [40%] (42%) 

Among Hispanics

• Martin Heinrich (D) 64% (59%) {56%} [56%] (55%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 33% (36%) {32%} [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Martin Heinrich 45% (46%) {45%} [39%] (34%) / 41% (39%) {35%} [40%] (31%) {+4%}
• Heather Wilson 46% (40%) {38%} [38%] (40%) / 46% (50%) {50%} [49%] (45%) {0%}

Survey of 727 likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 23-24, 2012.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Party ID: 52% (53%) [52%] (50%) Democrat; 31% (31%) [33%] (32%) Republican; 17% (16%) [16%] (18%) Independent/Other. Race: 47% (50%) [50%] (53%) White; 44% (39%) [40%] (38%) Hispanic; 8% (11%) [10%] (9%) Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [52%] (52%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 49% [34%] (39%) {43%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [47%] (45%) {48%} [38%] (39%) {44%} [35%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [43%] (47%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {42%} [44%] (39%)
• Barack Obama 49% [48%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% [54%] (57%) {57%} [51%] (61%) {57%} [51%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [43%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (35%) {35%} [40%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 56% [48%] (47%) {50%} [56%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% [48%] (48%) {46%} [38%] (44%) {44%} [40%] (43%) 

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 63% [58%] (58%) {63%} [56%] (67%) {64%} [56%] (65%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [36%] (36%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {26%} [35%] (25%)

Survey of 727 likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 23-24, 2012.  Party ID: 52% [53%] (51%) {51%} [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 31% [31%] (30%) {33%} [33%] (32%) {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 17% [16%] (19%) {16%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Race: 47% [50%] (56%) {56%} [50%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (53%) White; 44% [39%] (35%) {34%} [40%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (39%) Hispanic; 8% [11%] (9%) {11%} [10%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% (51%) {52%} [52%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (40%) {38%} [36%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 2% (6%)
• Undecided 2% (2%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 27% (31%) {19%}
• Somewhat favorable 16% (14%) {23%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% (14%) {22%}
• Very unfavorable 39% (40%) {34%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 43% (45%) {42%} [41%] / 53% (54%) {56%} [56%] {-10%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 38% (32%) {31%} [27%] (30%)
• Somewhat approve 17% (24%) {23%} [27%] (22%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (6%) {10%} [9%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 37% (36%) {36%} [36%] (36%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 55% (56%) {54%} [54%] (52%)
• Disapprove 44% (42%) {46%} [45%] (48%)

Survey of 500 likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of likely New Mexico voters are certain of their vote at this time. Among these voters, 56% prefer the president, while 44% support Romney.

Voters in the state not affiliated with either major political party prefer the president by a 52% to 41% margin.

By a 51% to 44% margin, New Mexico voters trust the president more than Romney when it comes to handling the economy. They also give the president a 53% to 42% edge on national security.

Forty-six percent (46%) of New Mexico voters believe the economy will get better if Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress. By comparison, just 37% feel the economy will improve if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 51% {50%} [48%] (48%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 41% {41%} [43%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Heather Wilson (R) 50% {48%} [40%] (37%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 38% {37%} [45%] (40%)

Among Men

• Martin Heinrich (D) 51% {45%} [45%] (43%) 
• Heather Wilson (R) 41% {46%} [47%] (49%)

Among Women

• Martin Heinrich (D) 51% {53%} [50%] (51%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 41% {37%} [39%] (39%)

Among Whites

• Martin Heinrich (D) 47% {46%} [40%] (42%) 
• Heather Wilson (R) 45% {46%} [53%] (50%)

Among Hispanics

• Martin Heinrich (D) 59% {56%} [56%] (55%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 36% {32%} [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Martin Heinrich 46% {45%} [39%] (34%) / 39% {35%} [40%] (31%) {+7%}
• Heather Wilson 40% {38%} [38%] (40%) / 50% {50%} [49%] (45%) {-10%}

Survey of 778 likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 2-3, 2012.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Party ID: 53% [52%] (50%) Democrat; 31% [33%] (32%) Republican; 16% [16%] (18%) Independent/Other. Race: 50% [50%] (53%) White; 39% [40%] (38%) Hispanic; 11% [10%] (9%) Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% (52%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (43%) {42%} [44%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (45%) {48%} [38%] (39%) {44%} [35%] (29%)
• Barack Obama 34% (39%) {43%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (56%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% (46%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (47%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {42%} [44%] (39%) 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% (57%) {57%} [51%] (61%) {57%} [51%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (39%) {39%} [40%] (35%) {35%} [40%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 48% (48%) {46%} [38%] (44%) {44%} [40%] (43%) 
• Mitt Romney 48% (47%) {50%} [56%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%)

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 58% (58%) {63%} [56%] (67%) {64%} [56%] (65%)
• Mitt Romney 36% (36%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {26%} [35%] (25%)

Survey of 778 likely New Mexico voters was conducted October 2-3, 2012.  Party ID: 53% (51%) {51%} [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 31% (30%) {33%} [33%] (32%) {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 16% (19%) {16%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Race: 50% (56%) {56%} [50%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (53%) White; 39% (35%) {34%} [40%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (39%) Hispanic; 11% (9%) {11%} [10%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 40% {38%} [36%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 6%
• Undecided 2%

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Mitt Romney

• Very favorable 31% {19%}
• Somewhat favorable 14% {23%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% {22%}
• Very unfavorable 40% {34%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 45% {42%} [41%] / 54% {56%} [56%] {-9%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 32% {31%} [27%] (30%)
• Somewhat approve 24% {23%} [27%] (22%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% {10%} [9%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 36% {36%} [36%] (36%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 56% {54%} [54%] (52%)
• Disapprove 42% {46%} [45%] (48%)

Survey of 500 likely New Mexico voters was conducted September 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Obama has a 26-point lead among female voters in New Mexico, while Romney leads among male voters in the state by five. The president is well ahead in all age demographic groups.

Voters not affiliated with either major party prefer the president by a 49% to 31% margin.

Obama also posts double-digit leads over his Republican challenger when New Mexico voters are asked whom they trust more in five key policy areas – the economy, health care, national security, taxes and energy policy.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 52% {48%} [46%] (45%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 39% {41%} [42%] (43%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 21, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters in the state have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Heinrich, while 37% view him unfavorably. That includes Very Favorables of 29% and Very Unfavorables of 24%.

By comparison, 45% share a favorable opinion of Wilson and 48% view her unfavorably, with Very Favorables of 23% and Very Unfavorables of 30%.

Heinrich leads Wilson among men and women in New Mexico and among all age groups as well.

Among voters not affiliated with either political party, it’s Heinrich 52%, Wilson 36%.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% {53%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [44%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45% {48%} [38%] (39%) {44%} [35%] (29%)
• Barack Obama 39% {43%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (56%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [49%] (45%) {42%} [44%] (39%) 
• Barack Obama 46% {48%} [45%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% {57%} [51%] (61%) {57%} [51%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {39%} [40%] (35%) {35%} [40%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 48% {46%} [38%] (44%) {44%} [40%] (43%) 
• Mitt Romney 47% {50%} [56%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%)

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 58% {63%} [56%] (67%) {64%} [56%] (65%)
• Mitt Romney 36% {32%} [34%] (30%) {26%} [35%] (25%)

Survey of 3,111 likely New Mexico voters was conducted September 17-20, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund.  The margin of error is +/- 1.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 51% {51%} [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 30% {33%} [33%] (32%) {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 19% {16%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Race: 56% {56%} [50%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (53%) White; 35% {34%} [40%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (39%) Hispanic; 9% {11%} [10%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Senate Poll

• Martin Heinrich (D) 50% [48%] (48%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 41% [43%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Heather Wilson (R) 48% [40%] (37%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 37% [45%] (40%)

Among Men

• Heather Wilson (R) 46% [47%] (49%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 45% [45%] (43%)

Among Women

• Martin Heinrich (D) 53% [50%] (51%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 37% [39%] (39%)

Among Whites

• Heather Wilson (R) 46% [53%] (50%)
• Martin Heinrich (D) 46% [40%] (42%)

Among Hispanics

• Martin Heinrich (D) 56% [56%] (55%)
• Heather Wilson (R) 32% [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Martin Heinrich 45% [39%] (34%) / 35% [40%] (31%) {+10%}
• Heather Wilson 38% [38%] (40%) / 50% [49%] (45%) {-12%}

Survey of 1,122 likely New Mexico voters was conducted September 7-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Party ID: [52%] (50%) Democrat; [33%] (32%) Republican; [16%] (18%) Independent/Other. Race: [50%] (53%) White; [40%] (38%) Hispanic; [10%] (9%) Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [44%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% [38%] (39%) {44%} [35%] (29%)
• Barack Obama 43% [47%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (56%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 47% [49%] (45%) {42%} [44%] (39%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% [51%] (61%) {57%} [51%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [40%] (35%) {35%} [40%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 50% [56%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 46% [38%] (44%) {44%} [40%] (43%)

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 63% [56%] (67%) {64%} [56%] (65%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [34%] (30%) {26%} [35%] (25%)

Survey of 1,122 likely New Mexico voters was conducted September 7-9, 2012. Party ID: 51% [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 33% [33%] (32%) {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 16% [16%] (18%) {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Race: 56% [50%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (53%) White; 34% [40%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (39%) Hispanic; 11% [10%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.