Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Name Recognition/Republican Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 Name Recognition/GOP Favorability Survey

Name Recognition
  • Sarah Palin 97% [97%] {95%} (96%) [96%] {95%}
  • Rudy Giuliani 91% [91%] {90%} (89%) [87%] {86%}
  • Mitt Romney 86% [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
  • Newt Gingrich 85% [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
  • Michele Bachmann 83% [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
  • Ron Paul 78% [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
  • Rick Perry 67% [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
  • Rick Santorum 51% [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
  • Herman Cain 47% [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
  • Jon Huntsman 40% [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%}
Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate

Herman Cain
  • Strongly Favorable 29% [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
  • Favorable 45% [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
  • Unfavorable 13% [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 1% [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}
Rudy Giuliani
  • Strongly Favorable 23% [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%}
  • Favorable 54% [54%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {57%}
  • Unfavorable 14% [13%] {14%} (14%) [14%] {14%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 4% [3%] {2%} (2%) [3%] {2%}
Mitt Romney
  • Strongly Favorable 18% [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
  • Favorable 55% [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
  • Unfavorable 15% [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 4% [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}
Rick Perry
  • Strongly Favorable 25% [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
  • Favorable 44% [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
  • Unfavorable 13% [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 2% [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}
Michele Bachmann
  • Strongly Favorable 21% [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
  • Favorable 46% [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
  • Unfavorable 16% [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 5% [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}
Rick Santorum
  • Strongly Favorable 9% [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
  • Favorable 53% [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
  • Unfavorable 18% [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 2% [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}
Sarah Palin
  • Strongly Favorable 24% [24%] {26%} (25%) [26%] {26%}
  • Favorable 45% [47%] {43%} (43%) [47%] {47%}
  • Unfavorable 18% [17%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {16%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 10% [9%] {8%} (9%) [8%] {8%}
Ron Paul
  • Strongly Favorable 14% [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
  • Favorable 47% [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
  • Unfavorable 22% [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 5% [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}
Newt Gingrich
  • Strongly Favorable 12% [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
  • Favorable 45% [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
  • Unfavorable 27% [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 8% [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}
Jon Huntsman
  • Strongly Favorable 6% [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
  • Favorable 44% [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
  • Unfavorable 27% [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
  • Strongly Unfavorable 4% [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Herman Cain 74% [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 14% [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+60%}
  • Rudy Giuliani 77% [76%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {79%} / 18% [16%] {16%} (16%) [17%] {16%} {+59%}
  • Mitt Romney 73% [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 19% [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+54%}
  • Rick Perry 69% [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 15% [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+54%}
  • Michele Bachmann 67% [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 21% [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+46%}
  • Rick Santorum 62% [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 20% [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+42%}
  • Sarah Palin 69% [71%] {69%} (68%) [73%] {73%} / 28% [26%] {28%} (28%) [25%] {24%} {+41%}
  • Ron Paul 61% [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 27% [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+34%}
  • Newt Gingrich 57% [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 35% [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+22%}
  • Jon Huntsman 50% [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 31% [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+19%}
    Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)
    • Herman Cain +28% [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
    • Rick Perry +22% [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
    • Rudy Giuliani +19% [+19%] {+20%} (+19%) [+20%] {+20%}
    • Michele Bachmann +16% [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
    • Mitt Romney +14% [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
    • Sarah Palin +14% [+15%] {+18%} (+16%) [+18%] {+18%}
    • Ron Paul +9% [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
    • Rick Santorum +7% [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
    • Newt Gingrich +4% [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
    • Jon Huntsman +2% [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}
      Survey Methods
      Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking August 8-21, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

      For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  
      Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.

      No comments: