Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 

• Rick Perry 27% [15%] (14%)
• Mitt Romney 14% [17%] (16%)
• Sarah Palin 10% [12%] (13%)
• Rudy Giuliani 9% [12%] (13%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% [7%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [5%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 6% [12%] (8%)
• Herman Cain 2% [4%] (6%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [4%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% [2%] (1%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [4%] (8%)
• No opinion 3% [2%] (1%)

Among Republicans (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 29% [21%] (15%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [17%] (18%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% [10%] (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% [6%] (9%)
• Sarah Palin 8% [15%] (14%)
• Ron Paul 5% [10%] (8%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% [4%] (4%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 2% [3%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Rick Perry 26% [7%] (14%)
• Sarah Palin 14% [9%] (10%)
• Mitt Romney 13% [16%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [6%] (4%)
• Rudy Giuliani 6% [13%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% [7%] (15%)
• Ron Paul 6% [14%] (9%)
• Herman Cain 3% [6%] (8%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [4%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Tea Party Supporter (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Rick Perry 37% [20%] (22%)
• Michele Bachmann 14% [11%]
• Mitt Romney 11% [15%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [5%] (3%)
• Sarah Palin 6% [11%] (10%)
• Ron Paul 5% [12%] (9%)
• Rudy Giuliani 4% [4%] (10%)
• Herman Cain 2% [4%] (10%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (1%)
• Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Tea Party Neutral (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Rick Perry 18% [9%] (5%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [18%] (22%)
• Rudy Giuliani 15% [20%] (17%)
• Sarah Palin 14% [13%] (13%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% [3%] (5%)
• Ron Paul 6% [12%] (6%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [5%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 4% [0%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 3% [3%] (2%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% [2%] (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)

Among Men (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 32% [13%] (20%)
• Mitt Romney 14% [12%] (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 8% [12%] (12%)
• Sarah Palin 8% [10%] (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% [9%] (13%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% [7%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 6% [17%] (8%)
• Herman Cain 2% [5%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% [4%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [0%] (0%)

Among Women (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Rick Perry 23% [16%] (8%)
• Mitt Romney 15% [22%] (15%)
• Sarah Palin 13% [15%] (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 11% [11%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% [4%] (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [3%] (4%)
• Ron Paul 5% [5%] (8%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Herman Cain 2% [3%] (4%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% [1%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 0% [4%] (1%)

If Rudy Giuliani and Sarah Palin don't run

• Rick Perry 32% [18%] (17%)
• Mitt Romney 18% [23%] (22%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% [9%] (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% [8%] (5%)
• Ron Paul 6% [14%] (12%)
• Herman Cain 3% [5%] (7%)
• Gary Johnson 2% [0%] (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [5%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% [0%] (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% [2%] (3%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% [5%] (10%)
• No opinion 4% [4%] (2%)

Survey of 467 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted August 24-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.