Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey
  • Rick Perry 36%
  • Mitt Romney 13% {27%} [20%] (24%)
  • Sarah Palin 10% {18%} [18%] (22%)
  • Herman Cain 9% {12%}
  • Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
  • Newt Gingrich 7% {12%} [13%] (25%)
  • Ron Paul 5% {7%} [7%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% {9%} [8%]
    If Sarah Palin doesn't run
    • Rick Perry 36%
    • Mitt Romney 16% {30%}
    • Michele Bachmann 13% {13%}
    • Herman Cain 9% {15%}
    • Newt Gingrich 8% {15%}
    • Ron Paul 5% {10%}
    • Rick Santorum 4%
    • Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
    • Someone else/Not sure 7% {11%}
    If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
    • Rick Perry 50%
    • Mitt Romney 25%
    • Michele Bachmann 16%
    If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?
    • Rick Perry 59%
    • Mitt Romney 28%
    If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
    • Rick Perry 63%
    • Michele Bachmann 20%
      If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?
      • Mitt Romney 45% {54%}
      • Michele Bachmann 40% {29%}
      Among Birthers
      • Michele Bachmann 46% {30%}
      • Mitt Romney 39% {54%}
      Among Non-Birthers
      • Mitt Romney 57% {58%}
      • Michele Bachmann 28% {26%}
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Rick Perry 65% {24%} / 15% {11%} {+50%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 62% {54%} [59%] / 22% {25%} [20%] {+40%}
        • Herman Cain 46% {41%} [11%] / 11% {20%} [5%] {+35%}
        • Chris Christie 45% {46%} / 11% {11%} {+34%}
        • Sarah Palin 59% {60%} [61%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {+26%}
        • Mitt Romney 52% {56%} [60%] / 32% {27%} [22%] {+20%}
        • Michele Bachmann 48% {45%} [32%] / 29% {16%} [13%] {+19%}
        • Rick Santorum 34% {31%} [25%] / 19% {16%} [7%] {+15%}
        • Newt Gingrich 42% {37%} [54%] / 40% {44%} [25%] {+2%}
        • Ron Paul 35% {38%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [19%] {0%}
        • Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
        • Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {13%} {-10%}
        • Buddy Roemer 2% {4%} / 14% {16%} {-12%}
        • Jon Huntsman 11% {10%} [9%] / 26% {20%} [4%] {-15%}
        Among Republicans
        • Rick Perry 68% {24%} / 11% {10%} {+57%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 68% {56%} [59%] / 18% {24%} [19%] {+50%}
        • Herman Cain 48% {40%} [10%] / 9% {19%} [4%] {+39%}
        • Chris Christie 47% {47%} / 8% {9%} {+39%}
        • Sarah Palin 61% {64%} [65%] / 30% {29%} [24%] {+31%}
        • Mitt Romney 55% {60%} [62%] / 29% {24%} [20%] {+26%}
        • Michele Bachmann 50% {47%} [32%] / 25% {13%} [13%] {+25%}
        • Rick Santorum 35% {32%} [27%] / 15% {14%} [5%] {+20%}
        • Newt Gingrich 46% {40%} [57%] / 36% {40%} [22%] {+10%}
        • Ron Paul 34% {36%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [17%] {-1%}
        • Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-9%}
        • Fred Karger 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
        • Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {16%} {-10%}
        • Jon Huntsman 9% {10%} [7%] / 25% {19%} [3%] {-16%}
        Among GOP-Leaning Independents
        • Rick Perry 52% {22%} / 30% {16%} {+22%}
        • Herman Cain 42% {45%} [16%] / 21% {24%} [9%] {+21%}
        • Chris Christie 39% {42%} / 25% {19%} {+14%}
        • Rudy Giuliani 41% {44%} [59%] / 38% {32%} [25%] {+3%}
        • Ron Paul 39% {47%} [45%] / 36% {32%} [28%] {+3%}
        • Sarah Palin 46% {45%} [49%] / 47% {47%} [44%] {-1%}
        • Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [52%] / 44% {42%} [32%] {-3%}
        • Rick Santorum 30% {23%} [16%] / 33% {24%} [18%] {-3%}
        • Michele Bachmann 41% {40%} [31%] / 45% {28%} [16%] {-4%}
        • Fred Karger 3% {5%} / 13% {10%} {-10%}
        • Jon Huntsman 19% {10%} [16%] / 30% {26%} [10%] {-11%}
        • Gary Johnson 4% {3%} / 16% {13%} {-12%}
        • Buddy Roemer 1% {5%} / 19% {15%} {-18%}
        • Newt Gingrich 26% {25%} [42%] / 57% {59%} [37%] {-31%}
          Among Very Conservative
          • Rick Perry 75% {31%} / 8% {8%} {+67%}
          • Sarah Palin 72% {74%} / 19% {18%} {+53%}
          • Herman Cain 55% {51%} / 6% {13%} {+49%}
          • Chris Christie 53% {56%} / 7% {7%} {+46%}
          • Michele Bachmann 61% {59%} / 17% {8%} {+44%}
          • Rudy Giuliani 60% {50%} / 20% {29%} {+40%}
          • Rick Santorum 43% {41%} / 13% {11%} {+30%}
          • Newt Gingrich 49% {44%} / 32% {37%} {+17%}
          • Mitt Romney 48% {56%} / 34% {29%} {+14%}
          • Ron Paul 38% {40%} / 36% {30%} {+2%}
          • Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
          • Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
          • Fred Karger 1% {1%} / 11% {13%} {-10%}
          • Jon Huntsman 6% {8%} / 30% {21%} {-24%}
          Among Somewhat Conservative
          • Rudy Giuliani 73% {59%} / 17% {21%} {+56%}
          • Rick Perry 66% {21%} / 13% {10%} {+53%}
          • Chris Christie 51% {47%} / 8% {8%} {+43%}
          • Herman Cain 51% {41%} / 11% {19%} {+40%}
          • Mitt Romney 57% {58%} / 30% {23%} {+27%}
          • Sarah Palin 56% {57%} / 33% {33%} {+23%}
          • Michele Bachmann 47% {43%} / 28% {14%} {+19%}
          • Rick Santorum 35% {29%} / 17% {14%} {+18%}
          • Newt Gingrich 45% {35%} / 39% {42%} {+6%}
          • Ron Paul 37% {39%} / 32% {29%} {+5%}
          • Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {12%} {-10%}
          • Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {12%} {-10%}
          • Jon Huntsman 13% {12%} / 26% {17%} {-13%}
          • Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 15% {13%} {-14%}
            Among Moderates
            • Mitt Romney 57% {53%} [61%] / 26% {31%} [19%] {+31%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 49% {46%} [62%] / 34% {29%} [18%] {+15%}
            • Rick Perry 40% {12%} / 31% {18%} {+9%}
            • Herman Cain 24% {25%} [5%] / 15% {33%} [10%] {+9%}
            • Jon Huntsman 18% {9%} [7%] / 11% {21%} [6%] {+7%}
            • Chris Christie 24% {27%} / 18% {18%} {+6%}
            • Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 8% {15%} {-4%}
            • Ron Paul 28% {32%} [33%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {-5%}
            • Gary Johnson 2% {3%} / 9% {18%} {-7%}
            • Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 11% {24%} {-10%}
            • Rick Santorum 15% {14%} [13%] / 30% {26%} [15%] {-15%}
            • Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [40%] / 56% {59%} [49%] {-20%}
            • Newt Gingrich 25% {24%} [36%] / 53% {61%} [40%] {-28%}
            • Michele Bachmann 24% {25%} [9%] / 52% {30%} [20%] {-28%}
            Among Men
            • Rick Perry 69% {27%} / 17% {14%} {+52%}
            • Herman Cain 55% {48%} [15%] / 13% {23%} [5%] {+42%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 63% {48%} [60%] / 24% {31%} [24%] {+39%}
            • Chris Christie 51% {51%} / 14% {15%} {+37%}
            • Sarah Palin 59% {57%} [63%] / 35% {36%} [31%] {+24%}
            • Mitt Romney 56% {56%} [62%] / 34% {31%} [24%] {+22%}
            • Michele Bachmann 52% {48%} [37%] / 31% {17%} [15%] {+21%}
            • Rick Santorum 40% {34%} [27%] / 26% {21%} [9%] {+14%}
            • Newt Gingrich 50% {36%} [57%] / 40% {48%} [26%] {+10%}
            • Ron Paul 39% {47%} [56%] / 37% {29%} [20%] {+2%}
            • Fred Karger 3% {4%} / 15% {17%} {-12%}
            • Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 17% {17%} {-14%}
            • Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 18% {19%] {-15%}
            • Jon Huntsman 14% {12%} [12%] / 33% {24%} [6%] {-19%}
            Among Women
            • Rick Perry 60% {20%} / 12% {8%} {+48%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 62% {60%} [58%] / 20% {19%} [16%] {+42%}
            • Chris Christie 39% {39%} / 7% {8%} {+32%}
            • Sarah Palin 58% {63%} [60%] / 30% {29%} [25%] {+28%}
            • Herman Cain 37% {34%} [7%] / 9% {17%} [4%] {+28%}
            • Mitt Romney 48% {56%} [59%] / 30% {23%} [20%] {+18%}
            • Michele Bachmann 44% {42%} [26%] / 26% {14%} [12%] {+18%}
            • Rick Santorum 27% {27%} [22%] / 11% {11%} [5%] {+16%}
            • Ron Paul 30% {29%} [37%] / 32% {33%} [18%] {-2%}
            • Newt Gingrich 33% {38%} [51%] / 39% {39%} [24%] {-6%}
            • Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 8% {12%} {-6%}
            • Buddy Roemer 2% {2%} / 10% {13%} {-8%}
            • Fred Karger 1% {2%} / 9% {10%} {-8%}
            • Jon Huntsman 8% {8%} [5%] / 18% {17%} [2%] {-10%}
            Among Birthers (Believe Obama Was NOT Born in U.S.)
            • Rick Perry 66% {22%} / 10% {10%} {+56%}
            • Sarah Palin 67% {73%} / 23% {21%} {+44%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 60% {59%} / 22% {21%} {+38%}
            • Herman Cain 44% {41%} / 12% {20%} {+32%}
            • Chris Christie 38% {43%} / 12% {8%} {+26%}
            • Michele Bachmann 49% {46%} / 25% {13%} {+24%}
            • Mitt Romney 49% {56%} / 35% {28%} {+14%}
            • Rick Santorum 28% {30%} / 18% {16%} {+10%}
            • Ron Paul 37% {41%} / 30% {25%} {+7%}
            • Newt Gingrich 40% {43%} / 38% {38%} {+2%}
            • Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 15% {15%} {-12%}
            • Buddy Roemer 3% {4%} / 16% {18%} {-13%}
            • Fred Karger 1% {3%} / 15% {14%} {-14%}
            • Jon Huntsman 7% {8%} / 25% {20%} {-18%}
            Among Non-Birthers (Believe Obama WAS Born in U.S.)
            • Rudy Giuliani 64% {53%} / 23% {28%} {+41%}
            • Rick Perry 62% {28%} / 22% {14%} {+40%}
            • Chris Christie 50% {49%} / 14% {16%} {+36%}
            • Mitt Romney 60% {59%} / 30% {28%} {+30%}
            • Herman Cain 45% {43%} / 16% {20%} {+29%}
            • Rick Santorum 38% {33%} / 23% {22%} {+15%}
            • Michele Bachmann 41% {43%} / 38% {22%} {+3%}
            • Sarah Palin 43% {47%} / 49% {46%} {-6%}
            • Jon Huntsman 19% {13%} / 25% {23%} {-6%}
            • Ron Paul 34% {38%} / 41% {37%} {-7%}
            • Newt Gingrich 40% {33%} / 48% {51%} {-8%}
            • Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 12% {14%} {-8%}
            • Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 14% {17%} {-11%}
            • Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 14% {15%} {-11%}
            Believe in Evolution
            • Rick Perry 60% / 22% {+38%}
            • Mitt Romney 64% / 27% {+37%}
            • Chris Christie 48% / 14% {+34%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 60% / 27% {+33%}
            • Herman Cain 48% / 16% {+32%}
            • Michele Bachmann 44% / 39% {+5%}
            • Rick Santorum 33% / 28% {+5%}
            • Sarah Palin 47% / 47% {0%}
            • Ron Paul 37% / 40% {-3%}
            • Jon Huntsman 19% / 24% {-5%}
            • Fred Karger 4% / 12% {-8%}
            • Newt Gingrich 40% / 49% {-9%}
            • Gary Johnson 4% / 13% {-9%}
            • Buddy Roemer 1% / 17% {-16%}
            Do NOT Believe in Evolution
            • Rick Perry 69% / 9% {+60%}
            • Rudy Giuliani 62% / 19% {+43%}
            • Sarah Palin 64% / 26% {+38%}
            • Herman Cain 45% / 10% {+35%}
            • Chris Christie 44% / 10% {+34%}
            • Michele Bachmann 51% / 22% {+29%}
            • Rick Santorum 32% / 15% {+17%}
            • Mitt Romney 46% / 35% {+11%}
            • Newt Gingrich 44% / 35% {+9%}
            • Ron Paul 34% / 33% {+1%}
            • Buddy Roemer 3% / 13% {-10%}
            • Gary Johnson 2% / 13% {-11%}
            • Fred Karger 1% / 14% {-13%}
            • Jon Huntsman 7% / 26% {-19%}
            Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?
            • Yes 35% {42%}
            • No 44% {37%}
            • Not sure 21% {21%}
            Among Those Who Believe in Evolution
            • Yes 51%
            • No 32%
            • Not sure 18%
            Among Those Who Do NOT Believe in Evolution
            • Yes 27%
            • No 51%
            • Not sure 22%
            How important to you is it that the Republican Presidential candidate be from the South: very important, somewhat important, or not that important?
            • Very important 9%
            • Somewhat important 15%
            • Not that important 75%
            Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?
            • Favorable 71%
            • Unfavorable 13%
            Do you believe in global warming or not?
            • Believe in global warming 25%
            • Do not 61%
            Do you believe in evolution or not?
            • Believe in evolution 32%
            • Do not 57%
            Survey of 750 usual South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted August 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 80% {78%} [81%] (77%) Republican; 18% {19%} [18%] (20%) Independent/Other; 1% {3%} [0%] (3%) Democrat. Political ideology: 40% {41%} Very conservative; 39% {36%} Somewhat conservative; 16% {17%} Moderate; 4% {3%} Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

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