Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Rick Perry 36%
• Mitt Romney 13% {27%} [20%] (24%)
• Sarah Palin 10% {18%} [18%] (22%)
• Herman Cain 9% {12%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% {12%} [13%] (25%)
• Ron Paul 5% {7%} [7%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {9%} [8%]

If Sarah Palin doesn't run

• Rick Perry 36%
• Mitt Romney 16% {30%}
• Michele Bachmann 13% {13%}
• Herman Cain 9% {15%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% {15%}
• Ron Paul 5% {10%}
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {11%}

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 50%
• Mitt Romney 25%
• Michele Bachmann 16%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 59%
• Mitt Romney 28%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 63%
• Michele Bachmann 20%

If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45% {54%}
• Michele Bachmann 40% {29%}

Among Birthers

• Michele Bachmann 46% {30%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {54%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Mitt Romney 57% {58%}
• Michele Bachmann 28% {26%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 65% {24%} / 15% {11%} {+50%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% {54%} [59%] / 22% {25%} [20%] {+40%}
• Herman Cain 46% {41%} [11%] / 11% {20%} [5%] {+35%}
• Chris Christie 45% {46%} / 11% {11%} {+34%}
• Sarah Palin 59% {60%} [61%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {+26%}
• Mitt Romney 52% {56%} [60%] / 32% {27%} [22%] {+20%}
• Michele Bachmann 48% {45%} [32%] / 29% {16%} [13%] {+19%}
• Rick Santorum 34% {31%} [25%] / 19% {16%} [7%] {+15%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {37%} [54%] / 40% {44%} [25%] {+2%}
• Ron Paul 35% {38%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [19%] {0%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {13%} {-10%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% {4%} / 14% {16%} {-12%}
• Jon Huntsman 11% {10%} [9%] / 26% {20%} [4%] {-15%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Perry 68% {24%} / 11% {10%} {+57%}
• Rudy Giuliani 68% {56%} [59%] / 18% {24%} [19%] {+50%}
• Herman Cain 48% {40%} [10%] / 9% {19%} [4%] {+39%}
• Chris Christie 47% {47%} / 8% {9%} {+39%}
• Sarah Palin 61% {64%} [65%] / 30% {29%} [24%] {+31%}
• Mitt Romney 55% {60%} [62%] / 29% {24%} [20%] {+26%}
• Michele Bachmann 50% {47%} [32%] / 25% {13%} [13%] {+25%}
• Rick Santorum 35% {32%} [27%] / 15% {14%} [5%] {+20%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {40%} [57%] / 36% {40%} [22%] {+10%}
• Ron Paul 34% {36%} [47%] / 35% {31%} [17%] {-1%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-9%}
• Fred Karger 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {16%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 9% {10%} [7%] / 25% {19%} [3%] {-16%}

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rick Perry 52% {22%} / 30% {16%} {+22%}
• Herman Cain 42% {45%} [16%] / 21% {24%} [9%] {+21%}
• Chris Christie 39% {42%} / 25% {19%} {+14%}
• Rudy Giuliani 41% {44%} [59%] / 38% {32%} [25%] {+3%}
• Ron Paul 39% {47%} [45%] / 36% {32%} [28%] {+3%}
• Sarah Palin 46% {45%} [49%] / 47% {47%} [44%] {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [52%] / 44% {42%} [32%] {-3%}
• Rick Santorum 30% {23%} [16%] / 33% {24%} [18%] {-3%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {40%} [31%] / 45% {28%} [16%] {-4%}
• Fred Karger 3% {5%} / 13% {10%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% {10%} [16%] / 30% {26%} [10%] {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 4% {3%} / 16% {13%} {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {5%} / 19% {15%} {-18%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% {25%} [42%] / 57% {59%} [37%] {-31%}

Among Very Conservative

• Rick Perry 75% {31%} / 8% {8%} {+67%}
• Sarah Palin 72% {74%} / 19% {18%} {+53%}
• Herman Cain 55% {51%} / 6% {13%} {+49%}
• Chris Christie 53% {56%} / 7% {7%} {+46%}
• Michele Bachmann 61% {59%} / 17% {8%} {+44%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% {50%} / 20% {29%} {+40%}
• Rick Santorum 43% {41%} / 13% {11%} {+30%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% {44%} / 32% {37%} {+17%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {56%} / 34% {29%} {+14%}
• Ron Paul 38% {40%} / 36% {30%} {+2%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {3%} / 13% {14%} {-10%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 12% {14%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 1% {1%} / 11% {13%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 6% {8%} / 30% {21%} {-24%}

Among Somewhat Conservative

• Rudy Giuliani 73% {59%} / 17% {21%} {+56%}
• Rick Perry 66% {21%} / 13% {10%} {+53%}
• Chris Christie 51% {47%} / 8% {8%} {+43%}
• Herman Cain 51% {41%} / 11% {19%} {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 57% {58%} / 30% {23%} {+27%}
• Sarah Palin 56% {57%} / 33% {33%} {+23%}
• Michele Bachmann 47% {43%} / 28% {14%} {+19%}
• Rick Santorum 35% {29%} / 17% {14%} {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 45% {35%} / 39% {42%} {+6%}
• Ron Paul 37% {39%} / 32% {29%} {+5%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 13% {12%} {-10%}
• Fred Karger 2% {3%} / 12% {12%} {-10%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% {12%} / 26% {17%} {-13%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 15% {13%} {-14%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 57% {53%} [61%] / 26% {31%} [19%] {+31%}
• Rudy Giuliani 49% {46%} [62%] / 34% {29%} [18%] {+15%}
• Rick Perry 40% {12%} / 31% {18%} {+9%}
• Herman Cain 24% {25%} [5%] / 15% {33%} [10%] {+9%}
• Jon Huntsman 18% {9%} [7%] / 11% {21%} [6%] {+7%}
• Chris Christie 24% {27%} / 18% {18%} {+6%}
• Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 8% {15%} {-4%}
• Ron Paul 28% {32%} [33%] / 33% {33%} [28%] {-5%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {3%} / 9% {18%} {-7%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% {3%} / 11% {24%} {-10%}
• Rick Santorum 15% {14%} [13%] / 30% {26%} [15%] {-15%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [40%] / 56% {59%} [49%] {-20%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% {24%} [36%] / 53% {61%} [40%] {-28%}
• Michele Bachmann 24% {25%} [9%] / 52% {30%} [20%] {-28%}

Among Men

• Rick Perry 69% {27%} / 17% {14%} {+52%}
• Herman Cain 55% {48%} [15%] / 13% {23%} [5%] {+42%}
• Rudy Giuliani 63% {48%} [60%] / 24% {31%} [24%] {+39%}
• Chris Christie 51% {51%} / 14% {15%} {+37%}
• Sarah Palin 59% {57%} [63%] / 35% {36%} [31%] {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 56% {56%} [62%] / 34% {31%} [24%] {+22%}
• Michele Bachmann 52% {48%} [37%] / 31% {17%} [15%] {+21%}
• Rick Santorum 40% {34%} [27%] / 26% {21%} [9%] {+14%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% {36%} [57%] / 40% {48%} [26%] {+10%}
• Ron Paul 39% {47%} [56%] / 37% {29%} [20%] {+2%}
• Fred Karger 3% {4%} / 15% {17%} {-12%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 17% {17%} {-14%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 18% {19%] {-15%}
• Jon Huntsman 14% {12%} [12%] / 33% {24%} [6%] {-19%}

Among Women

• Rick Perry 60% {20%} / 12% {8%} {+48%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% {60%} [58%] / 20% {19%} [16%] {+42%}
• Chris Christie 39% {39%} / 7% {8%} {+32%}
• Sarah Palin 58% {63%} [60%] / 30% {29%} [25%] {+28%}
• Herman Cain 37% {34%} [7%] / 9% {17%} [4%] {+28%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {56%} [59%] / 30% {23%} [20%] {+18%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% {42%} [26%] / 26% {14%} [12%] {+18%}
• Rick Santorum 27% {27%} [22%] / 11% {11%} [5%] {+16%}
• Ron Paul 30% {29%} [37%] / 32% {33%} [18%] {-2%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% {38%} [51%] / 39% {39%} [24%] {-6%}
• Gary Johnson 2% {2%} / 8% {12%} {-6%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% {2%} / 10% {13%} {-8%}
• Fred Karger 1% {2%} / 9% {10%} {-8%}
• Jon Huntsman 8% {8%} [5%] / 18% {17%} [2%] {-10%}

Among Birthers (Believe Obama Was NOT Born in U.S.)

• Rick Perry 66% {22%} / 10% {10%} {+56%}
• Sarah Palin 67% {73%} / 23% {21%} {+44%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% {59%} / 22% {21%} {+38%}
• Herman Cain 44% {41%} / 12% {20%} {+32%}
• Chris Christie 38% {43%} / 12% {8%} {+26%}
• Michele Bachmann 49% {46%} / 25% {13%} {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 49% {56%} / 35% {28%} {+14%}
• Rick Santorum 28% {30%} / 18% {16%} {+10%}
• Ron Paul 37% {41%} / 30% {25%} {+7%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% {43%} / 38% {38%} {+2%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {2%} / 15% {15%} {-12%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {4%} / 16% {18%} {-13%}
• Fred Karger 1% {3%} / 15% {14%} {-14%}
• Jon Huntsman 7% {8%} / 25% {20%} {-18%}

Among Non-Birthers (Believe Obama WAS Born in U.S.)

• Rudy Giuliani 64% {53%} / 23% {28%} {+41%}
• Rick Perry 62% {28%} / 22% {14%} {+40%}
• Chris Christie 50% {49%} / 14% {16%} {+36%}
• Mitt Romney 60% {59%} / 30% {28%} {+30%}
• Herman Cain 45% {43%} / 16% {20%} {+29%}
• Rick Santorum 38% {33%} / 23% {22%} {+15%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% {43%} / 38% {22%} {+3%}
• Sarah Palin 43% {47%} / 49% {46%} {-6%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% {13%} / 25% {23%} {-6%}
• Ron Paul 34% {38%} / 41% {37%} {-7%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% {33%} / 48% {51%} {-8%}
• Fred Karger 4% {3%} / 12% {14%} {-8%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% {5%} / 14% {17%} {-11%}
• Gary Johnson 3% {3%} / 14% {15%} {-11%}

Believe in Evolution

• Rick Perry 60% / 22% {+38%}
• Mitt Romney 64% / 27% {+37%}
• Chris Christie 48% / 14% {+34%}
• Rudy Giuliani 60% / 27% {+33%}
• Herman Cain 48% / 16% {+32%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% / 39% {+5%}
• Rick Santorum 33% / 28% {+5%}
• Sarah Palin 47% / 47% {0%}
• Ron Paul 37% / 40% {-3%}
• Jon Huntsman 19% / 24% {-5%}
• Fred Karger 4% / 12% {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% / 49% {-9%}
• Gary Johnson 4% / 13% {-9%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% / 17% {-16%}

Do NOT Believe in Evolution

• Rick Perry 69% / 9% {+60%}
• Rudy Giuliani 62% / 19% {+43%}
• Sarah Palin 64% / 26% {+38%}
• Herman Cain 45% / 10% {+35%}
• Chris Christie 44% / 10% {+34%}
• Michele Bachmann 51% / 22% {+29%}
• Rick Santorum 32% / 15% {+17%}
• Mitt Romney 46% / 35% {+11%}
• Newt Gingrich 44% / 35% {+9%}
• Ron Paul 34% / 33% {+1%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% / 13% {-10%}
• Gary Johnson 2% / 13% {-11%}
• Fred Karger 1% / 14% {-13%}
• Jon Huntsman 7% / 26% {-19%}

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 35% {42%}
• No 44% {37%}
• Not sure 21% {21%}

Among Those Who Believe in Evolution

• Yes 51%
• No 32%
• Not sure 18%

Among Those Who Do NOT Believe in Evolution

• Yes 27%
• No 51%
• Not sure 22%

How important to you is it that the Republican Presidential candidate be from the South: very important, somewhat important, or not that important?

• Very important 9%
• Somewhat important 15%
• Not that important 75%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?

• Favorable 71%
• Unfavorable 13%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 25%
• Do not 61%

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 32%
• Do not 57%

Survey of 750 usual South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted August 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 80% {78%} [81%] (77%) Republican; 18% {19%} [18%] (20%) Independent/Other; 1% {3%} [0%] (3%) Democrat. Political ideology: 40% {41%} Very conservative; 39% {36%} Somewhat conservative; 16% {17%} Moderate; 4% {3%} Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2010 are in parentheses.