Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 34% [30%] (31%) {25%} [30%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [30%] (27%) {31%} [20%] (24%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} 
• Newt Gingrich 17% [19%] (24%) {23%} [30%] (25%) {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Ron Paul 11% [13%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [8%] (10%) {13%} [9%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Very Conservative

• Rick Santorum 40% [40%] (35%) {35%}
• Mitt Romney 26% [22%] (23%) {19%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% [24%] (28%) {32%}
• Ron Paul 7% [7%] (9%) {5%}
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [6%] (6%) {10%}

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 40% [38%] (37%) {30%}
• Rick Santorum 31% [24%] (25%) {33%}
• Newt Gingrich 18% [16%] (22%) {16%}
• Ron Paul 6% [16%] (5%) {8%}
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [6%] (11%) {13%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 34% [29%] (31%) {23%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [28%] (27%) {31%}
• Ron Paul 15% [17%] (8%) {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% [20%] (27%) {25%} 
• Someone else/Not sure 7% [6%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 34% [33%] (31%) {27%}
• Rick Santorum 30% [33%] (26%) {31%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% [17%] (20%) {20%} 
• Ron Paul 7% [6%] (9%) {4%}
• Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (13%) {17%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 46% [52%] (49%) {52%} [45%] (42%) {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 54% [48%] (51%) {48%} [55%] (58%) {63%} [66%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 42% [43%] (42%) {43%}
• Mitt Romney 38% [37%] (38%) {33%}
• Ron Paul 10% [13%] (10%) {10%}
• Not sure 9% [8%] (11%) {14%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 60% [55%] (58%) {58%} [62%] (62%) / 30% [34%] (27%) {29%} [25%] (22%) {+30%}
• Mitt Romney 51% [50%] (51%) {43%} [53%] (46%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 32% [38%] (35%) {43%} [34%] (38%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+19%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% [45%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (48%) {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 36% [39%] (39%) {41%}  [35%] (35%) {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+14%}
• Ron Paul 35% [34%] (32%) {28%} [32%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (34%) / 51% [52%] (54%) {55%} [55%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (45%) {-16%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 28% [35%] (32%)
• No 56% [51%] (52%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 63% [61%] (64%)
• Are not 37% [39%] (36%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 34% [36%] (31%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [26%] (28%)
• Newt Gingrich 18% [22%] (26%)
• Ron Paul 8% [10%] (6%)
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [7%] (9%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 38% [37%] (36%)
  
• Rick Santorum 21% [21%] (20%)
• Ron Paul 17% [17%] (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 15% [15%] (20%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 8% [10%] (12%)

Survey of 461 likely North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted April 4-7, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 79% [77%] (77%) {75%} Republican; 21% [23%] (21%) {25%} Independent; 0% [0%] (3%) {0%} Democrat .  Political ideology: 40% [44%] (37%) {49%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 37% [36%] (42%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 15% [17%] (15%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 6% [1%] (4%) {4%} [6%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedSeptember 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.