Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Poll

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 45% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (42%)
• Other candidate 6% (5%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 40% (39%)
• Barack Obama 37% (41%)
• Other candidate 11% (9%)
• Undecided 13% (12%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 44% (44%)
• Barack Obama 40% (43%)
• Other candidate 7% (5%)
• Undecided 9% (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (40%)
• Other candidate 4% (5%)
• Undecided 7% (6%)

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 46% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (46%)
• Other candidate 4% (3%)
• Undecided 6% (4%)

Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 45%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 43%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Registered Voters

• Paul Ryan 31% / 27% {+4%}
• Barack Obama 42% (43%) / 40% (40%) {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 35% (34%) / 38% (34%) {-3%}
• Joe Biden 30% / 35% {-5%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 28% / 23% {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 34% (30%) / 32% (35%) {+2%}
  
• Barack Obama 33% (39%) / 42% (39%) {-9%}
• Joe Biden 22% / 35% {-13%} 

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 35% / 25% {+10%} 
• Mitt Romney 39% (38%) / 32% (34%) {+7%}
• Barack Obama 38% (41%) / 44% (43%) {-6%}
• Joe Biden 27% / 39% {-12%} 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47% (45%) / 36% (37%) {+11%}
• Joe Biden 32% / 32% {0%} 
• Paul Ryan 27% / 29% {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 32% (31%) / 43% (34%) {-11%}

Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 35% / 30% {+5%}
• Barack Obama (45%) / (43%) {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 40% (38%) / 39% (37%) {+1%}
• Joe Biden 32% / 39% {-7%} 

Did Mitt Romney’s choice of Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his running mate change your mind about who you will support for president or did it not affect who you will vote for?

Registered Voters

• Changed mind 8%
• Did not affect vote 87%

Likely Voters

• Changed mind 9%
• Did not affect vote 88%

Overall, would you describe Mitt Romney’s choice of Paul Ryan as a very good pick, somewhat good, somewhat bad, or very bad?

Registered Voters

• Very good 26%
• Somewhat good 28%
• Somewhat bad 13%
• Very bad 15%

Likely Voters

• Very good 30%
• Somewhat good 26%
• Somewhat bad 13%
• Very bad 17%

National survey of 1,375 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,149 likely voters, was conducted August 15-19, 2012 by Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 2.9 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among registered voters): 33% (35%) Democrat; 27% (30%) Republican; 40% (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.