Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [46%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (46%)
• Other candidate 3% [4%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% [6%] (4%)

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [41%] (42%)
• Other candidate 4% [6%] (5%)
• Undecided 6% [8%] (7%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 41% [37%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (39%)
• Other candidate 8% [11%] (9%)
• Undecided 10% [13%] (12%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 43% [40%] (43%)
• Other candidate 5% [7%] (5%)
• Undecided 7% [9%] (7%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% [50%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (40%)
• Other candidate 3% [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 6% [7%] (6%)

Who do you trust more to handle the economy and jobs – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?  

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [45%]
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 48% [44%]
• Mitt Romney 43% [42%]

Who do you trust more to handle Social Security and Medicare – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [46%]
• Mitt Romney 42% [43%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% [46%]
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%]

Who do you trust more to handle the federal budget and national debt – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [44%]
• Mitt Romney 47% [46%]

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 47% [43%]
• Mitt Romney 44% [43%]

Who do you trust more to handle foreign policy – Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  
Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 38% [35%] / 33% [30%] {+5%}
• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (45%) / 43% [43%] (43%) {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (38%) / 40% [39%] (37%) {+1%}
• Joe Biden 34% [32%] / 39% [39%] {-5%} 

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 46% [42%] (43%) / 39% [40%] (40%) {+7%}
• Paul Ryan 33% [31%] / 30% [27%] {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [35%] (34%) / 39% [38%] (34%) {-2%}
• Joe Biden 32% [30%] / 35% [35%] {-3%}

Among Independents

• Paul Ryan 34% [28%] / 27% [23%] {+7%}
• Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (30%) / 34% [32%] (35%) {-1%}
  
• Barack Obama 36% [33%] (39%) / 40% [42%] (39%) {-4%}
• Joe Biden 24% [22%] / 35% [35%] {-11%} 

Among Men

• Paul Ryan 36% [35%] / 28% [25%] {+8%} 
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) / 34% [32%] (34%) {+5%}
• Barack Obama 42% [38%] (41%) / 42% [44%] (43%) {0%}
• Joe Biden 29% [27%] / 40% [39%] {-11%} 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% [47%] (45%) / 37% [36%] (37%) {+13%}
• Joe Biden 35% [32%] / 31% [32%] {+4%} 
• Paul Ryan 30% [27%] / 33% [29%] {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (31%) / 43% [43%] (34%) {-7%}

How much have you read or heard about recent violence and protests at U.S. embassies in Africa and the Middle East – a lot, a little, or nothing at all? 

Likely Voters

• A lot 61% 
• A little 29%
• Nothing at all 10% 
  

Registered Voters

• A lot 54% 
• A little 32%
• Nothing at all 14%

Do you approve or disapprove of how Barack Obama has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?

Likely Voters

• Strongly approve 27% 
• Somewhat approve 12% 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% 
• Strongly disapprove 20% 
• Haven’t heard response 20%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 10%

Registered Voters

• Strongly approve 23% 
• Somewhat approve 14% 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% 
• Strongly disapprove 18% 
• Haven’t heard response 21%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 14% 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of how Mitt Romney has publicly responded to the situation, or haven’t you heard his response?

Likely Voters

• Strongly approve 17% 
• Somewhat approve 8% 
• Somewhat disapprove 5% 
• Strongly disapprove 24% 
• Haven’t heard response 31%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 10%

Registered Voters

• Strongly approve 15% 
• Somewhat approve 7% 
• Somewhat disapprove 6% 
• Strongly disapprove 21% 
• Haven’t heard response 34%
• Don't know 3%
• Not aware of situation 14% 

National survey of 1,571 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,344 likely voters, was conducted September 13-16, 2012 by Braun Research and SurveyUSA. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among likely voters; +/- 2.5 percentage points among registered voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 35% [33%] (35%) Democrat; 29% [27%] (30%) Republican; 36% [40%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.