Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Bloomberg Politics 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 24% [21%] (21%)
• Ben Carson 20% [16%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 12% [8%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 9% [5%] (4%) 
• Jeb Bush 6% [13%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 4% [4%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [11%] (1%) 
• Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (7%)
• John Kasich 3% [4%] (4%)
• Rand Paul 3% [2%] (5%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%)
• George Pataki 1% [0%] (0%) 
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)

Second Choice

• Ben Carson 17%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Donald Trump 10%
• Jeb Bush 8%
• Carly Fiorina 6%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Mike Huckabee 3%
• John Kasich 3%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• George Pataki 0%

I’m going to mention the candidates who are not your first or second choice. For each, please tell me if you think you could ever support the person for president or would never support the person for president.

Could support / Would never support 

• Chris Christie 52% (34%) / 35% (43%)
• Jeb Bush 51% (39%) / 32% (32%)
• Carly Fiorina 47% (34%) / 35% (36%)
• Marco Rubio 46% (47%) / 22% (25%)
• Mike Huckabee 45% (48%) / 43% (30%)
• Ted Cruz 44% (37%) / 27% (34%) 
• Rand Paul 41% (38%) / 47% (38%)
• Ben Carson 40% (40%) / 21% (28%)
• Rick Santorum 38% (39%) / 50% (38%)
• Donald Trump 27% (27%) / 36% (37%)
• John Kasich 26% (26%) / 52% (38%)
• Lindsey Graham 24% (23%) / 58% (55%)
• George Pataki 18% (19%) / 62% (52%)

"Selzer Score"

• Ben Carson 77
• Donald Trump 71.5
• Marco Rubio 61
• Ted Cruz 50
• Jeb Bush 45.5
• Chris Christie 39
• Carly Fiorina 35.5 
• Mike Huckabee 31.5
• Rand Paul 28.5
• John Kasich 22
• Rick Santorum 22
• Lindsey Graham 15
• George Pataki 11

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 67% [60%] / 17% [14%] {+50%}
• Ben Carson 67% [68%] / 21% [10%] {+46%}
  
• Ted Cruz 57% [52%] / 22% [26%] {+35%}
• Carly Fiorina 54% [57%] / 26% [17%] {+28%}
• Chris Christie 53% [49%] / 35% [32%] {+18%}
• Donald Trump 55% [51%] / 42% [40%] {+13%}
• Jeb Bush 47% [57%] / 41% [31%] {+6%}
• Rand Paul 38% [36%] / 39% [42%] {-1%}
• John Kasich 29% [34%] / 34% [17%] {-5%}

Survey of 379 registered Republicans and Republican leaners was conducted November 15-17, 2015 by Selzer & Co.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.