Thursday, November 19, 2015

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 26% [27%] (29%) {19%}
  • Ben Carson 19% [17%] (15%) {10%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [18%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% [7%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (10%) {16%} [5%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 13% [13%] (7%) {10%} [13%] (13%) {6%} [3%] 
  • Jeb Bush 5% [10%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (11%) {17%} [17%] (17%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4% [6%] (8%) {4%} [5%] 
  • Mike Huckabee 4% [4%] (5%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {6%} [10%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 3% [2%] (2%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%)
  • John Kasich 3% [4%] (6%) {3%}
  • Rand Paul 2% [2%] (1%) {4%} [8%] (9%) {10%} [4%] (4%) 
  • Lindsey Graham 1% [1%] (0%) {0%}
  • George Pataki 1% [1%] (0%) {0%}
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} 
  • Rick Santorum 0% [2%] (2%) {1%}
  • Undecided 2% [3%] (1%) {2%} [9%] (7%) {8%} [11%] (5%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Ben Carson 61% [71%] (68%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {48%} [54%] (49%) / 24% [16%] (14%) {19%} [16%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {+37%}
  • Mike Huckabee 58% [44%] (51%) {49%} [55%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) / 23% [38%] (34%) {30%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [19%] (21%) {+35%}
  • Marco Rubio 55% [57%] (58%) {54%} [59%] (56%) {55%} [46%] / 25% [24%] (24%) {19%} [16%] (22%) {22%} [18%] {+30%}
  • Ted Cruz 55% [50%] (53%) {51%} [48%] (51%) {52%} [45%] (49%) / 26% [30%] (26%) {21%} [24%] (25%) {30%} [16%] (19%) {+29%}
  • Carly Fiorina 51% [57%] (53%) {38%} [38%] (28%) / 30% [27%] (23%) {22%} [22%] (21%) {+21%}
  • Chris Christie 46% [43%] (28%) {25%} [26%] (31%) {24%} [28%] (35%) / 32% [38%] (54%) {56%} [49%] (52%) {57%} [45%] (43%) {+14%}
  • Donald Trump 51% [50%] (56%) {48%} [38%] (37%) / 37% [38%] (30%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {+14%} 
  • Rick Santorum 37% [37%] (40%) {48%} [46%] (45%) / 30% [34%] (27%) {19%} [24%] (22%) {+7%}
  • Rand Paul 36% [31%] (29%) {42%} [45%] (48%) {49%} [42%] (50%) / 39% [42%] (50%) {30%} [33%] (29%) {30%} [24%] (23%) {-3%}
  • John Kasich 25% [29%] (29%) {29%} [23%] (22%) / 37% [36%] (34%) {15%} [19%] (17%) {-12%}
  • Lindsey Graham 24% [18%] (19%) {21%} [16%] (19%) / 37% [45%] (40%) {33%} [39%] (31%) {-13%}
  • Jeb Bush 27% [34%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (47%) / 50% [49%] (42%) {35%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [29%] (24%) {-23%}
  • Jim Gilmore 6% [5%] (4%) {4%} / 36% [27%] (17%) {14%} {-30%}
  • George Pataki 7% [13%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (13%) / 41% [38%] (30%) {29%} [30%] (24%) {-34%}
Survey of 607 Republican primary voters was conducted November 16-17, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% [39%] (40%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [30%] (35%) {33%} [40%] (37%) {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 20% [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (21%) {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 6% [6%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

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