Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 25% [20%] (27%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 23% [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Ben Carson 18% [28%] (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Marco Rubio 13% [13%] (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Rand Paul 5% [6%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 4% [5%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [5%] (5%) {3%} [2%]
• Chris Christie 2% [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Mike Huckabee 2% [2%] (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)
• John Kasich 1% [3%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%]
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ben Carson 79% [84%] (79%) {63%} [53%] (51%) / 15% [10%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (5%) {+64%}
• Ted Cruz 73% [65%] (61%) {58%} [59%] (46%) / 15% [18%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (19%) {+58%}
• Marco Rubio 70% [70%] (66%) {60%} [69%] (48%) / 18% [15%] (15%) {13%} [9%] (15%) {+52%}
• Carly Fiorina 60% [61%] (62%) {36%} [26%] / 19% [18%] (8%) {8%} [8%] {+41%}
• Mike Huckabee 61% [63%] (61%) {61%} [64%] (63%) / 28% [29%] (28%) {28%} [27%] (24%) {+33%}
• Donald Trump 59% [53%] (60%) {42%} / 34% [43%] (35%) {47%} {+25%}
• Rick Santorum 50% [50%] (51%) {55%} [56%] (54%) / 31% [32%] (27%) {27%} [28%] (23%) {+19%}
• Chris Christie 45% [36%] (37%) {25%} [32%] (30%) / 40% [52%] (50%) {59%} [56%] (54%) {+5%}
• Rand Paul 41% [45%] (41%) {53%} [59%] (58%) / 44% [43%] (43%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {-3%}
• Jeb Bush 39% [43%] (41%) {46%} [39%] (41%) / 53% [51%] (48%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {-14%}
• John Kasich 22% [28%] (33%) {20%} [20%] (17%) / 39% [25%] (18%) {11%} [8%] (6%) {-17%}
• Jim Gilmore 1% [3%] (3%) / 19% [14%] (12%) {-18%}
• Lindsey Graham 20% [18%] (17%) {20%} [15%] / 45% [47%] (45%) {38%} [37%] {-25%}
• George Pataki 5% [9%] (7%) {9%} / 36% [28%] (26%) {20%} {-31%}

Survey of 600 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted November 16-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Gender: 61% [63%] (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 39% [37%] (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 43% [45%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 33% [28%] (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 23% [26%] (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.