Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 40% {41%} [41%] (48%)
• Dan Malloy (D) 40% {41%} [42%] (41%)
• Joe Visconti (I) 3% {3%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 41% [41%] (48%)
• Dan Malloy (D) 41% [42%] (41%)
• Joe Visconti (I) 3%

Survey of 1,284 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Foley (R) 48% (43%) [42%] {42%} (41%) [31%] {33%}
• Dan Malloy (D) 45% (48%) [49%] {45%} (50%) [46%] {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 48% (45%) [41%] {34%} (34%) / 34% (33%) [33%] {25%} (24%) {+14%}
• Dan Malloy 44% (47%) [47%] {39%} (46%) / 41% (34%) [29%] {27%} (21%) {+3%}

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Foley (R) 48% {45%} [44%] (40%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)
• Dan Malloy (D) 46% {49%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Foley (R) 50% {49%} [45%]
• Dan Malloy (D) 47% {51%} [55%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 55% {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 42% {44%} [40%] (35%) {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+13%}
• Dan Malloy 51% {52%} [54%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 44% {43%} [39%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+7%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% {43%} [40%] Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] Republican; 26% {26%} [29%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Foley draws support from 88% of GOP voters in the state, while Malloy picks up 80% of the Democrats. The Republican has a 17-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Foley (R) 49% [40%]
• Dan Malloy (D) 47% [50%]
• Undecided 4% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 41% [41%] / 38% [40%] {+3%}
• Dan Malloy 39% [48%] / 40% [30%] {-1%}

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54% [53%]
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% [41%]
• Undecided 3% [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Linda McMahon 37% / 52% {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jodi Rell’s job performance?

• Approve 55% [51%]
• Disapprove 31% [37%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Lieberman’s job performance?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 54%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chris Dodd’s job performance?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 52%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 44%

Survey of 759 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] Democrat; 27% [28%] Republican; 31% [31%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 52% [49%] Moderate; 28% [32%] Conservative; 21% [19%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 48% [49%] {45%} (50%) [46%] {44%}
• Tom Foley (R) 43% [42%] {42%} (41%) [31%] {33%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 47% [47%] {39%} (46%) / 34% [29%] {27%} (21%) {+13%}
• Tom Foley 45% [41%] {34%} (34%) / 33% [33%] {25%} (24%) {+12%}

Survey of 702 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 49% {49%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)
• Tom Foley (R) 46% {45%} [44%] (40%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Dan Malloy (D) 52% {51%} [55%]
• Tom Foley (R) 48% {49%} [45%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 54% {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 41% {44%} [40%] (35%) {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+13%}
• Dan Malloy 51% {52%} [54%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 44% {43%} [39%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+7%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} [40%] Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] Republican; 27% {26%} [29%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Foley draws support from 87% of GOP voters in the state, while Malloy picks up 81% of the Democrats. The Republican holds an eight-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Connecticut Political Survey

Suffolk University Connecticut Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 57%
• Linda McMahon (R) 39%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 56%  / 34% {+22%}
• Linda McMahon 33%  / 52% {-19%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION 

• Dan Malloy (D) 49%
• Tom Foley (R) 38%
• Other 4% 
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 41% / 29% {+12%}
• Tom Foley 32% / 36% {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 42%

Is your opinion of Barack Obama generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 40%

Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton generally favorable or generally unfavorable?

• Favorable 65%
• Unfavorable 26%

Currently possession of a "Useable Amount" of marijuana is treated as a misdemeanor, punishable by up to one year in jail or fine of up to $1,000 for the first offense. Democratic candidate for Governor Dan Malloy has said he supports decriminalizing possession of small amounts of marijuana. His opponent, Republican Tom Foley has come out against decriminalizing marijuana. Both candidates oppose full legalization. 

At this time, which of the following describes how you feel about marijuana laws in Connecticut? One, it should be fully legal to have one ounce or less for personal use; two, It should be decriminalized to have one ounce or less for personal use; three, It should be legal only when prescribed by a doctor to have one ounce or less or; four, possession of one ounce or less should be illegal under any circumstances.

• It should be fully legal to have one ounce or less for personal use 17%
• It should be decriminalized to have one ounce or less for personal use 24%
• It should be legal only when prescribed by a doctor to have one ounce or less. 37%
• Possession of one ounce or less should be illegal under any circumstances. 18%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 19-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 37% Democrat; 21% Republican; 42% Independent. 

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 49% [49%] (50%) {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)
• Tom Foley (R) 45% [44%] (40%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Dan Malloy (D) 51% [55%]
• Tom Foley (R) 49% [45%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 52% [54%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 43% [39%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+9%}
• Tom Foley 51% [53%] (53%) {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 44% [40%] (35%) {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+7%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% [40%] Democrat; 31% [30%] Republican; 26% [29%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Foley draws support from 86% of GOP voters in the state, while Malloy picks up 82% of the Democrats. The Republican holds an eight-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 49% {45%} (50%) [46%] {44%}
• Tom Foley (R) 42% {42%} (41%) [31%] {33%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 47% {39%} (46%) / 29% {27%} (21%) {+18%}
• Tom Foley 41% {34%} (34%) / 33% {25%} (24%) {+8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?

• Approve 59% {59%} (58%)
• Disapprove 33% {33%} (35%)

Survey of 1,119 likely voters was conducted October 7-11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Connecticut Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Connecticut Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 49% (52%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 43% (42%)
• Other 3% (3%)
• Not sure 5% (4%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 53% (55%)  / 40% (37%) {+13%}
• Linda McMahon 44% (40%)  / 48% (51%) {-4%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, is Richard Blumenthal honest and trustworthy?

• Yes 42% (48%)
• No 42% (35%)

Regardless of how you plan to vote, is Linda McMahon honest and trustworthy?

• Yes 38% (36%)
• No 39% (38%)

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION 

• Dan Malloy (D) 45% (47%)
• Tom Foley (R) 41% (41%)
• Other 4% (2%)
• Not sure 10% (9%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 42% (48%)
• Disapprove 49% (46%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 49% (50%) {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)
• Tom Foley (R) 44% (40%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 54% (55%) {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 39% (34%) {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+15%}
• Tom Foley 53% (53%) {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 40% (35%) {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+13%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Malloy is backed by 79% of Democrats, while Foley draws support from 82% of Republicans. Foley leads Malloy 46% to 43% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Connecticut Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Connecticut Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 54%
• Linda McMahon (R) 41% 

Gubernatorial Election

• Dan Malloy (D) 50%
• Tom Foley (R) 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 49%

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 50%
• Tom Foley (R) 40%
• Undecided 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 48% / 30% {+18%}
• Tom Foley 41% / 40% {+1%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jodi Rell’s job performance?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 37%

Survey of 810 likely voters was conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 28% Republican; 31% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 49% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

Poll Watch: CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

CT Capitol Report/Merriman River Group Connecticut Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52.4%
• Linda McMahon (R) 44.7%
• Not sure 2.9% 

Gubernatorial Election

• Dan Malloy (D) 47.5%
• Tom Foley (R) 44.9%
• Not sure 7.6%

Survey of 1,623 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 25% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 45% (50%) [46%] {44%}
• Tom Foley (R) 42% (41%) [31%] {33%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 39% (46%) / 27% (21%) {+12%}
• Tom Foley 34% (34%) / 25% (24%) {+9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?

• Approve 59% (58%)
• Disapprove 33% (35%)

Survey of 1,083 likely voters was conducted September 21-26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Dan Malloy (D) 50% {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)
• Tom Foley (R) 40% {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Malloy 55% {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 34% {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+21%}
• Tom Foley 53% {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 35% {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+18%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Malloy is backed by 79% of Democrats, while Foley draws support from 78% of Republicans. Malloy leads Foley 49% to 36% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.