Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey

• John Boozman (R) 55% {55%} [65%] (60%) {61%} [66%] (57%) {51%} [48%] (54%)
• Blanche Lincoln (D) 36% {37%} [27%] (35%) {32%] [28%] (29%) {36%} [39%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Boozman 61% {56%} [67%] (65%) {65%} [64%] (58%) {47%} [51%] (51%) / 35% {36%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [28%] (24%) {25%} [27%] (24%) {+26%}
• Blanche Lincoln 38% {37%} [34%] (37%) {32%} [28%] (31%) {37%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [43%] (45%) / 59% {63%} [63%] (62%) {65%} [71%] (63%) {61%} [52%] (59%) {56%} [52%] (52%) {-21%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 26% {19%} [21%] (17%) {24%} [19%] (27%) {23%} [22%] (20%) {20%} [21%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 12% {15%} [10%] (17%) {14%} [13%] (8%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [13%] (9%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {10%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [10%] (7%) {8%} [14%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 53% {56%} [56%] (56%) {49%} [57%] (51%) {52%} [50%] (59%) {53%} [51%] (52%)

How would you rate the job Mike Beebe has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 41% {32%} [31%] (32%) {34%} [27%] (28%) {33%} [26%] (22%) {23%} [23%] (27%)
• Somewhat approve 37% {35%} [41%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {41%} [49%] (51%) {45%} [47%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 13% {20%} [18%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (24%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Strongly disapprove 8% {12%} [8%] (8%) {4%} [13%] (6%) {10%} [6%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (8%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 34% {28%} Republican; 33% {36%} Democrat; 33% {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 15, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Arkansas Republicans support Boozman, while Lincoln has the backing of 82% of Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties prefer the GOP candidate by a 44-point margin.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Arkansas Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Arkansas Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• John Boozman (R) 55%
• Blanche Lincoln (D) 41%

Gubernatorial Election

• Mike Beebe (D) 62%
• Jim Keet (R) 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 63%

Survey of 809 likely voters was conducted October 15-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas Senatorial Survey

• John Boozman (R) 55% [65%] (60%) {61%} [66%] (57%) {51%} [48%] (54%)
• Blanche Lincoln (D) 37% [27%] (35%) {32%] [28%] (29%) {36%} [39%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Boozman 56% [67%] (65%) {65%} [64%] (58%) {47%} [51%] (51%) / 36% [26%] (26%) {26%} [28%] (24%) {25%} [27%] (24%) {+20%}
• Blanche Lincoln 37% [34%] (37%) {32%} [28%] (31%) {37%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [43%] (45%) / 63% [63%] (62%) {65%} [71%] (63%) {61%} [52%] (59%) {56%} [52%] (52%) {-26%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 19% [21%] (17%) {24%} [19%] (27%) {23%} [22%] (20%) {20%} [21%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 15% [10%] (17%) {14%} [13%] (8%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {18%} [13%] (9%)
• Somewhat disapprove 10% [13%] (9%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [10%] (7%) {8%} [14%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 56% [56%] (56%) {49%} [57%] (51%) {52%} [50%] (59%) {53%} [51%] (52%)

How would you rate the job Mike Beebe has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 32% [31%] (32%) {34%} [27%] (28%) {33%} [26%] (22%) {23%} [23%] (27%)
• Somewhat approve 35% [41%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {41%} [49%] (51%) {45%} [47%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 20% [18%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (24%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Strongly disapprove 12% [8%] (8%) {4%} [13%] (6%) {10%} [6%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (8%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 15, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-five percent (95%) of Arkansas Republicans support Boozman, while Lincoln has the backing of just 72% of Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties prefer the GOP candidate by 36-point margin.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas Gubernatorial Survey

• Mike Beebe (D) 51% {53%} (50%) [57%] {53%}
• Jim Keet (R) 41% {33%} (40%) [33%] {38%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Beebe 63% {67%} (69%) [72%] {68%} / 33% {28%} (28%) [25%] {31%} {+30%}
• Jim Keet 39% {46%} (44%) [45%] {47%} / 39% {29%} (29%) [30%] {27%} {0%}

How would you rate the job Mike Beebe has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 32%
• Somewhat approve 35%
• Somewhat disapprove 20%
• Strongly disapprove 12%

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 19%
• Somewhat approve 15%
• Somewhat disapprove 10%
• Strongly disapprove 56%

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 30, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Democrats support Beebe, while Keet gets 73% of the vote from members of his party. Voters not affiliated with either major political party give a 4-point edge to the incumbent.