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PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
The candidates for Governor this fall are
Democrat Maggie Hassan and Republican
Walt Havenstein. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
- Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
- Undecided 4%
Horse race, with undecideds asked
if they lean Hassan or Havenstein:
- Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 46%
- Undecided 3%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor
Maggie Hassan’s job performance?
- Approve 51%
- Disapprove 39%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Walt Havenstein?
- Favorable 40%
- Unfavorable 33%
Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% Democrat; 27% Republican; 44% Independent/Other.
NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
- Maggie Hassan (D) 51.0% (47.2%) {50.7%} [48.7%] (51.4%) {47.9%} [52.0%] (51.3%)
- Walt Havenstein (R) 43.7% (46.9%) {42.5%} [43.5%] (41.3%) {44.1%} [39.6%] (36.2%)
- Another candidate 2.4% (2.2%) {2.6%} [2.7%] (3.0%) {2.9%} [3.8%] (3.9%)
- Not sure 2.9% (3.7%) {4.2%} [5.1%] (4.4%) {5.1%} [4.6%] (8.6%)
Survey of 1,526 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.51 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
ARG New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
- Maggie Hassan (D) 48% {53%} [55%] (51%) {45%}
- Walt Havenstein (R) 46% {43%} [40%] (39%) {32%}
Among Men
- Walt Havenstein (R) 50%
- Maggie Hassan (D) 45%
Among Women
- Maggie Hassan (D) 52%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 42%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [35%]
Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll
conducted October 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.
NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
- Maggie Hassan (D) 47.2% {50.7%} [48.7%] (51.4%) {47.9%} [52.0%] (51.3%)
- Walt Havenstein (R) 46.9% {42.5%} [43.5%] (41.3%) {44.1%} [39.6%] (36.2%)
- Another candidate 2.2% {2.6%} [2.7%] (3.0%) {2.9%} [3.8%] (3.9%)
- Not sure 3.7% {4.2%} [5.1%] (4.4%) {5.1%} [4.6%] (8.6%)
Survey of 1,132 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.91 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
- Walt Havenstein (R) 50%
- Maggie Hassan (D) 47%
Among Women
- Maggie Hassan (D) 55%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 40%
Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% Republican; 24% Democrat; 48% Independent.
UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
- Maggie Hassan (D) 49%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
Among Men
- Walt Havenstein (R) 53%
- Maggie Hassan (D) 40%
Among Women
- Maggie Hassan (D) 56%
- Walt Havenstein (R) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Maggie Hassan 55% / 36% {+19%}
- Walt Havenstein 44% / 25% {+19%}
Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Gubernatorial Poll
- Maggie Hassan (D) 48% [44%] (36%)
- Ovide Lamontagne (R) 46% [48%] (42%)
- Some other candidate 0% [2%]
- Undecided 6% [7%]
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2012. The
margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll
conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ninety-seven percent (97%) of voters in the state are certain they will
vote in November. Among these voters, Hassan earns 49% support to
Lamontagne’s 45%.
Lamontagne is ahead of Hassan by a 52% to 42% margin among male voters
but trails among female voters 53% to 41%. Hassan earns the support of
younger voters, but their elders favor Lamontagne.
Eighty-three percent (83%) of the state’s Republicans like Lamontagne,
while Hassan draws support from 93% of Democrats. Among voters not
affiliated with either political party, it’s Hassan 49%, Lamontagne 41%.
Fifty percent (50%) of voters in New Hampshire have at least a somewhat
favorable impression of Hassan, a former state senator. Forty-one
percent (41%) view Hassan unfavorably, with Very Favorables of 20% and
Very Unfavorables of 23%.
Lamontagne, who ran an unsuccessful gubernatorial campaign in 1996, is
viewed favorably by 46% of voters in the state and unfavorably by 42%.
That includes Very Favorables of 22% and Very Unfavorables of 24%.
Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Gubernatorial Poll
- Ovide Lamontagne (R) 48% (42%)
- Maggie Hassan (D) 44% (36%)
- Some other candidate 2%
- Undecided 7%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Forty-eight percent (48%) of voters in New Hampshire now have a favorable opinion of Lamontagne, up from 40% in June. Thirty-eight percent (38%) have an unfavorable impression of the attorney. That includes Very Favorable reviews from 23% and Very Unfavorable marks from 20%.
For Hassan, favorables total 46% and unfavorables 37%. Twenty percent (20%) view the Democrat Very Favorably, while 21% see her in a Very Unfavorable light.
Lamontagne holds a double-digit advantage over Hassan among men but trails Hassan by a 47% to 40% margin among women.
Most senior citizens and middle-aged voters in New Hampshire support Lamontagne, but younger voters tend to favor Hassan.
Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, Lamontagne leads 48% to 41%.
Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Gubernatorial Poll
- Ovide Lamontagne (R) 41%
- Jackie Cilley (D) 39%
- Jackie Cilley (D) 39%
- Kevin Smith (R) 37%
- Ovide Lamontagne (R) 42%
- Maggie Hassan (D) 36%
- Kevin Smith (R) 39%
- Maggie Hassan (D) 36%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted June 20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Inside the numbers:
Lamontagne is viewed very favorably by 18% of voters in the state and very unfavorably by 21%. For Smith, very favorables are nine percent (9%), very unfavorables, 15%.
Eleven percent (11%) share a very favorable opinion of Cilley, while 12% view her very unfavorably. Hassan is seen very favorably by 12% and very unfavorably by 15%.
But 24% don’t know enough about Lamontagne to voice any kind of opinion of him, and 33% say the same of the other three candidates.
Lamontagne draws slightly stronger support than Smith does among Republicans against both Democratic hopefuls. Cilley and Hassan do equally well among Democrats in both matchups, but Democrats have a lot more undecideds at this stage than Republicans do.
Voters not affiliated with either major party give the edge to the Democrats over both Republicans.
