Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Maggie Hassan (D) 48% [44%] (36%)
• Ovide Lamontagne (R) 46% [48%] (42%)
• Some other candidate 0% [2%]
• Undecided 6% [7%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.
  
Inside the numbers:

Ninety-seven percent (97%) of voters in the state are certain they will vote in November.  Among these voters, Hassan earns 49% support to Lamontagne’s 45%.

Lamontagne is ahead of Hassan by a 52% to 42% margin among male voters but trails among female voters 53% to 41%.  Hassan earns the support of younger voters, but their elders favor Lamontagne.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of the state’s Republicans like Lamontagne, while Hassan draws support from 93% of Democrats.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, it’s Hassan 49%, Lamontagne 41%.

Fifty percent (50%) of voters in New Hampshire have at least a somewhat favorable impression of Hassan, a former state senator.  Forty-one percent (41%) view Hassan unfavorably, with Very Favorables of 20% and Very Unfavorables of 23%.

Lamontagne, who ran an unsuccessful gubernatorial campaign in 1996, is viewed favorably by 46% of voters in the state and unfavorably by 42%.  That includes Very Favorables of 22% and Very Unfavorables of 24%.