Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40% {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5% {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}
Among Men
  • Thom Tillis (R) 48% {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}
Among Women
  • Kay Hagan (D) 49% {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 33% {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
  • Sean Haugh (L) 4% {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%} 
Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they lean Hagan or Tillis
  • Kay Hagan (D) 46% {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Sean Haugh 8% {8%} (7%) / 17% {17%} (20%) {-9%}
  • Thom Tillis 34% {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-14%}
Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
  • Approve 43% {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
  • Disapprove 48% {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}
Survey of 1,266 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 45% {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 21% {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

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