Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Tom Cotton (R) 45%
• Mark Pryor (D) 40%
• Mark Swaney (G) 3%
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 2%
  
• Other 1%
• Undecided 9%

Among Registered Voters

• Tom Cotton (R) 41% (40%)
• Mark Pryor (D) 41% (51%)
• Mark Swaney (G) 4%
• Nathan LaFrance (L) 3%
  
• Other 1% (2%)
• Undecided 11% (7%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters

• Tom Cotton 44% / 40% {+4%}
• Mark Pryor 44% / 42% {+2%}

Among Registered Voters

• Mark Pryor 44% (50%) / 40% (35%) {+4%}
• Tom Cotton 41% (38%) / 41% (39%) {0%}

Survey of 1,068 registered voters, including 639 likely voters, was conducted September 2-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.9 percentage points among likely voters. Party registration (among registered voters): 29% (30%) Democrat; 26% (23%) Republican; 43% (46%) Independent. Ideology (among registered voters): 35% (38%) Conservative; 32% (33%) Moderate; 16% (12%) Very conservative; 12% (13%) Liberal; 5% (4%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 4, 2014 are in parentheses.