Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor this fall are Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, and Libertarian Adrian Wyllie. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42%
• Rick Scott (R) 39%
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8%
• Undecided 11%

Horse race, with Wyllie supporters asked if they'd vote Scott or Crist:

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [42%] (49%) {43%} [50%] (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% [42%] (42%) {41%} [38%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 70% [74%] (77%) {66%} [72%] (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
• Rick Scott (R) 17% [12%] (13%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 73% [75%] (69%) {80%} [65%] (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 15% [11%] (21%) {14%} [21%] (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 49% [37%] (38%) {47%} [57%] (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
• Rick Scott (R) 31% [41%] (56%) {23%} [33%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 54% [44%] {56%} [64%] (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 31% [36%] {28%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [39%] (41%) {39%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [49%] (52%) {47%} [43%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 45% [44%] (55%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
• Rick Scott (R) 40% [36%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

• Approve 40% [39%] {34%} [33%] (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Disapprove 49% [48%] {51%} [55%] (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 20% [15%] {19%} [16%] (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
• Disapprove 72% [75%] {69%} [74%] (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 69% [61%] {58%} [57%] (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
• Disapprove 23% [26%] {27%} [29%] (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]

Among Independents

• Approve 27% [43%] {26%} [27%] (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
• Disapprove 54% [42%] {54%} [63%] (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 29% [33%] {30%} [26%] (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
• Disapprove 59% [48%] {57%} [63%] (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]

Among Men

• Approve 43% [48%] {41%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
• Disapprove 50% [46%] {44%} [48%] (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]

Among Women

• Approve 38% [31%] {27%} [28%] (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
• Disapprove 49% [51%] {57%} [62%] (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

• Favorable 40% [32%] {36%} [43%] (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 46% [48%] {46%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 66% [55%] {52%} [58%] (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
• Unfavorable 21% [22%] {24%} [24%] (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 13% [16%] {17%} [25%] (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
• Unfavorable 76% [74%] {72%} [65%] (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 40% [24%] {35%} [47%] (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 39% [49%] {45%} [38%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 51% [35%] {47%} [51%] (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
• Unfavorable 33% [41%] {35%} [32%] (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]

Among Men

• Favorable 44% [30%] {34%} [44%] (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
• Unfavorable 49% [53%] {50%} [48%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]

Among Women

• Favorable 37% [34%] {38%} [43%] (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 43% [44%] {42%} [36%] (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]

Survey of 818 likely voters was conducted September 4-7, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [38%] (44%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 38% [37%] (39%) {34%} [35%] (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 22% [25%] (17%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [28%] {33%} [29%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 23% [25%] {21%} [27%] (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [22%] {20%} [18%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% [15%] {17%} [16%] (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 13% [11%] {10%} [10%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 16-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.