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- Joni Ernst (R) 47.0% (40.0%)
- Bruce Braley (D) 43.2% (40.2%)
- Rick Stewart (I) 1.2% (2.2%)
- Douglas Butzier (L) 0.6% (1.0%)
- Bob Quast 0.6% (0.6%)
- Ruth Smith 0.0% (1.0%)
- Undecided 7.4% (14.8%)
Among Men
- Joni Ernst (R) 51% (42%)
- Bruce Braley (D) 38% (39%)
- Rick Stewart (I) 2% (2%)
- Douglas Butzier (L) 1% (2%)
- Bob Quast 0% (0%)
- Ruth Smith 0% (0%)
- Undecided 8% (14%)
Among Women
- Bruce Braley (D) 48% (41%)
- Joni Ernst (R) 43% (38%)
- Rick Stewart (I) 2% (3%)
- Bob Quast 1% (1%)
- Douglas Butzier (L) 0%
- Ruth Smith 0% (2%)
- Undecided 7% (15%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Joni Ernst 46.0% (41.4%) / 42.4% (41.4%) {+3.6%}
- Bruce Braley 42.6% (40.6%) / 44.8% (35.2%) {-2.2%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was
conducted October 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration: 33.4% (31.6%) Democrat; 33.4% (31.6%)
Republican; 33.2% (36.8%) Independent/No party. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2014 are in parentheses.
The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst,
Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth
Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
- Joni Ernst (R) 44% {40%}
- Bruce Braley (D) 42% {41%}
- Douglas Butzier (L) 2% {2%}
- Rick Stewart (I) 1% {2%}
- Bob Quast 1% {0%}
- Ruth Smith 0% {1%}
- Undecided 10% {14%}
Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Braley
or Ernst
- Joni Ernst (R) 45% {42%} [39%] (35%)
- Bruce Braley (D) 43% {42%} [45%] (41%)
- Not sure 12% {16%} [16%] (23%)
Among Men
- Joni Ernst (R) 48% {50%} [48%] (43%)
- Bruce Braley (D) 43% {40%} [39%] (41%)
- Not sure 9% {9%} [12%] (16%)
Among Women
- Bruce Braley (D) 44% {44%} [50%] (42%)
- Joni Ernst (R) 42% {35%} [31%] (28%)
- Not sure 15% {21%} [20%] (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Joni Ernst 42% {36%} [27%] (9%) / 46% {46%} [32%] (12%) {-4%}
- Bruce Braley 37% {37%} [29%] (31%) / 44% {41%} [29%] (25%) {-7%}
Survey of 1,192 likely voters was
conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [34%] (31%)
Republican; 35% {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 29% {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 33% {29%} [27%]
(30%) Moderate; 21% {23%} [22%] (24%)
Somewhat conservative; 18% {17%} [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 17% {20%} [18%] (22%) Somewhat
liberal; 12% {11%} [14%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.
- Bruce Braley (D) 40.2%
- Joni Ernst (R) 40.0%
- Rick Stewart (I) 2.2%
- Douglas Butzier (L) 1.0%
- Ruth Smith 1.0%
- Bob Quast 0.6%
- Undecided 14.8%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bruce Braley 40.6% / 35.2% {+5.4%}
- Joni Ernst 41.4% / 41.4% {0%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was
conducted August 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4
percentage points. Party ID: 31.6% Democrat; 31.6%
Republican; 36.8% Independent/No party.
The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst,
Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth
Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the
election was today, who would you vote for?
- Bruce Braley (D) 41%
- Joni Ernst (R) 40%
- Rick Stewart (I) 2%
- Douglas Butzier (L) 2%
- Ruth Smith 1%
- Bob Quast 0%
- Undecided 14%
Horse race, with Butzier, Quast, Smith, and
Stewart supporters asked if they'd vote Braley
or Ernst
- Bruce Braley (D) 42% [45%] (41%)
- Joni Ernst (R) 42% [39%] (35%)
- Not sure 16% [16%] (23%)
Among Men
- Joni Ernst (R) 50% [48%] (43%)
- Bruce Braley (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
- Not sure 9% [12%] (16%)
Among Women
- Bruce Braley (D) 44% [50%] (42%)
- Joni Ernst (R) 35% [31%] (28%)
- Not sure 21% [20%] (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Bruce Braley 37% [29%] (31%) / 41% [29%] (25%) {-4%}
- Joni Ernst 36% [27%] (9%) / 46% [32%] (12%) {-10%}
Survey of 915 likely voters was
conducted August 22-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2
percentage points. Party ID: 35% [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% [34%] (31%) Republican; 31% [28%] (32%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 29% [27%] (30%) Moderate; 23% [22%] (24%)
Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (22%) Somewhat
liberal; 17% [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.
