Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40%
  • Rick Stewart (I) 2%
  • Douglas Butzier (L) 2%
  • Ruth Smith 1%
  • Bob Quast 0%
  • Undecided 14%
Horse race, with Butzier, Quast, Smith, and Stewart supporters asked if they'd vote Braley or Ernst
  • Bruce Braley (D) 42% [45%] (41%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 42% [39%] (35%)
  • Not sure 16% [16%] (23%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 50% [48%] (43%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Not sure 9% [12%] (16%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44% [50%] (42%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 35% [31%] (28%)
  • Not sure 21% [20%] (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bruce Braley 37% [29%] (31%) / 41% [29%] (25%) {-4%}
  • Joni Ernst 36% [27%] (9%) / 46% [32%] (12%) {-10%}
Survey of 915 likely voters was conducted August 22-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% [34%] (31%) Republican; 31% [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [27%] (30%) Moderate; 23% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

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