Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 34% (23%) {22%} [18%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%] 
• Rick Santorum 31% (38%) {4%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] 
• Newt Gingrich 20% (17%) {35%} [28%] (15%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]  
• Ron Paul 9% (13%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {11%} [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]

Very Conservative: 34% (36%)

• Rick Santorum 39% (53%) {6%}
• Newt Gingrich 27% (20%) {38%}  
• Mitt Romney 23% (15%) {17%}
• Ron Paul 7% (8%) {10%}

Somewhat Conservative: 42% (39%)

• Mitt Romney 43% (26%) {24%}
• Rick Santorum 30% (37%) {3%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% (14%) {36%}  
• Ron Paul 7% (10%) {11%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 34% (19%) {21%}
• Rick Santorum 29% (40%) {3%}
  
• Newt Gingrich 20% (18%) {36%}  
• Ron Paul 11% (15%) {13%}

Among Women

• Rick Santorum 33% (37%) {5%}
  
• Mitt Romney 33% (27%) {22%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% (16%) {34%}  
• Ron Paul 7% (12%) {9%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 53% (48%) {38%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 47% (52%) {62%}

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 20% (20%) {17%}
• Rick Santorum 18% (18%) {5%}
• Mitt Romney 18% (17%) {17%}
• Ron Paul 8% (9%) {7%}
• Someone else/Not sure 36% (37%) {29%}

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 41% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (28%)
• Ron Paul 11% (15%)
• Not sure 8% (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 59% (64%) / 30% (22%) {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 54% (44%) {55%} [48%] (55%) {52%} [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 35% (43%) {31%} [39%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+19%}
• Newt Gingrich 47% (42%) {60%} [68%] (57%) {46%} {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 42% (44%) {28%} [23%] (30%) {39%} {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+5%} 
• Ron Paul 31% (35%) {34%} [31%] (29%) [44%] / 57% (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%) [30%] {-26%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34% (29%) {28%} [32%] (32%) {38%}
• No 52% (55%) {57%} [54%] (52%) {46%}

Among Tea Party Members

• Rick Santorum 37% (51%)
• Newt Gingrich 28% (24%) 
• Mitt Romney 24% (12%)
• Ron Paul 7% (8%)

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Voters

• Mitt Romney 40% (28%)  
• Rick Santorum 28% (34%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (14%)   
• Ron Paul 10% (16%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 48% (49%)
• Are not 52% (51%)

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 43% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 23% (18%) 
• Newt Gingrich 22% (21%)  
• Ron Paul 6% (8%)

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 43% (28%)  
• Rick Santorum 20% (32%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% (14%)   
• Ron Paul 12% (19%)

Survey of 734 usual Republican primary voters was conducted March 15-17, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42% (39%) {38%} [39%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (36%) {42%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative; 18% (17%) {16%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% (6%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (2%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 9-10, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.