Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 48% [50%] (49%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 44% [36%] (42%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%)
  • Undecided 4% [10%] (6%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [37%] (44%)
  • Mark Neumann (R) 40% [46%] (43%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%)
  • Not sure 8% [13%] (9%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 48% [40%] (46%)
  • Jeff Fitzgerald (R) 40% [41%] (39%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [4%] (5%)
  • Not sure 7% [15%] (11%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Among voters in the Badger State not affiliated with either major political party, Baldwin draws 43% of the vote to Thompson’s 41%. The Democrat leads Neumann by seven points and Fitzgerald by 14 in this group.

Thompson, governor of the state from 1987 to 2001, leads Baldwin by 17 points among male voters, but the other two Republicans hold much more modest leads in this group. Among female voters, Baldwin leads Thompson by eight and both Neumann and Fitzgerald by double digits.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of Wisconsin voters now share a very favorable opinion of Baldwin, up from 19% a month ago. Just as many (30%) view Baldwin very unfavorably.

While 21% view Thompson very favorably, 27% view him very unfavorably. Neumann, who unsuccessfully sought the GOP gubernatorial nomination in 2010, draws very vavorables from 12% and very unfavorables from 31%. Fourteen percent (14%) in Wisconsin view Fitzgerald very favorably, while 37% share a very unfavorable opinion of him.

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