Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

• Tom Barrett 47% (45%)
• Scott Walker 46% (47%)

• Scott Walker 49% (49%)
• Kathleen Falk 42% (45%)
  

• Scott Walker 49% (49%)
• Doug LaFollette 40% (42%)

• Scott Walker 49% (49%)
• Kathleen Vinehout 40% (41%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Scott Walker 48% (50%) / 48% (45%) {0%} 
• Kathleen Vinehout 14% (10%) / 15% (13%) {-1%} 
• Tom Barrett 37% (34%) / 39% (27%) {-2%}
• Doug LaFollette 17% (16%) / 20% (14%) {-3%}
• Kathleen Falk 26% (27%) / 43% (39%) {-17%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

• Approve 47% (50%)
• Disapprove 51% (47%)

Among Democratic Primary Voters

• Tom Barrett 45% (36%)
• Kathleen Falk 23% (29%)
• Doug LaFollette 8% (8%)
• Kathleen Vinehout 8% (8%)

Survey of 705 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 451 Democratic primary voters, was conducted April 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.7 percentage points among Democratic primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

PPP/Daily Kos (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

If the candidates in the recall election for Governor were Republican Scott Walker, Democrat Tom Barrett, and independent Hari Trivedi, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 50% [46%] (48%) {47%} [43%]
• Tom Barrett 45% [49%] (46%) {48%} [50%] 
• Hari Trivedi 2%

If the candidates in the recall election for Governor were Republican Scott Walker, Democrat Kathleen Falk, and independent Hari Trivedi, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 50% [47%] (49%)
• Kathleen Falk 43% [48%] (41%)
• Hari Trivedi 3%
  

If the candidates in the recall election for Governor were Republican Scott Walker, Democrat Doug LaFollette, and independent Hari Trivedi, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 51% [46%]
• Doug LaFollette 40% [45%]
• Hari Trivedi 3%

If the candidates in the recall election for Governor were Republican Scott Walker, Democrat Kathleen Vinehout, and independent Hari Trivedi, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 50% [46%]
• Kathleen Vinehout 38% [44%]
• Hari Trivedi 5%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Barrett?

• Favorable 41% [41%] (37%) {39%} [41%]
• Unfavorable 45% [33%] (33%) {37%} [34%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Falk?

• Favorable 36% [31%] (21%)
• Unfavorable 52% [42%] (29%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug LaFollette?

• Favorable 24% [22%]
• Unfavorable 44% [28%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Vinehout?

• Favorable 19% [13%]
• Unfavorable 41% [27%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott Walker’s job performance?

• Approve 51% [47%] (47%) {45%} [43%] (46%)
• Disapprove 48% [52%] (51%) {53%} [54%] (52%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 9% [7%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
• Disapprove 89% [91%] (93%) {93%} [89%] (91%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 96% [92%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (86%)
• Disapprove 3% [6%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Approve 49% [43%] (52%) {44%} [40%] (45%)
• Disapprove 50% [55%] (44%) {53%} [56%] (53%)

Among Men

• Approve 58% [50%] (52%) {50%} [50%] (51%)
• Disapprove 41% [49%] (45%) {49%} [47%] (47%)

Among Women

• Approve 46% [44%] (42%) {41%} [37%] (42%)
• Disapprove 53% [54%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (57%)

Among Democratic Primary Voters

If the Democratic candidates for Governor were Tom Barrett, Kathleen Falk, Doug LaFollette, and Kathleen Vinehout, who would you vote for?

• Tom Barrett 38% [45%]
• Kathleen Falk 24% [18%]
• Doug LaFollette 9% [14%]
• Kathleen Vinehout 6% [6%]
• Undecided 22% [17%]

Survey of 1,136 likely voters, including a subsample of 810 likely Democratic primary voters, was conducted April 13-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points among all likely voters. Party ID: 32% [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 31% [33%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (33%) Democrat; 37% [36%] (32%) {29%} [31%] (35%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

• Scott Walker 47%
• Tom Barrett 45%

• Scott Walker 49%
• Kathleen Falk 45%
  

• Scott Walker 49%
• Doug LaFollette 42%

• Scott Walker 49%
• Kathleen Vinehout 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Barrett 34% / 27% {+7%}
• Scott Walker 50% / 45% {+5%} 
• Doug LaFollette 16% / 14% {+2%}
• Kathleen Vinehout 10% / 13% {-3%}
• Kathleen Falk 27% / 39% {-12%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

• Approve 50%
• Disapprove 47%

Among Democratic Primary Voters

• Tom Barrett 36%
• Kathleen Falk 29%
• Doug LaFollette 8%
• Kathleen Vinehout 8%
• Don't know 17%

If Tom Barrett does not decide to run:

• Kathleen Falk 54%
• Doug LaFollette 15%
• Kathleen Vinehout 12%
• Don't know 18%

Survey of 707 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 370 Democratic primary voters, was conducted March 22-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.2 percentage points among Democratic primary voters.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin Governor Walker Recall Poll

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott Walker’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (47%) {45%} [43%] (46%)
• Disapprove 52% (51%) {53%} [54%] (52%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 7% (6%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
• Disapprove 91% (93%) {93%} [89%] (91%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 92% (90%) {87%} [87%] (86%)
• Disapprove 6% (8%) {10%} [11%] (12%)

Among Independents

• Approve 43% (52%) {44%} [40%] (45%)
• Disapprove 55% (44%) {53%} [56%] (53%)

Among Men

• Approve 50% (52%) {50%} [50%] (51%)
• Disapprove 49% (45%) {49%} [47%] (47%)

Among Women

• Approve 44% (42%) {41%} [37%] (42%)
• Disapprove 54% (55%) {56%} [59%] (57%)

Would you support or oppose recalling Scott Walker from office before his term is up?

• Would support 49% (48%) {47%} [50%] (48%)
• Would oppose 49% (49%) {50%} [47%] (48%)

Among Democrats

• Would support 90% (90%) {86%} [85%] (87%)
• Would oppose 9% (6%) {11%} [11%] (9%)

Among Republicans

• Would support 5% (7%) {6%} [8%] (8%)
• Would oppose 94% (93%) {94%} [89%] (90%)

Among Independents

• Would support 51% (40%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
• Would oppose 47% (57%) {50%} [47%] (46%)

Among Men

• Would support 46% (42%) {43%} [43%] (44%)
• Would oppose 53% (55%) {56%} [56%] (53%)

Among Women

• Would support 53% (53%) {51%} [56%] (52%)
• Would oppose 46% (45%) {46%} [39%] (43%)

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Russ Feingold, who would you vote for?

• Russ Feingold 52% (49%) {52%} [52%]
• Scott Walker 45% (46%) {45%} [42%]

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Tom Barrett, who would you vote for?

• Tom Barrett 49% (46%) {48%} [50%]
• Scott Walker 46% (48%) {47%} [43%]

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Kathleen Falk, who would you vote for?

• Kathleen Falk 48% (41%)
  
• Scott Walker 47% (49%)

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Ron Kind, who would you vote for?

• Ron Kind 46% (41%) {43%}
  
• Scott Walker 45% (47%) {46%}

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Doug LaFollette, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 46%
• Doug LaFollette 45%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Kathleen Vinehout, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 46%
• Kathleen Vinehout 44%

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat David Obey, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 47% (47%) {47%}
• David Obey 45% (42%) {44%}

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Peter Barca, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 48% (48%)
• Peter Barca 46% (42%)

If there was a recall election between Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Jon Erpenbach, who would you vote for?

• Scott Walker 47% (47%)
• Jon Erpenbach 44% (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Russ Feingold?

• Favorable 55% (51%) {49%} [51%]
• Unfavorable 36% (39%) {43%} [38%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Barrett?

• Favorable 41% (37%) {39%} [41%]
• Unfavorable 33% (33%) {37%} [34%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of David Obey?

• Favorable 25% (26%) {24%}
• Unfavorable 32% (34%) {33%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Kind?

• Favorable 18% (20%) {18%}
• Unfavorable 25% (25%) {26%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Peter Barca?

• Favorable 18% (17%)
• Unfavorable 25% (23%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jon Erpenbach?

• Favorable 19% (16%)
• Unfavorable 23% (20%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Falk?

• Favorable 31% (21%)
• Unfavorable 42% (29%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Doug LaFollette?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kathleen Vinehout?

• Favorable 13%
• Unfavorable 27%

Among Democratic Primary Voters

If the Democratic candidates for Governor were Tom Barrett, Kathleen Falk, Doug LaFollette, and Kathleen Vinehout, who would you vote for?

• Tom Barrett 45%
• Kathleen Falk 18%
• Doug LaFollette 14%
• Kathleen Vinehout 6%
• Undecided 17%

If the Democratic candidates for Governor were just Kathleen Falk, Doug LaFollette, and Kathleen Vinehout, who would you vote for?

• Kathleen Falk 41%
• Doug LaFollette 23%
• Kathleen Vinehout 13%
• Undecided 22%

Survey of 900 Wisconsin voters, including a subsample of 425 Democratic primary voters, was conducted February 23-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.27 percentage points among all Wisconsin voters. Party ID breakdown: 33% (37%) {37%} [37%] (33%) Democrat; 31% (31%) {34%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 36% (32%) {29%} [31%] (35%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% (30%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 25% (25%) {21%} [23%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (19%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (17%) {17%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 10% (10%) {11%} [10%] (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.