Friday, May 27, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Chris Christie 44%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Survey of 500 likely voters in New Jersey was conducted on May 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:
Among all New Jersey voters, 53% at least somewhat approve of the job Christie is doing as governor, including 30% who Strongly Approve. Forty-four percent (44%) at least somewhat disapprove of Christie’s performance, with 31% who Strongly Disapprove.

Christie has the support of 80% of the state’s Republicans, while 88% of Garden State Democrats favor Obama. The governor holds a sizable 58% to 34% lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. 
Forty-six percent (46%) give Christie good or excellent marks for the way he has handled New Jersey’s budget crisis. Thirty-five percent (35%) rate his performance as poor. 
On the other hand, 38% of Garden State voters think Obama has done a good or excellent job handling the federal budget crisis, while 41% give him poor marks in this area.
Findings are similar for Obama in the Democratic-leaning state, with 53% who somewhat approve and 46% who somewhat disapprove of the job he’s doing in the White House. This includes 32% who Strongly Approve and 39% who Strongly Disapprove.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of Garden State voters now hold at least a somewhat favorable opinion of Christie, unchanged from just before he took office in January 2010. But 43% have an unfavorable opinion of him, up from 35% in the earlier survey. The new findings include 31% with a Very Favorable view of the governor and 32% with a Very Unfavorable one. 
The numbers for Obama are nearly identical. The president is viewed favorably by 54% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 46%. This includes 33% with a Very Favorable opinion and 34% with a Very Unfavorable view.

Seventy-five percent (75%) of New Jersey Republicans and 51% of voters not affiliated with either party in the state feel Christie’s done a good job dealing with budget problems. Fifty-five percent (55%) of state Democrats say he’s done a poor job.

Similarly, while 69% of Democrats in New Jersey rate the president’s budget performance as good or excellent, 71% of GOP voters and a plurality (49%) of unaffiliateds in the state think he’s been performing poorly.

Seventy-eight percent (78%) of all voters in the state say the bigger problem in New Jersey is not the unwillingness of voters to pay enough in taxes but instead is the unwillingness of politicians to control government spending. Only 14% disagree and think the bigger problem is an unwillingness to pay more in taxes.

Republicans and unaffiliated voters believe much more strongly than Democrats that the bigger problem is politicians’ unwillingness to control spending.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Garden State voters think the federal government is more likely to go bankrupt and be unable to pays it debt before the federal budget is balanced. Thirty-eight percent (38%) feel the federal budget will be balanced first, a slightly more optimistic view than voters have nationally.

Just 10% of voters in New Jersey rate the economy as good or excellent, while 50% describe it as poor. Thirty-two percent (32%) say economic conditions in the country are getting better, but 41% think they’re getting worse.

Fifty-three percent (53%) at least somewhat favor repeal of the national health care law, with 35% who Strongly Favor it. Forty-one percent (41%) are at least somewhat opposed, including 31% who are Strongly Opposed. This is in line with voter sentiments nationally.
Romney earns slightly more support (84%) among New Jersey Republicans but has a much slimmer 46% to 39% lead among unaffiliateds. Eighty-five percent (85%) of Democrats prefer the president, given this match-up.

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