Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 46% {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 50% {49%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% {45%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 52% {52%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
• Sarah Palin 40% {40%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 42% {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 51% {54%} [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)
• Sarah Palin 40% {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 50% {47%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
• Newt Gingrich 38% {43%} [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 41% {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

• Newt Gingrich 46% {45%} [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)
• Barack Obama 45% {49%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 47% {54%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
• Sarah Palin 46% {38%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 50% {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 55% {49%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 38% {46%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 57% {50%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
• Sarah Palin 35% {41%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 30% {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 43% {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-13%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% {31%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 54% {50%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-26%}
• Sarah Palin 32% {33%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 59% {60%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-27%}

Among Republicans

• Sarah Palin 57% {63%} [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 34% {28%} [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+23%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% {50%} [48%] (55%) {54%} [65%] (56%) / 34% {27%} [23%] (23%) {19%} [23%] (20%) {+14%}
• Mitt Romney 43% {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 34% {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+9%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 36% {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 45% {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% {24%} [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 57% {56%} [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-29%}
• Sarah Palin 30% {26%} [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 59% {67%} [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-29%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 33% {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 47% {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-14%}
• Sarah Palin 37% {31%} [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 55% {63%} [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-18%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% {33%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 56% {55%} [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-26%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 28% {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 40% {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% {29%} [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 53% {45%} [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-28%}
• Sarah Palin 28% {35%} [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 64% {56%} [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-36%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 46% {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 835 North Carolina voters was conducted May 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 16% {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [9%] Very liberal.