Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for President next year?

• Mitt Romney 16% (24%) {22%} [20%]
• Sarah Palin 16% (17%) {15%} [19%]
• Tim Pawlenty 13% (8%) {6%} [6%]
• Herman Cain 12%
• Michele Bachmann 9% (8%) {5%}
• Ron Paul 9% (12%) {12%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% (20%) {20%} [18%]
• Jon Huntsman 4%

Believe the Rapture Will Occur in Your Lifetime (18%)

• Sarah Palin 31%
• Mitt Romney 15%
• Herman Cain 11%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 10%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Jon Huntsman 1%

Do Not Believe the Rapture Will Occur in Your Lifetime (53%)

• Mitt Romney 19%
• Tim Pawlenty 16%
• Sarah Palin 12%
• Herman Cain 11%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 5%

If Sarah Palin didn’t run and the choices were just Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you most like to see as the nominee?

• Mitt Romney 20% (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Michele Bachmann 13% (11%) {8%}
• Tim Pawlenty 13% (9%) {10%} [6%]
• Newt Gingrich 13% (26%) {23%} [24%]
• Herman Cain 12%
• Ron Paul 11% (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Jon Huntsman 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Palin 61% (61%) {61%} [61%] (65%) {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 30% (31%) {31%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+31%}
• Mitt Romney 54% (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 30% (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+24%}
• Newt Gingrich 39% (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 44% (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {-5%}

Believe the Rapture Will Occur in Your Lifetime

• Sarah Palin 74% / 18% {+56%}
• Mitt Romney 54% / 26% {+28%}
• Newt Gingrich 36% / 46% {-10%}

Do Not Believe the Rapture Will Occur in Your Lifetime

• Mitt Romney 58% / 34% {+24%}
• Sarah Palin 57% / 37% {+20%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% / 49% {-9%}

Survey of 574 usual Republican primary voters was conducted May 23-25, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 40% (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 38% (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  16% (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 5% (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 49% {47%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 42% {42%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
• Newt Gingrich 37% {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 54% {54%} [54%] (53%) {52%} [55%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (46%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%) {53%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [56%] (53%) <55%>
• Sarah Palin 37% {37%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {44%} [43%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (41%) <35%>

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 45% {40%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {36%} [36%] (36%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [53%] (53%) {50%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
• Newt Gingrich 34% {33%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [57%] (58%) {58%} [51%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (42%) {40%} [50%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (42%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [52%] (51%) <46%>
• Sarah Palin 36% {33%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {35%} [39%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (44%) <42%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 77% {81%} [81%] (77%) {77%} [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
• Barack Obama 13% {10%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)

• Newt Gingrich 70% {75%} [75%] (75%) {77%} [72%] (81%) {80%} [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
• Barack Obama 16% {14%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [14%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)

• Sarah Palin 68% {72%} [73%] (74%) {72%} [69%] (79%) {81%} [81%] (81%) {78%} [81%] (85%) {82%} [78%] (77%) {80%} [84%] (77%) {70%} [74%] (79%) {72%} [65%] (71%) <66%>
• Barack Obama 19% {18%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [20%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (8%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {12%} [7%] (15%) {18%} [15%] (14%) {18%} [27%] (21%) <17%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 84% {83%} [83%] (82%) {82%} [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%)
• Mitt Romney 12% {12%} [9%] (13%) {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)

• Barack Obama 86% {86%} [87%] (85%) {86%} [88%] (84%) {81%} [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% {11%} [6%] (10%) {8%} [8%] (10%) {15%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)

• Barack Obama 88% {87%} [89%] (86%) {86%} [89%] (84%) {83%} [85%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (87%) {78%} [81%] (88%) {82%} [89%] (86%) {83%} [84%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (81%) <89%>
• Sarah Palin 9% {10%} [8%] (10%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (14%) {11%} [15%] (10%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {13%} [10%] (15%) {15%} [14%] (15%) <7%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59% {60%} [58%] (57%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 28% {27%} [26%] (28%) {21%} [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)

• Barack Obama 64% {66%} [66%] (65%) {68%} [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
• Newt Gingrich 22% {20%} [24%] (24%) {19%} [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 68% {71%} [73%] (67%) {72%} [73%] (70%) {65%} [62%] (62%) {66%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [63%] (66%) {69%} [65%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (62%) {68%} [71%] (65%)
• Sarah Palin 20% {20%} [19%] (24%) {21%} [20%] (22%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (24%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {23%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [22%] (30%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% {46%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 44% {42%} [48%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (49%)

• Barack Obama 45% {44%} [52%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
• Newt Gingrich 43% {44%} [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 47% {48%} [55%] (48%) {47%} [48%] (46%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [50%] (50%) {45%} [52%] (50%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (49%) <45%>
• Sarah Palin 42% {43%} [37%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {48%} [44%] (42%) {48%} [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [41%] (47%) <43%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% {52%} [46%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 37% {38%} [41%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)

• Barack Obama 56% {59%} [52%] (56%) {53%} [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 32% {33%} [35%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)

• Barack Obama 60% {60%} [54%] (57%) {56%} [62%] (56%) {53%} [55%] (44%) {52%} [52%] (46%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [51%] (54%) {55%} [56%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (56%) <65%>
• Sarah Palin 32% {31%} [36%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {40%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [41%] (45%) {35%} [41%] (41%) {41%} [45%] (37%) {36%} [35%] (40%) {36%} [34%] (36%) <26%>

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.


Believe Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

• Sarah Palin 54%
• Barack Obama 37%

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 35%

• Newt Gingrich 50%
• Barack Obama 37%

Do Not Think Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 38%

• Barack Obama 57%
• Newt Gingrich 32%

• Barack Obama 61%
• Sarah Palin 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 35% {32%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 48% {41%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-13%}
• Sarah Palin 30% {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (42%) <39%> / 63% {60%} [61%] (57%) {56%} [58%] (55%) {52%} [54%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {55%} [49%] (45%) {49%} [50%] (49%) <50%> {-33%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% {29%} [28%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 64% {53%} [55%] (57%) {52%} [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-45%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 39% {29%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 45% {40%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {-6%}
• Sarah Palin 26% {31%} [22%] (30%) {23%} [36%] (37%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (42%) {39%} [36%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (45%) {44%} [34%] (38%) <47%> / 64% {62%} [70%] (62%) {65%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [56%] (48%) {49%} [60%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (51%) {54%} [49%] (48%) {59%} [49%] (43%) {42%} [58%] (51%) <43%> {-38%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% {24%} [29%] (20%) {20%} [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 68% {58%} [56%] (65%) {60%} [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-56%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [50%] (47%) {54%} [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 32% {30%} [24%] (26%) {23%} [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+18%}
• Sarah Palin 55% {61%} [63%] (63%) {65%} [59%] (67%) {69%} [71%] (68%) {66%} [67%] (71%) {69%} [72%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (76%) {75%} [76%] (76%) <69%> / 37% {30%} [25%] (23%) {21%} [32%] (25%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {19%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (19%) {18%} [15%] (18%) {22%} [16%] (19%) {20%} [15%](18%) <17%> {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 38% {52%} [52%] (49%) {54%} [55%] (58%) {54%} [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 45% {32%} [28%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (27%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {-7%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 18% {20%} [19%] (17%) {16%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 64% {51%} [60%] (60%) {58%} [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-46%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% {13%} [5%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 80% {67%} [79%] (77%) {76%} [75%] (74%) {71%} [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-73%}
• Sarah Palin 10% {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (9%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [13%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [17%] (18%) <11%> / 85% {82%} [87%] (86%) {85%} [83%] (79%) {80%} [83%] (86%) {81%} [82%] (87%) {72%} [74%] (80%) {76%} [78%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (67%) {76%} [74%] (73%) <78%> {-75%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 34% {27%} [31%] (30%) {23%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 45% {45%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-11%}
• Newt Gingrich 11% {15%} [23%] (15%) {10%} [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 76% {65%} [63%] (69%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-65%}
• Sarah Palin 14% {18%} [15%] (26%) {19%} [18%] (19%) {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {23%} [23%] (22%) {20%} [29%] (33%) {33%} [29%] (28%) / 79% {75%} [77%] (69%) {72%} [77%] (73%) {70%} [67%] (67%) {67%} [72%] (71%) {64%} [63%] (68%) {70%} [62%] (66%) {71%} [58%] (58%) {58%} [64%] (67%) {-65%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 40% {32%} [29%] (34%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 46% {42%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-10%}
• Sarah Palin 35% {36%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (41%) {45%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (46%) <48%> / 58% {56%} [61%] (51%) {50%} [54%] (51%) {48%} [49%] (54%) {50%} [56%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (47%) {54%} [46%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (49%) <38%> {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 20% {31%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 65% {52%} [56%] (55%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-45%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 30% {32%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 49% {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-19%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% {26%} [24%] (20%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 64% {54%} [54%] (60%) {54%} [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-45%}
• Sarah Palin 26% {30%} [27%] (28%) {29%} [32%] (34%) {37%} [35%] (37%) {30%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (43%) {37%} [42%] (32%) {36%} [37%] (45%) {40%} [36%] (39%) <29%> / 67% {63%} [61%] (64%) {62%} [63%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (51%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {55%} [51%] (46%) {53%} [53%] (49%) <61%> {-41%}

Believe Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

• Sarah Palin 53% / 38% {+15%}
• Mitt Romney 33% / 41% {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 26% / 48% {-22%}

Do Not Think/Not Sure Rapture Will Occur in Lifetime

• Mitt Romney 35% / 49% {-14%}
• Sarah Palin 27% / 66% {-39%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% / 66% {-47%}

Do you believe that the Rapture will occur in your lifetime or not?

• Believe the Rapture will occur in your lifetime 11%
• Think it will not 66%

Do you think Barack Obama would be taken up to Heaven in the Rapture or not?

• Think Obama would be taken up to Heaven 44%
• Think he would not 26%

Do you think Sarah Palin would be taken up to Heaven in the Rapture or not?

• Think Palin would be taken up to Heaven 35%
• Think she would not 32%

Survey of 600 registered American voters was conducted May 23-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% {40%} [38%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 35% {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 25% {27%} [28%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 31% {33%} [34%] (33%) {30%} Moderate; 24% {22%} [27%] (25%) {25%} Somewhat conservative; 18% {18%} [14%] (17%) {19%} Very conservative; 17% {18%} [18%] (17%) {18%} Somewhat liberal; 9% {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.