Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary

• Cory Booker 54% [52%] (53%)
• Frank Pallone 17% [10%] (9%)
• Rush Holt 15% [8%] (10%)
• Sheila Oliver 5% [3%]

Republican Primary

• Steve Lonegan 74% [62%]
• Alieta Eck 10% [5%]
  

Special Election

• Cory Booker (D) 54% [53%] (54%)
• Steve Lonegan (R) 29% [30%] (27%)

Survey of 2,042 New Jersey voters, including 388 Democrats and 257 Republicans, was conducted August 1-5, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5 percentage points among Democratic voters; +/- 6.1 percentage points among GOP voters.  Party ID: 35% [33%] (34%) Democrat; 23% [23%] (23%) Republican; 35% [35%] (37%) Independent; 7% [9%] (7%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Democratic Senatorial Special Election Survey

Monmouth New Jersey 2013 Democratic Senate Primary Poll

• Cory Booker 49%
• Frank Pallone 12%
• Rush Holt 8%
• Sheila Oliver 3%
• Undecided (vol) 28%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 64%/ 8% {+56%}
• Frank Pallone 33% / 3% {+30%} 
• Rush Holt 24% / 5% {+19%}
• Sheila Oliver 17% / 7% {+10%}

Is your general opinion of Governor Chris Christie favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 43%
• Unfavorable 42% 
  

Survey of 403 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary

• Cory Booker 52% (53%)
• Frank Pallone 10% (9%)
• Rush Holt 8% (10%)
• Sheila Oliver 3%

Republican Primary

• Steve Lonegan 62%
• Alieta Eck 5%
  

Special Election

• Cory Booker (D) 53% (54%)
• Steve Lonegan (R) 30% (27%)

• Frank Pallone (D) 38% (39%)
• Steve Lonegan (R) 34% (29%)

• Rush Holt (D) 37% (36%)
• Steve Lonegan (R) 36% (31%)

• Steve Lonegan (R) 37%
• Sheila Oliver (D) 35%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 56% (57%) / 16% (14%) {+40%}
• Steve Lonegan 30% (25%) / 14% (12%) {+16%}
• Frank Pallone 22% (21%) / 13% (9%) {+9%} 
• Rush Holt 18% (20%) / 12% (11%) {+6%}
• Sheila Oliver 14% / 13% {+1%}
• Alieta Eck 3% / 5% {-2%}
  

Survey of 1,068 New Jersey voters, including 400 Democrats and 300 Republicans, was conducted July 2-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.9 percentage points among Democratic voters; +/- 5.4 percentage points among GOP voters.  Party ID: 33% (34%) Democrat; 23% (23%) Republican; 35% (37%) Independent; 9% (7%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary

• Cory Booker 54%
• Rush Holt 11%
• Frank Pallone 8%
• Sheila Oliver 5%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 18%

Special Election

• Cory Booker (D) 50%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 33%

• Frank Pallone (D) 39%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 36%

• Steve Lonegan (R) 37%
• Rush Holt (D) 35%

• Steve Lonegan (R) 38%
• Sheila Oliver (D) 32%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including a subsample of Democratic primary voters, was conducted June 12-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Monmouth New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary

• Cory Booker 63%
• Rush Holt 10%
• Frank Pallone 8%
• Sheila Oliver 6%
• Undecided 13%

Special Election

• Cory Booker (D) 53%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 37%

• Frank Pallone (D) 45%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 40%

• Rush Holt (D) 44%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 41%

• Sheila Oliver (D) 44%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 61% / 15% {+46%}
• Steve Lonegan 34% / 20% {+14%}
• Frank Pallone 24% / 17% {+7%}
• Rush Holt 22% / 18% {+4%}
• Sheila Oliver 20% / 19% {+1%}

Survey of 560 likely voters, including 205 potential Democratic primary voters, was conducted June 10-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points among all voters; +/- 6.9 percentage points among Democratic voters.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Poll

Democratic Primary

• Cory Booker 53%
• Rush Holt 10%
• Frank Pallone 9%

Special Election

• Cory Booker (D) 54%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 27%

• Frank Pallone (D) 39%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 29%

• Rush Holt (D) 36%
• Steve Lonegan (R) 31%

Survey of 858 New Jersey voters, including 306 Democratic voters, was conducted June 7-9, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.6 percentage points among Democratic voters.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 23% Republican; 37% Independent; 7% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Senate Poll

If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Frank Lautenberg and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?

• Frank Lautenberg 48%
• Kim Guadagno 33%
• Not sure 19% 

If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Cory Booker and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?

• Cory Booker 52%
• Kim Guadagno 29%
• Not sure 19%

If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Rob Andrews and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?

• Rob Andrews 35%
• Kim Guadagno 34%
• Not sure 31%

If the candidates for Senate in 2014 were Democrat Frank Pallone and Republican Kim Guadagno, who would you vote for?

• Kim Guadagno 32%
• Frank Pallone 32%
• Not sure 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 48% / 20% {+28%}
• Frank Pallone 15% / 14% {+1%}
• Kim Guadagno 13% / 14% {-1%}
• Rob Andrews 14% / 17% {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 36%

Survey of 600 New Jersey voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 48% Democrat; 25% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 35% Moderate; 26% Somewhat liberal; 20% Somewhat conservative; 10% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Jersey 2014 Democratic Senate Primary Poll

Would you prefer the Democratic candidate for Senate in 2014 be Cory Booker or Frank Lautenberg?

• Cory Booker 59%
• Frank Lautenberg 22%
• Not sure 18%

Given the choices of Rob Andrews, Cory Booker, and Frank Pallone, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for Senate in 2014?

• Cory Booker 48%
• Rob Andrews 17%
• Frank Pallone 13%
• Someone else 11%
• Not sure 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Booker 62% / 15% {+47%}
• Frank Pallone 18% / 11% {+7%}
• Rob Andrews 16% / 16% {0%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Frank Lautenberg’s job performance?

• Approve 63%
• Disapprove 18%

Would you like for Frank Lautenberg to run for re-election in 2014, or would you prefer that he retire?

• He should run for re-election 36%
• He should retire 45%
• Not sure 20%

Survey of 300 Democratic primary voters was conducted November 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 36% Somewhat liberal; 34% Moderate; 21% Very liberal; 7% Somewhat conservative; 2% Very conservative.

Mayors Booker and Nutter on Impact of Irene in Newark and Philadelphia

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

• Cory Booker (D) 47%
• Chris Christie (R) 43%

• Chris Christie (R) 43%
• Frank Pallone (D) 43%

• Chris Christie (R) 42%
• Bruce Springsteen (D) 42%

• Chris Christie (R) 42%
• Steve Sweeney (D) 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Chris Christie’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (48%)
• Disapprove 53% (45%)

Among Independents

• Approve 40% (55%)
• Disapprove 54% (39%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 82% (79%)
• Disapprove 17% (16%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 16% (23%)
• Disapprove 79% (68%)

Among Men

• Approve 45% (51%)
• Disapprove 50% (43%)

Among Women

• Approve 41% (46%)
• Disapprove 56% (47%)

If you could do the 2009 election for Governor over again, would you vote for Republican Chris Christie or Democrat Jon Corzine?

• Chris Christie 48%
• Jon Corzine 48%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bruce Springsteen 50% / 22% {+28%}
• Cory Booker 43% / 16% {+27%}
• Jon Corzine 39% / 47% {-8%}
• Frank Pallone 15% / 23% {-8%}
• Steve Sweeney 13% / 37% {-24%}

Survey of 480 New Jersey voters was conducted July 15-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% (43%) Democrat; 32% (29%) Republican; 22% (27%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 36% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal; 12% Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 6-9, 2011 are in parentheses.