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Poll Watch: PPP (D) New York 9th Congressional District Special Election Survey

PPP (D) NY-9 Special Election Poll

• Bob Turner (R) 47%
• David Weprin (D) 41%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 4%
• Undecided 7%

Among Democrats

• David Weprin (D) 58%
• Bob Turner (R) 29%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 4%
• Undecided 9%

Among Republicans

• Bob Turner (R) 83%
• David Weprin (D) 10%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 4%
• Undecided 2%

Among Independents

• Bob Turner (R) 58%
• David Weprin (D) 26%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 7%
• Undecided 10%

Among Jewish Voters

• Bob Turner (R) 56%
• David Weprin (D) 39%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 2%
• Undecided 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Turner 45% / 30% {+15%}
• David Weprin 39% / 36% {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 33% / 33% {0%}
• Rick Perry 26% / 35% {-9%}
• Anthony Weiner 29% / 53% {-24%} 

Among Jewish Voters

• Bob Turner 49% / 30% {+19%}
• David Weprin 40% / 36% {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 38% / 35% {+3%}
• Rick Perry 31% / 39% {-8%}
• Anthony Weiner 35% / 50% {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 56%

Among Men 

• Approve 27%
• Disapprove 63%

Among Women

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 49%

Among Jewish Voters

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 62%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's leadership on Israel?

• Approve 30%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Democrats

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 40%

Among Republicans

• Approve 13%
• Disapprove 78%

Among Independents

• Approve 13%
• Disapprove 66%

Among Jewish Voters

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 68%

How important was the issue of Israel in deciding who to vote for Congress: very important, somewhat important, or not all that important?

• Very important 37%
• Somewhat important 32%
• Not all that important 29%

Among Jewish Voters

• Very important 58%
• Somewhat important 30%
• Not all that important 11%

2012 Presidential Election

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Rick Perry 43%

Among Jewish Voters

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Barack Obama 38%

• Rick Perry 47%
• Barack Obama 43%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 41%
• Illegal 45%

Among Jewish Voters

• Legal 45%
• Illegal 43%

How important was the issue of same-sex marriage in deciding who to vote for Congress: very important, somewhat important, or not all that important?

• Very important 29%
• Somewhat important 26%
• Not all that important 44%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congressional Republicans are doing?

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 50%

Do you have more faith in Barack Obama or Congressional Republicans to lead the country in the right direction?

• Congressional Republicans 44%
• Barack Obama 42%

Among Jewish Voters

• Congressional Republicans 51%
• Barack Obama 39%

Would you rather that Democrats or Republicans had control of the U.S. House?

• Republicans 45%
• Democrats 44%

Among Jewish Voters

• Republicans 50%
• Democrats 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Andrew Cuomo’s job performance?

• Approve 59%
• Disapprove 16%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s job performance?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 28%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Schumer’s job performance?

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s job performance?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 43%

Survey of 664 likely voters in New York’s 9th Congressional District was conducted September 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 59% Democrat; 25% Republican; 15% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 21% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very liberal; 13% Very conservative.  Religion: 36% Jewish; 31% Catholic; 10% Other Christian; 9% Another religion; 8% None.

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 9th Congressional District Special Election Survey

Siena College NY-9 Special Election Survey

• Robert Turner (R) 50% (42%)
• David Weprin (D) 44% (48%)

Among Democrats

• David Weprin (D) 63% (61%)
• Robert Turner (R) 32% (30%)

Among Republicans

• Robert Turner (R) 90% (80%)
• David Weprin (D) 6% (14%)

Among Independents

• Robert Turner (R) 65% (46%)
• David Weprin (D) 27% (42%)

Among Men

• Robert Turner (R) 55% (46%)
• David Weprin (D) 39% (45%)

Among Women

• Robert Turner (R) 47% (40%)
• David Weprin (D) 47% (51%)

Queens

• Robert Turner (R) 49% (40%)
• David Weprin (D) 44% (50%)

Brooklyn

• Robert Turner (R) 54% (49%)
• David Weprin (D) 42% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Turner 48% (31%) / 34% (20%) {+14%}
• David Weprin 41% (31%) / 41% (24%) {0%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Andrew Cuomo 75% (69%) / 19% (26%) {+56%}
• Barack Obama 43% (45%) / 54% (52%) {-11%}
• John Boehner 30% (32%) / 45% (42%) {-15%}

Lastly, regardless of which candidate you plan on supporting, which of the candidates do you think is most likely to win the special election?

• David Weprin 49% (56%)
• Robert Turner 38% (31%)

Survey of 886 likely voters in New York's 9th Congresssional District was conducted September 6-8, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 61% Democrat; 17% Republican; 19% Independent. Region: Queens 71%; Brooklyn 29%. Religion: Catholic 42%; Jewish 29%; Other 23%. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) New York 9th Congressional District Special Election Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) NY-9 Special Election Poll

• Bob Turner (R) 44.6%
• David Weprin (D) 40.4%
• Christopher Hoeppner (S) 3.2%
• Undecided 11.8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Turner 37% / 24% {+13%}
• David Weprin 30% / 35% {-5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 52%

Survey of 2,055 likely voters in New York’s 9th Congressional District was conducted September 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.16 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 63% Democrat; 20% Republican; 17% Independent.

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Poll Watch: McLaughlin & Associates New York 9th Congressional District Special Election Survey

McLaughlin & Associates NY-9 Special Election Poll

• Bob Turner (R) 42% (35%)
• David Weprin (D) 42% (43%)
• Undecided 16% (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Turner 44% (23%) / 21% (13%) {+23%}
• David Weprin 39% (31%) / 30% (11%) {+9%}

Survey of 300 likely special election voters was conducted August 31, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 2011 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 60% Democrat; 24% Republican; 15% Independent. Political ideology: 35% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 21% Liberal.

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Poll Watch: Siena Research New York 9th Congressional District Survey

Siena Research New York 9th Congressional District Survey

• David Weprin (D) 48%
• Robert Turner (R) 42%

Among Democrats

• David Weprin (D) 61%
• Robert Turner (R) 30%

Among Republicans

• Robert Turner (R) 80%
• David Weprin (D) 14%

Among Independents

• Robert Turner (R) 46%
• David Weprin (D) 42%

Among Men

• Robert Turner (R) 46%
• David Weprin (D) 45%

Among Women

• David Weprin (D) 51%
• Robert Turner (R) 40%

Queens

• David Weprin (D) 50%
• Robert Turner (R) 40%

Brooklyn

• Robert Turner (R) 49%
• David Weprin (D) 43%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Turner 31% / 20% {+11%}
• David Weprin 31% / 24% {+7%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ed Koch 69% / 23% {+46%}
• Andrew Cuomo 69% / 26% {+43%}
• Charles Schumer 62% / 35% {+27%}
• Barack Obama 45% / 52% {-7%}
• Michael Bloomberg 44% / 53% {-9%}
• John Boehner 32% / 42% {-10%}
• Anthony Weiner 27% / 68% {-41%}

Would an endorsement by ____ make you more/less likely to support a candidate?

Charles Schumer

• More likely 40%
• Less likely 23%
• No effect 36%

Andrew Cuomo

• More likely 39%
• Less likely 17%
• No effect 43%

Ed Koch

• More likely 38%
• Less likely 15%
• No effect 45%

Barack Obama

• More likely 33%
• Less likely 29%
• No effect 37%

Michael Bloomberg

• More likely 26%
• Less likely 23%
• No effect 49%

Anthony Weiner

• More likely 15%
• Less likely 34%
• No effect 49%

New York Times

• More likely 28%
• Less likely 23%
• No effect 47%

Daily News

• More likely 16%
• Less likely 20%
• No effect 61%

New York Post

• More likely 16%
• Less likely 27%
• No effect 54%

Of the following issues, which single issue is the most important one you want your Member of Congress to be working on in Washington:

• Jobs 45%
• Federal budget deficit 21%
• Health care 13%
• Taxes 7%
• America's military involvement overseas 6%
• Peace in the Middle East 5%

Had your district been represented in the House on the vote to increase the nation's debt ceiling that was just approved by Congress and the President, would you have preferred that your Representative vote for or against that bill to increase the debt ceiling?

• For 61%
• Against 31%

Do you support or oppose repealing the health care reform act passed last year?

• Support 47%
• Oppose 44%

To help further reduce the national deficit, do you support or oppose cutting federal spending on entitlements like Medicare and Social Security?

• Support 24%
• Oppose 72%

To help further reduce the national deficit, do you support or oppose raising taxes on those Americans making more than $250,000 a year?

• Support 65%
• Oppose 33%

Lastly, regardless of which candidate you plan on supporting, which of the candidates do you think is most likely to win the special election?

• David Weprin 56%
• Robert Turner 31%

Survey of 501 likely voters in New York's 9th Congresssional District was conducted August 3-8, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 61% Democrat; 17% Republican; 19% Independent. Region: Queens 71%; Brooklyn 29%. Religion: Catholic 42%; Jewish 29%; Other 23%. Click here to view crosstabs.