Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 58% [50%] {57%} (58%) [64%]
  • Barbara Buono (D) 25% [26%] {27%} (22%) [21%]
Survey of 702 registered voters was conducted September 30 - October 5, 2013The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 46% [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] Democrat; 35% [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] Republican; 19% [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Cory Booker (D) 45% (50%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 29% (22%)
Survey of 702 registered voters was conducted September 30 - October 5, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 46% (48%) Democrat; 35% (33%) Republican; 19% (22%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

Monday, October 07, 2013

Poll Watch: POLITICO/PPP (D)/Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

POLITICO/PPP (D)/Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44%
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 35%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 12%
  • Undecided 8%
If you had to choose between Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, who would you vote for?
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 52%
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 42%
  • Not sure 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Robert Sarvis 20% / 23% {-3%}
  • Terry McAuliffe 39% / 49% {-10%}
  • Ken Cuccinelli 34% / 56% {-22%}
Survey of 1,150 likely voters was conducted October 5-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 31% Republican; 36% Independent/Other.

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Survey on Senator Marco Rubio

PPP (D) Florida Poll on Sen. Marco Rubio

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?
  • Approve 43% (44%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {51%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [43%]
  • Disapprove 45% (43%) {36%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {35%} [31%]
Among Democrats
  • Approve 21% (22%) {24%} [16%] (26%) {26%} [19%] (20%) {15%} [19%] (16%) {17%} [17%]
  • Disapprove 67% (61%) {55%} [60%] (51%) {51%} [65%] (64%) {68%} [59%] (68%) {55%} [51%]
Among Republicans
  • Approve 74% (69%) {75%} [79%] (85%) {85%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [65%] (82%) {75%} [70%]
  • Disapprove 18% (21%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [17%] (17%) {10%} [17%] (6%) {13%} [10%]
Among Independents
  • Approve 34% (45%) {53%} [55%] (50%) {42%} [44%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {36%} [44%]
  • Disapprove 49% (44%) {28%} [36%] (33%) {38%} [45%] (39%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {30%} [31%]
Among Moderates
  • Approve 30% (29%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {42%} [34%] (25%) {32%} [29%] (31%) {27%} [21%]
  • Disapprove 52% (55%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {39%} [53%] (53%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {45%} [47%]
Among Men
  • Approve 50% (49%) {57%} [54%] (56%) {51%} [47%] (50%) {50%} [42%] (45%) {47%} [50%]
  • Disapprove 41% (42%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {38%} [45%] (34%) {40%} [44%] (41%) {32%} [30%]
Among Women
  • Approve 36% (39%) {41%} [44%] (48%) {52%} [44%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (44%) {37%} [35%]
  • Disapprove 49% (44%) {37%} [37%] (30%) {29%} [40%] (47%) {42%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [31%]
Survey of 579 Florida voters was conducted September 27-29, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (42%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] Democrat; 35% (37%) {38%} [37%] (36%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] Republican; 25% (22%) {18%} [22%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% (32%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% (21%) {21%} [24%] (25%) {25%} [20%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {17%} [16%] (13%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {13%} [20%] (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 10% (13%) {12%} [8%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Race: 67% (69%) {68%} [66%] (69%) {70%} [69%] (70%) White: 15% (11%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (12%) Black; 11% (12%) {11%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (12%) Hispanic; 6% (8%) {6%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 56% {56%} [61%] (62%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 37% {36%} [31%] (20%)
Among Democrats
  • Barbara Buono (D) 68% {71%} [59%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 25% {21%} [36%] (35%)
Among Republicans
  • Chris Christie (R) 89% {90%} [92%] (87%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 8% {5%} [2%] (5%)
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 60% {64%} [63%] (73%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 30% {23%} [26%] (9%)
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 56% {57%} [64%] (66%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 37% {33%} [30%] (19%)
Among Women
  • Chris Christie (R) 55% {54%} [59%] (59%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 38% {38%} [33%] (21%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 55% {59%} / 35% {33%} {+20%}
  • Barbara Buono 32% {27%} / 35% {25%} {-3%}
Survey of 615 likely voters was conducted September 26-29, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% {38%} [39%] (37%) Democrat; 29% {30%} [31%] (23%) Republican; 34% {22%} [30%] (40%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Mark Warner and Martin O'Malley, for whom would you vote?  
  • Hillary Clinton 61% (65%)
  • Joe Biden 11% (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7%
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
  • Mark Warner 1% (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (1%)
  • Don't know 15% (14%)
National survey of registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted September 23-29, 2013. Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, and Ted Cruz, for whom would you vote?
  • Rand Paul 17% (15%) 
  • Chris Christie 13% (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 12% (19%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 10% (17%)
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Scott Walker 4% (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)
  • Don't know 19% (18%)
Among Men
  • Rand Paul 18% (18%) 
  • Jeb Bush 13% (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Chris Christie 11% (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 10% (16%)
  • Marco Rubio 10% (19%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)
  • Don't know 15% (14%)
Among Women
  • Rand Paul 17% (11%) 
  • Chris Christie 15% (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 13% (19%)
  • Paul Ryan 10% (17%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% (12%) 
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)
  • Scott Walker 2% (2%)
  • Don't know 22% (23%)
Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted September 23-29, 2013.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (46%) [45%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% (40%) [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (50%) {49%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 36% (38%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (39%) [36%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (41%) [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (42%) {41%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% (41%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 29%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% 
  • Rand Paul (R) 25%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 20%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (38%) [38%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (43%) [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (42%) {40%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% (45%) {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (53%) [51%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% (36%) [32%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (58%) {57%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 30% (32%) {33%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 27%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 56% (55%) {52%} (61%) / 36% (38%) {40%} (34%) {+20%}
  • Chris Christie 40% (45%) / 22% (18%) {+18%}
  • Rand Paul 30% (31%) {32%} / 33% (28%) {24%} {-3%}
  • Ted Cruz 16% / 25% {-9%}
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie 44% (46%) / 22% (19%) {+22%}
  • Hillary Clinton 52% (49%) / 39% (42%) {+13%}
  • Rand Paul 32% (37%) / 29% (25%) {+3%} 
  • Ted Cruz 15% / 27% {-12%}
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton 64% / 26% {+38%}
  • Chris Christie 46% / 15% {+31%}
  • Rand Paul 21% / 34% {-13%}
  • Ted Cruz 7% / 25% {-18%}
Among Men
  • Chris Christie 38% (46%) / 28% (22%) {+10%}
  • Hillary Clinton 50% (48%) / 42% (43%) {+8%}
  • Rand Paul 36% (39%) / 34% (28%) {+2%} 
  • Ted Cruz 19% / 30% {-11%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton 62% (61%) / 31% (32%) {+31%}
  • Chris Christie 42% (45%) / 17% (14%) {+25%}
  • Ted Cruz 14% / 20% {-6%}
  • Rand Paul 24% (24%) / 32% (29%) {-8%}
Among Whites
  • Chris Christie 45% (49%) / 21% (18%) {+24%}
  • Hillary Clinton 50% (48%) / 43% (45%) {+7%}
  • Rand Paul 34% (37%) / 34% (26%) {0%}
  • Ted Cruz 19% / 26% {-7%}
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton 85% (88%) / 7% (6%) {+78%}
  • Chris Christie 26% (36%) / 28% (15%) {-2%}
  • Ted Cruz 2% / 25% {-23%}
  • Rand Paul 8% (10%) / 35% (41%) {-27%}
Survey of 1,497 registered voters was conducted September 23-29, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% (32%) {33%} [34%] (33%) Democrat; 24% (23%) {27%} [25%] (24%) Republican; 31% (35%) {33%} [34%] (34%) Independent; 9% (9%) {7%} [7%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Race: 72% White; 12% Black; 8% Hispanic; 8% Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 50% (52%) {53%} [48%] (45%) {44%} [55%] (51%) {56%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 38% (40%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [32%] (38%) {34%}
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 72% (74%) {76%} [77%] (69%) {69%} [80%] (83%) {81%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 17% (19%) {15%} [13%] (15%) {16%} [9%] (9%) {7%}
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 65% (65%) {66%} [81%] (77%) {69%} [61%] (72%) {68%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 21% (29%) {29%} [12%] (15%) {19%} [25%] (16%) {24%}
Among Independents
  • Charlie Crist (D) 57% (47%) {48%} [47%] (52%) {40%} [52%] (51%) {62%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 33% (41%) {41%} [41%] (31%) {43%} [32%] (33%) {30%}
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 64% (71%) {67%} [65%] (55%) {57%} [63%] (68%) {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 23% (23%) {25%} [25%] (33%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {22%}
Among Men
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (50%) {44%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [50%] (48%) {52%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% (44%) {49%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [37%] (39%) {41%}
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 54% (53%) {61%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [59%] (54%) {60%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 34% (37%) {31%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
If the candidates for Governor next year were Republican Rick Scott and Democrat Nan Rich, who would you vote for?
  • Rick Scott 37%
  • Nan Rich 36%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?
  • Approve 33% (33%) {33%} [38%] (41%) {39%} (31%) {34%} [26%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
  • Disapprove 55% (57%) {57%} [48%] (49%) {51%} (56%) {54%} [58%] (52%) {59%} [55%]
Among Democrats
  • Approve 16% (23%) {21%} [13%] (17%) {13%} (12%) {11%} [8%] (16%) {10%} [11%]
  • Disapprove 74% (69%) {71%} [73%] (72%) {77%} (79%) {83%} [80%] (79%) {82%} [81%]
Among Republicans
  • Approve 57% (46%) {49%} [72%] (72%) {64%} (53%) {60%} [46%] (60%) {63%} [57%]
  • Disapprove 29% (42%) {38%} [18%] (20%) {27%} (31%) {22%} [31%] (23%) {30%} [27%]
Among Independents
  • Approve 27% (30%) {32%} [31%] (31%) {43%} (26%) {27%} [30%] (35%) {27%} [31%]
  • Disapprove 63% (59%) {64%} [48%] (54%) {43%} (60%) {60%} [55%] (52%) {64%} [54%]
Among Moderates
  • Approve 26% (21%) {30%} [25%] (34%) {21%} (18%) {23%} [19%] (25%) {21%} [17%]
  • Disapprove 63% (68%) {65%} [60%] (57%) {66%} (66%) {64%} [66%] (65%) {71%} [72%]
Among Men
  • Approve 39% (34%) {40%} [44%] (42%) {41%} (37%) {41%} [30%] (36%) {37%} [39%]
  • Disapprove 48% (57%) {55%} [44%] (49%) {55%} (52%) {50%} [56%] (52%) {56%} [51%]
Among Women
  • Approve 28% (32%) {27%} [33%] (39%) {37%} (25%) {27%} [22%] (37%) {29%} [26%]
  • Disapprove 62% (57%) {60%} [52%] (48%) {47%} (60%) {57%} [59%] (53%) {62%} [59%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?
  • Favorable 43% (46%) {49%} [39%] (36%) {41%} [48%] (51%) [46%]
  • Unfavorable 42% (43%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [33%] (34%) [42%]
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 58% (60%) {70%} [55%] (44%) {50%} [57%] (66%) [59%]
  • Unfavorable 24% (28%) {16%} [22%] (33%) {31%} [23%] (21%) [28%]
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 25% (28%) {29%} [19%] (24%) {34%} [38%] (35%) [33%]
  • Unfavorable 65% (62%) {62%} [69%] (60%) {49%} [44%] (52%) [57%]
Among Independents
  • Favorable 47% (49%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {36%} [45%] (47%) [44%]
  • Unfavorable 38% (40%) {44%} [41%] (35%) {44%} [36%] (30%) [44%]
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 51% (61%) {63%} [51%] (43%) {52%} [54%] (61%) [64%]
  • Unfavorable 32% (25%) {29%} [30%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (22%) [24%]
Among Men
  • Favorable 44% (48%) {45%} [39%] (34%) {40%} [45%] (50%) [43%]
  • Unfavorable 48% (44%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [35%] (36%) [45%]
Among Women
  • Favorable 43% (44%) {52%} [39%] (37%) {42%} [49%] (51%) [49%]
  • Unfavorable 36% (42%) {33%} [39%] (40%) {37%} [31%] (33%) [39%]
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Nan Rich?
  • Favorable 8%
  • Unfavorable 23%
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
  • Charlie Crist 59%
  • Nan Rich 16%
  • Not sure 25%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Charlie Crist 62% / 23% {+39%}
  • Nan Rich 13% / 23% {-10%}
Survey of 579 Florida voters, including a subsample of 337 Democratic primary voters, was conducted September 27-29, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters. Party ID: 39% (42%) {44%} [44%] (41%) {42%} (41%) {41%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 35% (37%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 25% (22%) {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% (32%) {33%} [34%] (36%) {33%} (33%) {32%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 27% (21%) {21%} [25%] (25%) {20%} (25%) {22%} [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {17%} [15%] (16%) {17%} (16%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (17%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {20%} (16%) {16%} [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative;  10% (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {10%} (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Cory Booker (D) 53% [54%] (53%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 40% [38%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Booker 54% [57%] (61%) / 28% [23%] (15%) {+26%}
  • Steve Lonegan 35% [31%] (34%) / 28% [20%] (20%) {+7%}
Survey of 571 likely voters was conducted September 26-29, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% [39%] (39%) Democrat; 29% [30%] (31%) Republican; 33% [31%] (30%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

Friday, September 27, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
 
Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Ted Cruz 20% (12%) {7%} 
  • Rand Paul 17% (16%) {14%} [17%] (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
  • Chris Christie 14% (13%) {15%} [15%] (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)  
  • Jeb Bush 11% (13%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 10% (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 10% (10%) {16%} [21%] (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)  
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {3%} [4%] (4%) {3%} (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {5%} [5%] [4%] (12%) 
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (13%) {15%} [10%] (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)
Among Men
  • Ted Cruz 24% (14%) {9%}
  • Rand Paul 18% (15%) {15%}
  • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {15%}
  • Chris Christie 11% (13%) {15%}
  • Paul Ryan 9% (14%) {8%}
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {16%}
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (4%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {5%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (13%) {11%}
Among Women
  • Chris Christie 16% (13%) {14%}
  • Ted Cruz 16% (11%) {4%}
  • Rand Paul 16% (17%) {12%}
  • Jeb Bush 10% (10%) {15%}
  • Paul Ryan 10% (13%) {10%}
  • Marco Rubio 10% (12%) {15%}
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%) {3%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% (5%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (14%) {19%}
Very Conservative
  • Ted Cruz 34% (20%) {8%}
  • Rand Paul 17% (18%) {18%}
  • Paul Ryan 12% (17%) {9%}
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {17%}
  • Jeb Bush 7% (12%) {14%}
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (4%) {3%}
  • Chris Christie 4% (7%) {7%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% (4%) {9%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (9%) {13%}
Somewhat Conservative
  • Rand Paul 20% (16%) {13%}
  • Jeb Bush 14% (13%) {16%}
  • Ted Cruz 13% (7%) {6%}
  • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {14%}
  • Paul Ryan 11% (13%) {11%}
  • Marco Rubio 11% (14%) {18%}
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%) {3%}
  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%) {4%}
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (15%) {15%}
Moderate
  • Chris Christie 34% (24%) {25%}
  • Jeb Bush 12% (12%) {17%}
  • Marco Rubio 10% (6%) {14%} 
  • Rand Paul 9% (12%) {9%}
  • Bobby Jindal 7% (4%) {2%}
  • Paul Ryan 6% (11%) {7%}
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Ted Cruz 4% (8%) {5%}
  • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {1%} 
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (16%) {17%}
Survey of 743 Republican primary voters was conducted September 25-26, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 37% (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 4% (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% [45%] (44%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% [38%] (41%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6%
  • Some other candidate 2%
  • Undecided 11% [10%] (12%)
Survey of 1,050 likely voters was conducted September 23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
Among Independents
  • Jeb Bush (R) 55%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
  • Rand Paul (R) 57%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 27%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 26%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31%
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 61%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 59%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Rand Paul (R) 58%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
Among Women
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Survey of 1,110 West Virginia voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 51% Democrat; 35% Republican; 14% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal;  12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 64% {58%} [61%] (59%) {58%} [60%] (62%) {63%} [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 30% {30%} [29%] (29%) {26%} [25%] (25%) {22%} [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 67% [66%] (63%) {66%} [69%] (69%) {69%} [67%] {52%} / 27% [27%] (27%) {24%} [22%] (22%) {21%} [22%] {42%} {+40%}
  • Barbara Buono 23% [25%] (18%) {12%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [8%] / 36% [29%] (23%) {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [7%] {-13%}
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job controlling property taxes?
  • Chris Christie (R) 62%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 19%
Regardless of who you may support, who do you think would do a better job improving the state's economy?
  • Chris Christie (R) 65%
  • Barbara Buono (D) 22%
Do you think Chris Christie should or should not run for President in 2016?
  • Should 43%
  • Should not 41%
If Chris Christie did run for President in 2016, do you think that would be good or bad for New Jersey? 
  • Good 53%
  • Bad 28%
Survey of 1,249 likely New Jersey voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {35%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 25% {23%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% {35%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 5% {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 50%
  • Natalie Tennant (D) 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 45% / 36% {+9%}
  • Natalie Tennant (D) 39% / 32% {+7%}
Survey of 1,110 West Virginia voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 51% Democrat; 35% Republican; 14% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senatorial Special Election Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Senate Special Election Poll
  • Cory Booker (D) 53% {54%} [53%] (54%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 41% {29%} [30%] (27%)
Among Men
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 48% {32%} [32%] (33%)
  • Cory Booker (D) 46% {52%} [51%] (52%)
Among Women 
  • Cory Booker (D) 60% {56%} [56%] (55%)
  • Steve Lonegan (R) 34% {26%} [28%] (23%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Booker 53% / 30% {+23%}
  • Steve Lonegan 35% / 22% {+13%}
Survey of 948 likely New Jersey voters was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {35%} [33%] (34%) Democrat; 24% {23%} [23%] (23%) Republican; 34% {35%} [35%] (37%) Independent; 5% {7%} [9%] (7%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC4/NBC News/Marist Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

NBC4/NBC News/Marist Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 43% (42%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% (45%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 8% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 41% (32%) / 34% (24%) {+7%}
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 34% (42%) / 47% (27%) {-13%}
Survey of 1,069 registered voters, including a subsample of 546 likely voters, was conducted September 17-19, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.2 percentage points among likely voters. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election were being held today and the candidates were Terry McAuliffe, the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli, the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 49% (41%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 44% (51%)
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 47% (41%)
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% (46%)
How about if the candidates were Terry McAuliffe, the Democrat and Ken Cuccinelli, the Republican, and Robert Sarvis running as a Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

Among Likely Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 47% 
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 10%
Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% 
  • Ken Cuccinelli (R) 34%
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 11%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

Among Registered Voters
  • Terry McAuliffe 48% (21%) / 36% (22%) {+12%}
  • Ken Cuccinelli 40% (35%) / 47% (31%) {-7%}
Overall, do you think Terry McAuliffe's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?

Among Registered Voters
  • Too liberal 34%
  • Too conservative 5%
  • Just about right 44%
Overall, do you think Ken Cuccinelli's views on most issues are too liberal for you, too conservative for you, or just about right?

Among Registered Voters
  • Too liberal 8%
  • Too conservative 40%
  • Just about right 36%
Survey of 812 registered voters, including 562 likely voters, was conducted September 19-22, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage pointsParty ID: 33% (30%) Democrat; 26% (26%) Republican; 34% (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 19, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 46% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (54%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 44% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
Among Independents
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (51%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (56%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 43% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Rand Paul (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34% 
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (61%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 30% (26%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Chris Christie (R) 28%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% (67%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 27% (25%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Rand Paul (R) 25%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 23%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Scott Walker (R) 49% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 48% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (56%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% 
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (59%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 41% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 32%
Survey of 1,180 Wisconsin voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (31%) Democrat; 28% (30%) Republican; 41% (39%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (29%) Moderate; 25% (22%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (21%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (17%) Very conservative; 11% (11%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Russ Feingold, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
  • Hillary Clinton 50%
  • Russ Feingold 20% 
  • Joe Biden 11%
  • Elizabeth Warren 4%
  • Cory Booker 3%
  • Andrew Cuomo 2%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9%
Survey of 449 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted September 13-16, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Party ID: 59% Democrat; 4% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 39% Moderate; 32% Somewhat liberal; 20% Very liberal; 8% Somewhat conservative; 1% Very conservative.