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Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
- Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
- Donald Trump (R) 42%
- Unsure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Hillary Clinton 40% / 52% {-12%}
- Donald Trump 38% / 54% {-16%}
Survey of 2,542 registered voters was conducted May 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.
Party ID: 37% Democrat;
35% Republican; 28% Independent/Other.
Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 43.94% (41.87%)
- Marco Rubio 24.46% (23.10%)
- Ted Cruz 19.56% (21.43%)
- John Kasich 8.57% (10.94%)
- Undecided 3.47% (2.67%)
Survey of 1,500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.58
percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 8-9, 2016 are in parentheses.
Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 44.3% {42.8%} [31%] (29.7%) {22.7%} [29%] (27%)
- Marco Rubio 26.2% {23.5%} [12%] (15.0%) {17.9%} [6%] (7%)
- Ted Cruz 18.2% {20.9%} [19%] (20.4%) {12.4%} [3%] (8%)
- John Kasich 9.7% {10.4%} [3%] (0.9%) {2.8%} [3%] (3%)
Survey of 787 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 13, 2016 for The Florida Times-Union, Fox 35 Orlando, and Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin
of error is
+/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in parentheses.
ARG Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- John Kasich 44%
- Donald Trump 38%
- Ted Cruz 12%
- Marco Rubio 2%
Among Men
- Donald Trump 49%
- John Kasich 37%
- Ted Cruz 9%
- Marco Rubio 2%
Among Women
- John Kasich 51%
- Donald Trump 26%
- Ted Cruz 15%
- Marco Rubio 3%
Early Vote (24%)
- John Kasich 55%
- Donald Trump 30%
- Ted Cruz 10%
- Marco Rubio 3%
Election Day (76%)
- Donald Trump 41%
- John Kasich 40%
- Ted Cruz 13%
- Marco Rubio 2%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March
12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.
ARG Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 49%
- Marco Rubio 24%
- Ted Cruz 16%
- John Kasich 8%
Among Men
- Donald Trump 53%
- Marco Rubio 23%
- Ted Cruz 14%
- John Kasich 7%
Among Women
- Donald Trump 45%
- Marco Rubio 25%
- Ted Cruz 18%
- John Kasich 9%
Early Vote (37%)
- Donald Trump 49%
- Marco Rubio 28%
- Ted Cruz 17%
- John Kasich 5%
Election Day (63%)
- Donald Trump 49%
- Marco Rubio 22%
- Ted Cruz 15%
- John Kasich 10%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.
Monmouth University Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- John Kasich 40%
- Donald Trump 35%
- Ted Cruz 15%
- Marco Rubio 5%
Survey of 503 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March
11-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.
Monmouth University Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 44% (38%)
- Marco Rubio 27% (30%)
- Ted Cruz 17% (17%)
- John Kasich 9% (10%)
Survey of 405 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in parentheses.
Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- John Kasich 38% (32%) {26%} [13%] (27%) {19%} [20%] (14%)
- Donald Trump 38% (38%) {31%} [23%] (21%) {1%}
- Ted Cruz 16% (16%) {21%} [11%] (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%)
- Marco Rubio 3% (9%) {13%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump 40% (44%) {35%} [24%] (27%)
- John Kasich 33% (29%) {26%} [15%] (24%)
- Ted Cruz 21% (17%) {23%} [10%] (9%)
- Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {9%} [8%] (5%)
Among Women
- John Kasich 44% (36%) {26%} [11%] (31%)
- Donald Trump 37% (31%) {27%} [22%] (14%)
- Ted Cruz 11% (15%) {19%} [11%] (4%)
- Marco Rubio 3% (12%) {17%} [6%] (9%)
Survey of 721 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 2-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in parentheses.
Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 46% [45%] (44%) {28%} [21%] (3%)
- Marco Rubio 22% [22%] (28%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
- Ted Cruz 14% [18%] (12%) {6%} [7%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)
- John Kasich 10% [8%] (7%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump 52% [50%] (49%)
- Marco Rubio 20% [17%] (25%)
- Ted Cruz 13% [22%] (13%)
- John Kasich 9% [8%] (8%)
Among Women
- Donald Trump 41% [39%] (39%)
- Marco Rubio 25% [27%] (31%)
- Ted Cruz 15% [14%] (11%)
- John Kasich 11% [8%] (6%)
Survey of 615 likely Republicans was conducted March 8-13, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 2-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted June 4-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted March 17-28, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22 - February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll
conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
- Marco Rubio (R) 46%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Ted Cruz (R) 43%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
- Donald Trump (R) 41%
Among Men
- Marco Rubio (R) 52%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
- Ted Cruz (R) 48%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
- Donald Trump (R) 48%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
- Marco Rubio (R) 40%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
- Ted Cruz (R) 39%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
- Donald Trump (R) 36%
Survey of 2,422 registered voters was conducted March 4-10,
2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.0 percentage points.
- Ted Cruz (R) 47%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
- Donald Trump (R) 42%
Among Men
- John Kasich (R) 63%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 30%
- Ted Cruz (R) 54%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
- Donald Trump (R) 51%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Among Women
- John Kasich (R) 51%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
- Ted Cruz (R) 41%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
- Donald Trump (R) 34%
Survey of 2,052 registered voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.
NBC/WSJ/Marist Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- John Kasich 39%
- Donald Trump 33%
- Ted Cruz 19%
- Marco Rubio 6%
Among Men
- John Kasich 36%
- Donald Trump 36%
- Ted Cruz 20%
- Marco Rubio 5%
Among Women
- John Kasich 41%
- Donald Trump 29%
- Ted Cruz 18%
- Marco Rubio 8%
College Graduate
- John Kasich 45%
- Donald Trump 26%
- Ted Cruz 19%
- Marco Rubio 8%
Not a College Graduate
- Donald Trump 39%
- John Kasich 33%
- Ted Cruz 19%
- Marco Rubio 5%
Survey of 564 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.
NBC/WSJ/Marist Illinois 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 34%
- Ted Cruz 25%
- John Kasich 21%
- Marco Rubio 16%
Survey of 421 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.
NBC/WSJ/Marist Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 43%
- Marco Rubio 22%
- Ted Cruz 21%
- John Kasich 9%
Among Men
- Donald Trump 47%
- Ted Cruz 22%
- Marco Rubio 18%
- John Kasich 9%
Among Women
- Donald Trump 38%
- Marco Rubio 26%
- Ted Cruz 20%
- John Kasich 10%
Survey of 511 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-10, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.
FAU Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 44% {47.6%} [35.9%] (31.5%)
- Ted Cruz 21% {16.3%} [10.0%] (5.8%)
- Marco Rubio 21% {11.1%} [18.4%] (19.2%)
- John Kasich 9% {2.1%} [3.0%] (1.7%)
Survey of 852 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 8-11, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 15-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2015 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Trump has a narrow lead among Hispanic Republicans. He has 37 percent, Rubio 34.5 percent, Cruz 20.5 percent and Kasich 8 percent.
Kasich, who has been emphasizing a positive message and not attacking the others, has the highest favorability rating among Republican voters: 60 percent, with just 28 percent unfavorable.
Trump is rated positively by 56 percent — down from 70 percent favorability in January — and negatively by 41 percent. Rubio is viewed favorably by 48 percent, negatively by 45 percent. And Cruz is viewed favorably by 44 percent and negatively by 49 percent.
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%]
- Ted Cruz (R) 40% [43%]
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
- Donald Trump (R) 40%
Survey of 1,248 Ohio voters was conducted March 4-6, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [40%] Democrat; 37% [37%] Republican; 24% [23%] Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2015 are in square brackets.
We Ask America (R) Illinois 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 32.64% (38.44%)
- Ted Cruz 19.90% (15.87%)
- John Kasich 18.41% (9.31%)
- Marco Rubio 11.34% (21.21%)
- Other 1.49% (4.73%)
- Undecided 16.22% (10.45%)
Survey of 1,009 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 7-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.09 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24, 2016 are in parentheses.
Trafalgar Group (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 41.87%
- Marco Rubio 23.10%
- Ted Cruz 21.43%
- John Kasich 10.94%
- Undecided 2.67%
Among Men
- Donald Trump 42.40%
- Ted Cruz 24.51%
- Marco Rubio 20.86%
- John Kasich 10.35%
- Undecided 1.87%
Among Women
- Donald Trump 41.35%
- Marco Rubio 25.31%
- Ted Cruz 18.37%
- John Kasich 11.52%
- Undecided 3.45%
Survey of 1,280 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March
8-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.83
percentage points.
Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 36% [11%]
- Marco Rubio 30% [16%] (31%)
- Ted Cruz 17% [4%] (8%)
- John Kasich 8% [3%]
- Undecided 8% [13%] (17%)
Survey of 700 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 7-9, 2016 for The Ledger/10 News WTSP. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 20-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 14-16, 2015 are in parentheses.
Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Donald Trump 42.8% [31%] (29.7%) {22.7%} [29%] (27%)
- Marco Rubio 23.5% [12%] (15.0%) {17.9%} [6%] (7%)
- Ted Cruz 20.9% [19%] (20.4%) {12.4%} [3%] (8%)
- John Kasich 10.4% [3%] (0.9%) {2.8%} [3%] (3%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump 47.2%
- Ted Cruz 20.5%
- Marco Rubio 19.8%
- John Kasich 10.8%
Among Women
- Donald Trump 38.5%
- Marco Rubio 27.0%
- Ted Cruz 21.2%
- John Kasich 10.1%
Survey of 590 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 9, 2016 for The Florida Times-Union, Fox 35 Orlando, and Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin
of error is
+/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in parentheses.
