Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Warner (D) 49% {51%} [51%] (53%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 39% {39%} [39%] (43%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 1% {1%}
• Not sure 11% {9%} [9%]

Survey of 1,605 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Warner (D) 51% [51%] (53%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 39% [39%] (43%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 1%
• Not sure 9% [9%]

Survey of 1,656 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Warner (D) 48% (46%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 39% (31%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 6% (6%)

Among Independents

• Ed Gillespie (R) 43% (30%)
  
• Mark Warner (D) 41% (39%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (11%)

Among Men

• Mark Warner (D) 46% (41%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 41% (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (8%)

Among Women

• Mark Warner (D) 50% (50%)
• Ed Gillespie (R) 37% (27%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 3% (6%)

Recalculated match-up, asking Sarvis voters: Who is your second choice?

• Mark Warner (D) 50%
• Ed Gillespie (R) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Warner 52% (49%) / 34% (30%) {+18%}
• Ed Gillespie 34% (20%) / 26% (14%) {+8%}
• Robert Sarvis 10% (8%) / 11% (11%) {-1%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (33%) Democrat; 28% (24%) Republican; 34% (35%) Independent; 9% (8%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Warner (D) 46%
• Ed Gillespie (R) 31%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Warner 49% / 30% {+19%}
• Ed Gillespie 20% / 14% {+6%}
• Robert Sarvis 8% / 11% {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 33%

Do you feel that Mark Warner deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 49%
• No/Does not 36%

If President Obama campaigns for Mark Warner in his Senate race, would that make you more likely to vote for Warner, less likely to vote for Warner, or wouldn't it make a difference?

• More likely 15%
• Less likely 33%
• No difference 50%

Survey of 1,288 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 35% Independent; 8% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 50% (44%) {41%} [42%] (46%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 43% (37%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 4% (9%) {7%}
• Undecided 3% (9%) {15%} [21%] (13%) 

Among Democrats

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 82%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 13%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 1%
• Undecided 3%

Among Republicans

• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 79%
• Terry McAuliffe (D) 16%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 3%
• Undecided 2%

Among Independents

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 47%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9%
• Undecided 5%

Among Men

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 47%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 46%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 5%
• Undecided 2%

Among Women

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 51%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 40%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 4%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ken Cuccinelli 39% (35%) {32%} [32%] (29%) / 52% (54%) {47%} [44%] (45%) {-13%}
• Terry McAuliffe 36% (36%) {34%} [29%] (25%) / 52% (48%) {36%} [33%] (26%) {-16%}

Survey of 870 likely voters was conducted November 2-3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (35%) {37%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 34% (30%) {32%} [33%] (32%) Republican; 29% (35%) {31%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 40% [41%] (39%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 8% [9%] (10%) {8%} [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 16% [12%] (13%) {10%} [8%] / 11% [11%] (8%) {7%} [6%] {+5%}
• Terry McAuliffe 42% [41%] (39%) {41%} [38%] (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 45% [46%] (43%) {40%} [38%] (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {-3%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 38% [40%] (38%) {39%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 52% [52%] (52%) {49%} [51%] (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-14%}

Survey of 1,606 likely voters was conducted October 29 - November 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [29%] (33%) {32%} [32%] (30%) {31%} Democrat; 27% [31%] (25%) {27%} [26%] (23%) {26%} Republican; 33% [31%] (35%) {35%} [34%] (39%) {36%} Independent; 8% [8%] (7%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 52% [50%] (52%) {52%} [49%] (52%) {53%} Female; 48% [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (48%) {47%} Male.  Race: 71% [71%] (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {71%} White; 18% [16%] (16%) {18%} [13%] (16%) {17%} Black; 3% [4%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 7% [10%] (10%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted October 22-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 43% (50%) {44%} [45%] (44%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 36% (33%) {38%} [38%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 12% (8%) {6%}
• Some other candidate 2% (3%) {2%}
• Undecided 7% (5%) {11%} [10%] (12%)

Survey of 1,002 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 20, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 45% (46%) {47%} [44%] (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 41% (39%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (10%) {8%} [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 12% (13%) {10%} [8%] / 11% (8%) {7%} [6%] {+1%}
• Terry McAuliffe 41% (39%) {41%} [38%] (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 46% (43%) {40%} [38%] (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {-5%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 40% (38%) {39%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 52% (52%) {49%} [51%] (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-12%}

Survey of 1,182 likely voters was conducted October 22-28, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% (25%) {27%} [26%] (23%) {26%} Republican; 29% (33%) {32%} [32%] (30%) {31%} Democrat; 31% (35%) {35%} [34%] (39%) {36%} Independent; 8% (7%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 50% (52%) {52%} [49%] (52%) {53%} Female; 50% (48%) {48%} [51%] (48%) {47%} Male.  Race: 71% (71%) {73%} [75%] (72%) {71%} White; 16% (16%) {18%} [13%] (16%) {17%} Black; 4% (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 10% (10%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Washington Post-Abt SRBI Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 51% [47%] 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39% [39%]
• Robert Sarvis (L) 8% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 28% / 17% {+11%}
• Terry McAuliffe 53% [50%] / 44% [41%] {+9%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 41% [43%] / 58% [52%] {-17%}

Survey of 762 likely voters was conducted October 24-27, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 29 - May 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 46% {47%} [44%] (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39% {39%} [41%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 10% {8%} [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 13% {10%} [8%] / 8% {7%} [6%] {+5%}
• Terry McAuliffe 39% {41%} [38%] (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 43% {40%} [38%] (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {-4%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 38% {39%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 52% {49%} [51%] (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-14%}

Survey of 1,085 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {32%} [32%] (30%) {31%} Democrat; 25% {27%} [26%] (23%) {26%} Republican; 35% {35%} [34%] (39%) {36%} Independent; 7% {6%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 52% {52%} [49%] (52%) {53%} Female; 48% {48%} [51%] (48%) {47%} Male.  Race: 71% {73%} [75%] (72%) {71%} White; 16% {18%} [13%] (16%) {17%} Black; 3% {2%} [4%] (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 10% {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted October 2-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 50% {44%} [45%] (44%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 33% {38%} [38%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 8% {6%}
• Some other candidate 3% {2%}
• Undecided 5% {11%} [10%] (12%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 20, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 47% [44%] (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 39% [41%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 8% [7%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 10% [8%] / 7% [6%] {+3%}
• Terry McAuliffe 41% [38%] (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 40% [38%] (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {+1%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 39% [34%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 49% [51%] (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-10%}

Survey of 1,180 likely voters was conducted October 2-8, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [32%] (30%) {31%} Democrat; 27% [26%] (23%) {26%} Republican; 35% [34%] (39%) {36%} Independent; 6% [8%] (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 52% [49%] (52%) {53%} Female; 48% [51%] (48%) {47%} Male.  Race: 73% [75%] (72%) {71%} White; 18% [13%] (16%) {17%} Black; 2% [4%] (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 7% [9%] (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: POLITICO/PPP (D)/Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

POLITICO/PPP (D)/Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 44%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 35%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 12%
• Undecided 8%

If you had to choose between Republican Ken Cuccinelli and Democrat Terry McAuliffe, who would you vote for?

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 52%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 42%
• Not sure 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 20% / 23% {-3%}
• Terry McAuliffe 39% / 49% {-10%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 34% / 56% {-22%}

Survey of 1,150 likely voters was conducted October 5-6, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% Democrat; 31% Republican; 36% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% [45%] (44%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 38% [38%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 6%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 11% [10%] (12%)

Survey of 1,050 likely voters was conducted September 23, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% (48%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (41%) 
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 41% (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {38%} [39%] (37%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robert Sarvis 8% / 6% {+2%}
• Terry McAuliffe 38% (34%) {30%} [22%] (20%) {23%} [23%] (17%) / 38% (33%) {19%} [17%] (16%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {0%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 34% (35%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {30%} [33%] (29%) / 51% (41%) {30%} [24%] (24%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {-17%}

Survey of 1,005 likely voters was conducted September 9-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (30%) {31%} Democrat; 26% (23%) {26%} Republican; 34% (39%) {36%} Independent; 8% (8%) {8%} Other/Don't know. Gender: 51% (48%) {47%} Male; 49% (52%) {53%} Female.  Race: 75% (72%) {71%} White; 13% (16%) {17%} Black; 4% (2%) {4%} Hispanic; 9% (10%) {9%} Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-25, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-18, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 42%
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 37%
• Robert Sarvis (L) 10%
• Not sure 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ken Cuccinelli 34% / 47% {-13%}
• Terry McAuliffe 28% / 41% {-13%}

Survey of 779 likely voters was conducted September 15-16, 2013 on behalf of Conservative Intel. The margin of error is +/- 3.51 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent/Other. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 15% Liberal. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 44% {41%} [42%] (46%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 37% {37%} [37%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 9% {7%}
• Undecided 9% {15%} [21%] (13%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terry McAuliffe 36% {34%} [29%] (25%) / 48% {36%} [33%] (26%) {-12%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 35% {32%} [32%] (29%) / 54% {47%} [44%] (45%) {-19%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 27-28, 2013. Party ID: 35% {37%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 30% {32%} [33%] (32%) Republican; 35% {31%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Terry McAuliffe (D) 41% [42%] (46%)
• Ken Cuccinelli (R) 37% [37%] (41%)
• Robert Sarvis (L) 7%
• Undecided 15% [21%] (13%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terry McAuliffe 34% [29%] (25%) / 36% [33%] (26%) {-2%}
• Ken Cuccinelli 32% [32%] (29%) / 47% [44%] (45%) {-15%}

The candidates for Lieutenant Governor are Republican E.W. Jackson and Democrat Ralph Northam. If the election was today, who would you vote for? 

• Ralph Northam 42% [35%]
• E.W. Jackson 35% [29%]
• Not sure 23% [36%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ralph Northam 16% [7%] / 19% [10%] {-3%}
• E.W. Jackson 15% [9%]  / 28% [20%] {-13%}

Survey of 601 registered Virginia voters was conducted July 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [34%] (35%) Democrat; 32% [33%] (32%) Republican; 31% [33%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [31%] (32%) Moderate; 23% [23%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 18% [17%] (17%) Very conservative; 17% [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 12% [12%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2013 are in parentheses.