Showing posts with label 47%. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 47%. Show all posts

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [51%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [46%] (46%)
  • Other 1% [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 1% [2%] (2%)
Who do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 50% (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (38%)
Who do you think would do the best job handling the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 51% (49%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (42%)
Will the Obama administration's loans to the U.S. auto industry make you more likely to vote for Obama?
  • More likely 29%
  • Less likely 21%
  • Will not make a difference 48%
Will the debates make you more likely to vote for Romney, Obama, or not make a difference?
  • Romney 23%
  • Obama 14%
  • Won't make a difference 62%
Would you say Romney's 47% comments will make you more likely to vote for Romney, Obama, or not make a difference?
  • Obama 32%
  • Romney 14%
  • Won't make a difference 54%
We often hear from candidates that voters should be scared if their opponent wins.  Which of the following best describes you?
  • Scared if Romney wins 29%
  • Scared if Obama wins 29%
  • Not scared if either wins 39%
Survey of  1,015 likely voters was conducted October 18-23, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% [51%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (53%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [45%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (40%) {45%} [41%] (41%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 51% [51%] (48%) {49%} [48%] (57%) {49%} [42%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% [41%] (41%) {38%} [38%] (31%) {37%} [40%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 61% [60%] (56%) {66%} [64%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (58%)
  • Mitt Romney 34% [33%] (35%) {25%} [23%] (32%) {32%} [29%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% [51%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% [46%] (49%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [42%] (44%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50% [52%] (52%) {51%} [54%] (58%) {49%} [50%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [44%] (44%) {39%} [40%] (34%) {42%} [40%] (37%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 50% [48%] (49%) {48%} [45%] (41%) {49%} (43%)
  • Barack Obama 47% [49%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (52%) {43%} (43%
Among Hispanics
  • Barack Obama 59% [65%] (59%) {58%} [60%] (53%) {63%} (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% [29%] (34%) {29%} [33%] (38%) {29%} (32%)
If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (44%) {42%} [39%]
  • Gary Johnson 4% [4%] (5%) {6%} [7%]
  • Undecided 3% [3%] (4%) {7%} [7%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 48% [45%] (46%) {44%} [40%] (31%) {35%} [30%] (40%) / 49% [51%] (50%) {51%} [52%] (60%) {53%} [51%] (40%) {-1%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 42% [40%] (42%) {38%} [36%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (41%) / 53% [52%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (65%) {59%} [49%] (35%) {-11%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (35%) {28%} [26%] (31%) {32%} [33%] (39%) / 60% [61%] (60%) {66%} [67%] (61%) {55%} [44%] (37%) {-24%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% [47%] (48%) {48%} [46%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (42%) / 48% [50%] (47%) {49%} [48%] (59%) {55%} [57%] (42%) {+2%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 45% [43%] (45%) {41%} [33%] (29%) {33%} [29%] (38%) / 51% [53%] (52%) {53%} [56%] (61%) {51%} [46%] (38%) {-6%}
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 50% [48%] (47%) {47%} [42%] (33%) {38%} (43%) / 48% [50%] (49%) {48%} [52%] (59%) {49%} (36%) {+2%}
Among Hispanics
  • Mitt Romney 40% [31%] (43%) {28%} [31%] (29%) {21%} (27%)  / 55% [63%] (53%) {69%} [55%] (63%) {70%} (51%) {-15%} 
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Gary Johnson?
  • Favorable 8% [9%] (8%) {9%} [6%]
  • Unfavorable 9% [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%]
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 50% [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% [46%]
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% [50%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (51%)
  • Disapprove 49% [47%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [50%] (45%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 62% [62%]
  • Somewhat excited 26% [25%]
  • Not at all excited 11% [14%]
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 64% [63%]
  • Somewhat excited 28% [26%]
  • Not at all excited 8% [11%]
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 68% [70%]
  • Somewhat excited 20% [18%]
  • Not at all excited 12% [12%]
Among Independents
  • Very excited 53% [51%]
  • Somewhat excited 32% [31%]
  • Not at all excited 15% [18%]
Survey of 1,000 likely Colorado voters was conducted October 16-18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% [34%] (37%) {34%} [39%] (36%) {37%} [41%] (43%) Democrat; 35% [34%] (37%) {37%} [35%] (35%) {35%} [33%] (35%) Republican; 27% [31%] (27%) {29%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [26%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [29%] (28%) {27%} [30%] (28%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 26% [24%] (25%) {21%} [24%] (23%) {25%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [20%] (20%) {16%} [17%] (22%) {18%} [22%] Somewhat liberal; 14% [16%] (15%) {22%} [17%] (13%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 10% [10%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {11%} [13%] Very liberal.  Race: 80% [83%] (76%) {78%} [77%] (79%) {79%} [80%] (81%) White; 14% [11%] (13%) {13%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%) Hispanic; 7% [7%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Monday, October 08, 2012

Poll Watch: Foster McCollum White/Baydoun Consulting (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

FMW/Baydoun (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49.30% {45.49%} [43.88%] (46.89%)
  • Mitt Romney 45.85% {43.65%} [47.68%] (45.48%)
  • Another candidate 2.24% {5.48%} [3.96%] (3.56%)
  • Undecided 2.61% {5.38%} [4.01%] (4.07%) 
Which candidate are you more confident in to address our country’s domestic challenges such as the economy, healthcare, energy and education?
  • Barack Obama 49.24% 
  • Mitt Romney 45.76%
  • Have no confidence in either candidate to address domestic challenges 5.00%
Which candidate are you more confident in to address the challenges our country faces in the areas of national security and foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 50.01% 
  • Mitt Romney 44.82%
  • Have no confidence in either candidate to address foreign policy 5.17%
Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and others have demanded that President Obama take a hard line against Iran on its nuclear program. Others have favored more diplomacy. Should President Obama deliver an ultimatum and threaten military action against Iran?
  • You believe the President should threaten Iran with the use of military action 35.35%
  • You believe the President should not threaten Iran with the use of military action, but rather continue diplomacy 48.42%
Republicans and others have criticized President Obama’s handling of the attacks on our embassies and consulates in the Middle East, do you approve of President Obama’s handling of the recent violence in the Middle East? 
  • Approve 41.40% 
  • Disapprove 47.70%  
Mitt Romney has been heavily criticized for his comment at a fundraiser that 47% of the American voters pay no income taxes, are dependent and don’t want to take personal responsibility, and that he can’t worry about the choices of those voters. Romney initially defended his comments but now says he made a mistake and that he will focus on being a President for 100% of Americans. Has this 47% statement impacted your view of Mitt Romney?  
  • View positively 32.62%
  • View negatively 53.70%
Survey of 1,122 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.93 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.15% {41.99%} Democrat; 32.08% {33.07%} Republican; 25.76% {24.94%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 04, 2012

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 54% {52%} (50%) [53%] {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {45%} (38%) [37%] {36%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 48% {47%} (45%) [48%] {41%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {49%} (35%) [37%] {37%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {53%} (42%) [40%] {42%}
  • Barack Obama 47% {45%} (48%) [51%] {46%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 59% {59%} (52%) [55%] {52%}
  • Mitt Romney 37% {38%} (35%) [34%] {31%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 54% {51%} (52%) [55%] {50%} / 43% {46%} (41%) [41%] {45%} {+11%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {41%} (34%) [35%] {34%} / 47% {44%} (42%) [43%] {28%} {-5%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 49% {45%} (48%) [51%] {44%} / 47% {51%} (44%) [44%] {48%} {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {42%} (29%) [36%] {31%} / 44% {42%} (38%) [43%] {25%} {0%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} (35%) [38%] {42%} / 43% {39%} (43%) [45%] {28%} {+5%}
  • Barack Obama 47% {44%} (50%) [54%] {46%} / 49% {54%} (44%) [44%] {50%} {-2%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 59% {57%} (54%) [57%] {53%} / 37% {39%} (39%) [38%] {39%} {+22%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% {34%} (32%) [32%] {27%} / 52% {47%} (42%) [42%] {27%} {-16%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
  • Approve 52% {49%} (53%) [53%] {48%} (53%) [49%]
  • Disapprove 46% {48%} (43%) [43%] {48%} (44%) [47%]
Among Independents
  • Approve 47% {42%} (48%) [49%] {43%} (47%) [44%]
  • Disapprove 51% {55%} (47%) [46%] {51%} (48%) [51%]
Among Men
  • Approve 44% {43%} (52%) [51%] {43%} (48%) [44%]
  • Disapprove 54% {55%} (45%) [46%] {54%} (50%) [52%]
Among Women
  • Approve 58% {55%} (53%) [54%] {52%} (56%) [53%]
  • Disapprove 38% {42%} (41%) [40%] {42%} (39%) [43%]
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy?
  • Barack Obama 51% {44%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {49%}
Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 62% {57%}
  • No 36% {40%}
Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?
  • Yes 44% {43%}
  • No 52% {49%}
Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Barack Obama is running his presidential campaign?  
  • Favorable 54%
  • Unfavorable 39%
Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Mitt Romney is running his presidential campaign?  
  • Favorable 38%
  • Unfavorable 54%
Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Romney's recent comments about people who don't pay income taxes?
  • Favorable 29%
  • Unfavorable 52%
Survey of 1,696 likely voters was conducted September 28 - October 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {33%} Democrat; 23% {22%} Republican; 38% {40%} Independent; 5% {5%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-26, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-7, 2011 are in square brackets.

Tuesday, October 02, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (44%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [43%] (46%) {42%} [39%] (40%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [41%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (41%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {46%} [44%] (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (38%) {45%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (42%){43%} [48%] (46%) {41%} [48%] (48%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 58% {65%} [59%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (58%) {59%} [65%] (56%) {63%} [60%] (58%) {66%} [64%] (63%) {59%} [66%] (60%) {55%} [61%] (63%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% {30%} [35%] (34%) {31%} [29%] (30%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {28%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {31%} [26%] (33%) {36%} [32%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% {48%} [53%] (46%) {45%} [47%] (51%) {50%} [51%] (46%) {52%} [54%] (44%) {47%} [44%] (45%){51%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (49%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {47%} [41%] (47%) {50%} [48%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [41%] (48%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {42%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [46%] (44%)  
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% {53%} [57%] (53%) {51%} [50%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {53%} [55%] (48%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {51%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {43%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (46%) {44%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (51%) {51%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {+1%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (36%) / 50% {48%} [51%] (51%) {52%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (51%) {47%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) {-5%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 44% {43%} [40%] (47%) {37%} [39%] (33%) {41%} [38%] (41%) {36%} [41%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [30%] (34%) {37%} [33%] (34%) / 49% {46%} [48%] (43%) {53%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (50%) {51%} [49%] (49%) {46%} [55%] (45%) {41%} [50%] (52%) {-5%}
  • Barack Obama 45% {45%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [48%] (43%) {40%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [49%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {43%} [51%] (45%) / 51% {49%} [47%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (47%) {49%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (51%) {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%) {-6%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 60% {64%} [58%] (59%) {62%} [61%] (58%) {58%} [65%] (55%) {64%} [58%] (55%) {65%} [64%] (63%) {58%} [66%] (59%) {56%} [63%] (63%) / 35% {33%} [38%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [30%] (39%) {30%} [36%] (38%) {32%} [30%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (34%) {36%} [33%] (33%) {+25%}
  • Mitt Romney 32% {32%} [34%] (36%) {27%} [31%] (29%) {30%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [32%] (33%) {26%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (29%) {35%} [31%] (29%) / 62% {63%} [60%] (56%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {58%} [65%] (59%) {61%} [57%] (57%) {60%} [65%] (60%) {59%} [64%] (58%) {52%} [55%] (61%) {-30%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [50%] (45%) {42%} [45%] (49%) {45%} [44%] (41%) {44%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (41%) / 47% {47%} [45%] (48%) {52%} [50%] (41%) {47%} [46%] (51%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {44%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {+1%}
  • Barack Obama 44% {47%} [42%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (43%) / 52% {50%} [55%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [54%] (50%) {52%} [47%] (48%) {54%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [51%] (51%) {-8%}    
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {52%} [57%] (53%) {51%} [48%] (51%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {52%} [51%] (45%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [53%] (52%) / 44% {45%} [40%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (44%) {+9%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {44%} [37%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (36%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {35%} [35%] (42%) {39%} [35%] (37%) {33%} [36%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) / 52% {49%} [57%] (53%) {53%} [50%] (56%) {50%} [53%] (46%) {48%} [54%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (55%) {-10%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% {47%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%) {44%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Disapprove 49% {49%} [50%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (52%) {50%} [49%] (53%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {47%} [48%] (48%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 42% {39%} [43%] (37%) {40%} [45%] (38%)
  • Disapprove 52% {53%} [52%] (54%) {51%} [47%] (53%)
Do you think Republicans would be better off if they had nominated someone other than Mitt Romney, or not?
  • They would be better off 46%
  • They would not 38%
Among Independents
  • They would be better off 47%
  • They would not 36%
Among Moderates
  • They would be better off 55%
  • They would not 30%
Among Republicans
  • They would be better off 26%
  • They would not 57%
Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 42%
  • They are not 40%
Among Independents
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 45%
  • They are not 40%
Among Moderates
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 31%
  • They are not 49%
Among Republicans
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 71%
  • They are not 13%
Who do you think will win the debates: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 34%
Survey of 1,100 likely voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% {40%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [35%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 36% {33%} [38%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [34%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [33%] (32%) {35%} [36%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 25% {26%} [19%] (23%) {22%} [30%] (25%) {29%} [27%] (29%) {25%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political views: 41% {41%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (41%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {42%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 41% {39%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [44%] (42%) {47%} [41%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 18% {20%} [17%] (19%) {22%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {13%} [21%] (16%) {18%} [16%] (18%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Monday, October 01, 2012

Poll Watch: Washington Times/Zogby 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama (D) 49.7% {45.7%} (42.0%) [43.2%]
  • Mitt Romney (R) 41.1% {45.7%} (42.8%) [43.6%]
  • Not sure 9.2% {5%} [13.0%]
(Among Obama Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Barack Obama?
  • Want to see him re-elected 61.3%
  • Really dislike Romney 14.5%
  • He is the lesser of two evils 11.7%
  • Simply voting for Democrat 9.1%
  • Not sure 3.4%
(Among Romney Voters) Which of the following best describes why you are voting for Mitt Romney?
  • Think he is the best candidate 58.2%
  • He is the lesser of two evils 16.1%
  • Really dislike Obama 16.0%
  • Simply voting for GOP 5.8%
  • Not sure 3.9%
If the presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?
  • Barack Obama (D) 48.7%
  • Mitt Romney (R) 41.2%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 1.2%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0.7%
  • Virgil Goode (C) 0.2%
  • Not sure 8.0%
Did President Obama's handling of the attacks on the U.S. embassies earlier this month make you more or less likely to vote for him?
  • Much more likely 10.5%
  • More likely 18.9%
  • Less likely 16.3%
  • Much less likely 23.0%
  • Makes no difference 25.8%
  • Not sure 5.6%
Mitt Romney said recently that 47 percent of Americans pay no income taxes, are dependent on government and see themselves as victims. Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree?
  • Strongly agree 20.1%
  • Somewhat agree 20.7%
  • Somewhat disagree 13.5%
  • Strongly disagree 39.6%
  • Not sure 6.1%
Regardless of whom you support, who do you think will win November's presidential election?
  • Barack Obama 57.4% {48%} (44.9%)
  • Mitt Romney 29.9% {37%} (32.8%)
  • Not sure 12.7%
Are you better off now than you were four years ago?
  • Yes 46.1%
  • No 48.8%
  • Not sure 5.2%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-12, 2012 are in square brackets.

Sunday, September 30, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% 
  • Mitt Romney 48%  
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 54%
  • Barack Obama 36%   
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 63% 
  • Mitt Romney 32% 
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 57% 
  • Barack Obama 40% 
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% 
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 62% 
  • Barack Obama 35%
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 92% 
  • Mitt Romney 7%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Which candidate for President do you think better understands the struggles you and your family are going through?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 46% / 49%  {-3%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 42% {+10%} 
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 32% / 62% {-30%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% / 42% {+11%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 40% / 53%  {-13%}
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 59% / 36% {+23%}
Among Blacks
  • Mitt Romney 7% / 88% {-81%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 49% 
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 91%
  • Not familiar 9%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 44%
  • Inappropriate 50%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?
  • More likely 28%
  • Less likely 38%
  • No difference 32%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 50% 
  • He should not 41%
Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 46%
  • They are not 38%
  • Not sure 17%
Among Democrats
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 19%
  • They are not 61%
  • Not sure 19%
Among Republicans
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 77%
  • They are not 9%
  • Not sure 14%
Among Independents
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 55%
  • They are not 30%
  • Not sure 15%
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 63%
  • Somewhat excited 23%
  • Not at all excited 14%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 69%
  • Somewhat excited 20%
  • Not at all excited 11%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 58%
  • Somewhat excited 26%
  • Not at all excited 16%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 56%
  • Somewhat excited 24%
  • Not at all excited 20%
Survey of 981 likely North Carolina voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 34% Republican; 19% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 13% Very liberal. Race: 72% White; 22% Black; 6% Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 42% {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 60% [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 48% {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 44%
  • Somewhat important 29%
  • Not that important 24%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 49% [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-4%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 45% [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-4%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 33% [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-28%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 51% [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-5%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 48% [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-4%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 49% [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 41% [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 52% [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 90%
  • Not familiar 10%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 42%
  • Inappropriate 53%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?
  • More likely 31%
  • Less likely 40%
  • No difference 28%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 50%
  • He should not 41%
Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 41%
  • They are not 43%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Democrats
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 16%
  • They are not 69%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Republicans
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 72%
  • They are not 14%
  • Not sure 14%
Among Independents
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 40%
  • They are not 42%
  • Not sure 18%
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 58%
  • Somewhat excited 24%
  • Not at all excited 18%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 66%
  • Somewhat excited 20%
  • Not at all excited 14%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 62%
  • Somewhat excited 26%
  • Not at all excited 13%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 36%
  • Somewhat excited 28%
  • Not at all excited 36%
Survey of 897 likely Ohio voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 24% [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Chris Christie on Face the Nation

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 54% {53%} [51%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [43%] (45%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [47%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 43% {39%} [40%] (36%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {50%} [49%] (53%)
  • Barack Obama 46% {43%} [43%] (38%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 61% {62%} [57%] (55%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% {32%} [38%] (37%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 57%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 47%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 41% {41%} (41%) / 53% {53%} (42%) {-12%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 75% {73%} (64%) / 18% {22%} (22%) {+57%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% {47%} (45%) / 47% {44%} (37%) {+2%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 35% {35%} (43%) / 58% {57%} (38%) {-23%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% {49%} (42%) / 47% {45%} (44%) {+3%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 33% {35%} (40%) / 59% {60%} (40%) {-26%} 
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% {50%} (48%)
  • Disapprove 44% {46%} (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 44% {41%} (41%)
  • Disapprove 54% {43%} (53%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 60% {50%} (48%)
  • Disapprove 37% {45%} (46%)
Among Men
  • Approve 46% {42%} (39%)
  • Disapprove 51% {54%} (58%)
Among Women
  • Approve 59% {57%} (56%)
  • Disapprove 37% {40%} (40%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 87% 
  • Not familiar 13%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 38%
  • Inappropriate 56%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?
  • More likely 23%
  • Less likely 39%
  • No difference 36%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 49% {59%}
  • He should not 38% {34%}
Survey of 801 likely Connecticut voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. Party ID: 43% {46%} [41%] (45%) Democrat; 26% {25%} [28%] (31%) Republican; 32% {29%} [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 37% [34%] (29%) Moderate; 23% [19%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal; 9% [10%] (11%) Very conservativeResults from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 91% {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 7% {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 85% {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 10% {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% {62%} [66%] (70%) {59%} [57%] (62%) [56%] (58%)
  • Mitt Romney 31% {25%} [23%] (24%) {27%} [28%] (24%) [26%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 49% {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 40% {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 55% {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-15%}
Among Democrats
  • Mitt Romney 7% {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 92% {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-85%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 79% {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 15% {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+64%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 37% {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 53% {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-11%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 26% {27%} [20%] (22%) {33%} [31%] (34%) [30%] (32%) / 69% {63%} [70%] (70%) {50%} [49%] (44%) [47%] (46%) {-43%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 40% {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 54% {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {-14%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 40% {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 55% {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-15%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 48% {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 91% {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 8% {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 10% {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 88% {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 40% {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 52% {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Moderates
  • Approve 63% {58%} [63%] (65%) {55%} [58%] (65%) [62%] (64%)
  • Disapprove 35% {33%} [31%] (28%) {37%} [32%] (26%) [30%] (27%)
Among Men
  • Approve 46% {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 50% {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 52% {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 45% {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 86% 
  • Not familiar 14%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 42%
  • Inappropriate 51%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not
make a difference?

  • More likely 24%
  • Less likely 42%
  • No difference 33%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 51%
  • He should not 40%
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 52%
  • Somewhat excited 27%
  • Not at all excited 20%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 62%
  • Somewhat excited 27%
  • Not at all excited 11%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 55%
  • Somewhat excited 24%
  • Not at all excited 21%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 38%
  • Somewhat excited 31%
  • Not at all excited 30%
Survey of 754 likely Iowa voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 33% {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 30% {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% {28%} [33%] (30%) {29%} [32%] (34%) [30%] Moderate; 27% {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [23%] (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 15% {17%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [17%] (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 14% {19%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 9% {11%} [7%] (10%) {12%} [9%] (9%) [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.